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Locations referenced
| Location | Context | Confidence | Supporting text |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dayton, Ohio | Unknown Context | Low | …or study — upon the understanding that the Government’s proprietary interests in and relating thereto shall not be impaired. It is desired that the Patent & Ro |
| Arnold of Boise, Idaho | Incident Location | Unresolved | …for radar (see Appendix "a"). II. Barly American Reports Py 2B SO. ei Ra AOR Ve 6 RE OST 2 PRE tS Se. lO CS The first American report of unidentified objects t |
| Wright-Patterson Air Force Base, Ohio | Facility Location | Unresolved | …th is made available for study — upon the understanding that the Government’s proprietary interests in and relating thereto shall not be impaired. It is desire |
| Astronomer, Ohio | Incident Location | Unresolved | …ing, and other know aerial Ne me i) ¢) 1a to VS €1atur 1. ma. de io have é material malysed by initwi duals f janet icht conceivably be touched upon. ‘These in |
| NA, South Dakota | Unknown Context | Unresolved | …ncil documents NSC 26/1, than would the information we might receive from the use of such equipment here, /3/ Donald L. Hardy DORALD L. HARDY Colonel, USAF Air |
| Sweden to date | Sighting Location | Unresolved | …ance in final one- sentence paragraph. ~ Liat inclosures at letwer left. Begin tert of report 4 on AF Fort 1! e- Part II.) 1. The Swedish Defense Staff has no |
| Sweden a number of mystericus aerial objects. There were as | Incident Location | Unresolved | …te in am provide iturther recom- of material as recommended in Para. <« Declassification Authority: NND 57565 -SECRE| PACTUAL DATA ener ge Rm OA Tee Se ee I. F |
| Rand has not yet been | Incident Location | Unresolved | …(Appendix "E"). Rand provided a discussion of the special design and »verformance characteristics that are believed to distinguish space ships. Rand received f |
Full document text
49,112 characters, transcribed via OCR. Errors reflect the source scan. Compare with the original ↗
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TECHNICAL REPORT No 102-AC 1:9/15~-100
erpgenears © oS RES FER
sg RTE A ‘
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306 30
UNIDENTIFIED FLYING OBJECTS
Project "GRUDGE"
—_,. a,
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bAL ces eS «CA et te ,
August l9i)¢
HEADQUARTERS “a! Ls AIR MATERIEL COMBAND
WRIGHT - PAT TERSON AER FORCE BASE
wz i ie :
iy ; 29 Ts Tt.
DECLASSIFIED
.| ol a
re ae Sec. 5.4 a 0) A Y + 0 N , 0 Ly | 0
NND FTN S3 7 cesar
By svat Date 1-hb-tLes
WF-(A)-O-8 JUL'49 5M
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
NOTE
When drawings, specifications, and other data prepared by the
War Department are furnished to manufacturers and others for use
in the manufacture or purchase of supplies, or for any other pur-
pose, the Government assumes no responsibility nor obligation
whatever ; and the furnishing of said data by the War Department
is not to be regarded by implication or otherwise, or in any manner
licensing the holder, or conveying any rights or permission to
manufacture, use, or sell any patented inventions that may in any
way be related thereto.
The information furnished herewith is made available for study —
upon the understanding that the Government’s proprietary interests
in and relating thereto shall not be impaired. It is desired that the
Patent & Royalties Section, Office of the Judge Advocate, Air
Materiel Command, Wright-Patterson AFB, Dayton, Ohio, be
promptly notified of any apparent conflict between the Govern-
ment's proprietary interests and those of others.
Espionage Act
Notice: “This document contains information affecting the
national defense of the United States within the meaning of the
Espionage Act, 50 U.S. C., 31 and 32, as amended. Its transmission
or the revelation of its contents.in any manner to an unauthorized
~~ per son is prohibited by law.”
“The above Espionage Notice can be disregarded unless this
document is plainly marked with a security classification as
“Restricted,” “Confidential,” “Secret,” or “Top Secret.”
The U.S. Government is absolved from any litigation which
may ensue from the contractor’s infringing on the foreign patent
rights which may be involved.
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
Technical Report
Thi T POA Nr = YT} I> TIAOIMA
UN S$ iftees dL i RTH I DB FI, i G OB As bi
PROJECT "GRU DGE"
We omith
4 ray TowlLes
are"
Project No. XS=30i,
Approved bys
| fe | onel, UoAF
cni&f, Technical Analvs#§ Division
Intelligence Department
For the Commanding Generals
ye £4 tf La vA - | id ‘ Neg F
Lyi) E. WAT i SG 9 Golonel, U SAF
ib
at Intelligence [epartment
Release Tate:
Au £5 t 19,9
SECRET
a Lt
3—H56))2 - 3
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
SECRET
SUMMARY
While there are approximately 475 incidents on record, only in-=
cicents Nos. 1 thru 2h); are encompassed in this report. Of the later
incidents, many have not yet been investigated, few have been completely
tabulated, and none have been submitted to the consulting acencies. it
is certain that better over-all results will be obtained in the analy~
Sis of the later reports, as these incidents generally have been more
completely investigated,
Since 5 December 1915 9 a series of eee abihaen,. phenomena described
as "sreen fireballs have been reported in the general vicinity of Al-
buquerque, New Mexico. Dr. Lincoln La Paz, noted ROL ROT SE AS expert,
has been cirectly, though unofficially, associated with the investiga=
tion of these sightings and has himself observed the phenomena. Lr. La
Paz states he is convinced the screen fireballs are not ordinary meteorse
fnis group of incidents has little or nothing in common with other in-
cidents on file with Project Sogn. therefore, these incidents are
not considered in this report. he Scientific robe gs Committee was
asked to investigate this matter par had acvised that an tatenaciink
investigation be concucted in the field of i canastients research.
Upon eliminating several additional incidents due to vagueness
nd duplication, there remain 228 incidents which are considered in
this report. ‘hirty of these could not be explained, because there was
found to be insufficient evidence on which te base a conclusion.
nsulting agencies provided plausible sclutions for 16), incidents,
aldon¢ Tits the eek comments and findings:
hand Ince — (172 Incidents considered) "Ye have found now ing
wiich would sericusly controvert simple rational explanations of the
various phenomena in terms of balloons, conventional aircraft, planets,
meteors, bits of paper, optical illusions, practical jokers, psycho-=
pathological reporters, and the like."
Ohio State University (Dr. Hynek ~ 2))): Incidents considered)
Assuming evidences of observers and investipators to be correct,
Dr. Hynek concluded that 32% could be explained astronomically, 45%
oula be attributed to balloons, aircraft, rockets, birds, etc., and
33% either lacked necessary evidence or a suitable explanation was not
apparente When due allowance was made for inaccuracies in observing
anc reporting, 53% micht be explained astrmomically.
Air Yeather Service 44 Incidents considered)
12.0% apparently were weather balloons.
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
Air Materiel Command Aero-Vedic al Labor tory ( Dr. Paul Me. Fitts -«
SO PR ER Pe Bt RE Ce GE ET ENO BONE Oe IE yr ee 9 BO A nen pe ve em we > 14 eRe ee ee ed
— ° EE em pe BE MR? 4B = De Oe SEEM
ee ee Be oe
212 Incidents considered)
Ene. ee ee ee ee ee es ead
There are sufficient psychological explanations for the reports of
i
ad flying objects to provide plausible explanations for re-
otherwise I feehite. Phese errors in identifying real
unidentifie
ports not
stimuli result chiefly from inability to estimate speed, distance,
SLZS e
4:4 incidents are treated in detail
report. ese inc form ni peer rn in regard to area
type of I IGE!
that sop a ig were “see ueneed by earli
e YS r 3 tel ben
probably would : |. considered unusual or “paported hac
been no publicity.
There are inte
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
SECRET,
ABSTRACT
Set 2 GR mee. 8 ee ee oT
A Technical Intellisence Revort
of unidentified flying o'|
nted.
of
= Poe a - s +. - ind @ » Lars 4. ,
oroject i: ntinuous in nature, this repo Sively tre:
” — o~ 7) wy. ° © ; on
reports of sightin: ly up to January 1925 Work is continuing
later
oS
-<
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
-SECREI
5 ae he Y.. \ Tt “—~; ~ i en | a were 4
4A Dd as he Fi Gs rei wa hk
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Inve x4 sts
ea ius Ww Ls Lh. L4 a . LANs . y
LH LN fO PD
Ce. Recording of Inform n r Receipt of Report of
Investigation :
D.. Consultant ”
Discussion of Reports of ee Agencies
Ae Dr Je Ae Hynek ° eg ‘
Be Ha, Air Weather Service ‘ °
C. Dr. Ge Ee Valley ‘ . °
De. Rand Corporation ; ‘ ,
Ke 160%) get Laboratory ;
Dr.
nn An ION
Jf *
th
F. Pe Me Fitt ‘ . ;
(hs. Sig tee ies eepniahtn of Commerce Weather Bureau
VI Summary of Results of Consultants ,
= VII Summary of AMC Evaluation of Remaining Reports
Relationship Between Publicity and Dates of Report
IX Conclusions and Recommendations .
Appendix | Air Intelligence Information Report lo. ~115-48
rt i % rt rt it mitra
" . Pro ject ao) Fina) seed bobo by Prof. J. Ae Hynek
vs Headquarters Air Weather Service
Headguarters Air ath ar Saisie
Some Considerations Affecting the Interpretation of
? a" ~ ~~
tg por ts of Unidentified Flying Objects by Dr. G.
tt
ft
97, from Rand Sar elo sel
Pand Corn
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SuMNnAary of’ AN MAC bh V! a tr iat G "Lor Of
Project Grudge
SECRET
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
- SECRET
FOREWORD
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the investi
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Corporation, 1500 Fourth Street,
Mlectronics Laboratory, Cambridze Field
Air Materiel Command AeroeM
Bureau, U. S. Department of Co
on, technical } («the ge ella
Materiel Comman: ere available for
SECRET
ruil je atin ineering
eae sation when
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
SECRET
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TNTRODUCTION
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Declassification Authority: NND 57565
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NND 57565
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35
UNC |
RECOMMENDATIONS
‘PORE 6 wees ow ~ rr
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“hat th Ive stl:
in, & 8
objects b educe
current
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Conclusions 1] and % j | ‘ with sufficien
bes]
7 ; ; ; : : a -_ oe a : a= 4~1,, Ch : “
lata, be declassified and made public | the form of an
Ate VW oases
-s + gad :
gion and other governmental
hy ~ : 4 Se . £? : Ly - j : os
be iniormea oi tne resuits
: - + ways er. 4 £ be Ln a
coordinate in am provide iturther recom-
of material as recommended in Para. <«
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
-SECRE|
PACTUAL DATA
ener ge Rm OA Tee Se ee
I. Foreign ie ports
During the summer of 1946, there were reported to have been
seen in Sweden a number of mystericus aerial objects. There were as
many different descriptions for the "ghost rockets", as the newspapers
tagged them, as there were observers. It soon became quite common for
newspapers in Sweden and in the U. &. to refer authoritatively to these
objects as guided missiles with inference that they were test
flights from Russia or Russian-d sisnbee areas. The "choat rockets"
were usually seen in hours of darikne almost always traveling at ex-
tremely hish speed; shaped like a be or projectile; bright or incan-
descent blue, white ed, green, or yellow; sometimes had an associated
noise; and were always seen at too great a distance to observe details
By the end of the summer, 1946, an occasional report came out of Den-
mark, Norway, Spain, Greece, Ir. Scdien. Portugal, and Turkey.
Throushout 19,7 and 194.8, "chost rocket" reports totalled less than
dozen. None have been received within the past 6 months. The
reached the public through the press and the radio, they reached
rovernment of the U. S$. through Military Attache reports. AP Snore
obtained virtually all of their information from isuropean press an
radio items. ;
fhe Swedish Defense Staff conducted a comprehensive study of
early incidents. Several thousand reports were thoroughly investi-
M
plotted, with resultant conclusions thet all evidence obtained
ey <=
igs wore. explicable in terms of astronomical phenomena. Since
», although the Swedes themselves show little concern, they
npt to play up their incidents to the United States, obviously to
mphasize their request for radar (see Appendix "a").
II. Barly American Reports
Py 2B SO. ei Ra AOR Ve 6 RE OST 2 PRE tS Se. lO CS
The first American report of unidentified objects to recely
16 ue
wide publicity and to cause some national concern was that of Kemeth
Arnold of Boise, Idaho. Arnold described the objects as "“saucer-like
discs” and this is evidently the pr amma of the mucheused terms
"flying saucers” and "Plying discs”. his incident is Number eae in
e,
project files. The date of sighting is given as 2l, June 19147. ld
story appeared in many newspapers throughout the country. He even
wrote a series of articles about this sighting for "Fate" macazine.
+},
T) periodical styles itself a "cosmic reporter” and delves into the
This i
supernatural and fantastic.
the
f<c«
Within the month following Arnold's report, the number of
incidents reached a peak that remained unsurpassed for any like period
covered by this report. (This peak was, however, surpassed in May 1949,
following an Air Force press release and a series of articles in the
Saturday Evening Post concerning flying objects. A few individuals
later reported having seen objects prior to the Arnold incident.
SECRET
t
i
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
Since August 19],:7 until the present, except May 1919 as
noted above, the number of reports mafintained a monthly average of
approximately twelve, with occasional upesurges often directly
attributable to an unusual or overly publicized. report.
Elie Air Force Comizance of Unidentified Aerial
In September 191:7, the Air Force was forced te take
cognizance of the "flying discs" because of increasing cemand ra
the public for an explanation, and as a result of certain publications
persisting in using a sensational approach in reporting such items;
and often implying that something subversive, dangerous, and fearful
was Upon US.
Hq. ALC in a letter dated 23 September 19);7, requested the
Commanding General, Army Air Forces, to issue a directive assipning a
priority, security classification and code name for a detailed study
of flying disc reports. Hq. AKC exp UaeS that their action was based
on the opinian that the phenomena reported appeared to be real. Awaite-
ing a specific directive, Hq. AMC collected information on flying disc
incidents in order to more clearly define the nature of the phenomena.
On the 22nd of December 194,7, in a memoran Curmy tAnalysis of Flying lise
Reports", the Director of Intelligence, Hq. USAF, concurred with ALC
recommendations and forwarded them to the Director of Research and
Development, ICS/M,y Hq. USAF, for reply to the Commanding Ceneral, AiC.
In a letter dated 30 [December 19147, the Director of | vesearch and Devel~
opment, I0S/M, advised the Commanding General, AC, that Air Force policy
was not to igore reports of sightings and phenomena in the eacmeh aint
To implement this policy, ANC was directed by Hq. USAF, to set up a pro=
ject with the purpese of collecting, collating, evaluating, and distri-~
buting to interested government agencies and contractors, all informa-
tion concerning sightings and phenomena in the atmosphere which might
be construed to be of concern to the national security. ‘This directive
assigned a priority of 2A to the project, a RESTRICTED classification
and a code name of "Sign". (The code nane of "Sign" for the project
was changed to "Grudge" by a 16 apeaaeive 19h3 request of the Tirector
of Research and Development, mS/M. "Grudge" under the U.S. Joint
Services coce word index refers to the title "fetailed Study of Flying
liacs".) As a result of the directive from Hq. USAF for establishment
of the special project, Hq. AlLiCO Technical Instruction No. 21.65, dated
11 February 196, was published and assigned responsibility for the
project activities to the Technical Intelligence fivision, Intelligence
Tepartment, Hq. AlC.
Department of Air Force anc Department of Army letters directed
all respective subordinate units to report directly to Air Materiel Command
all information concerning unidentified flying objects. Air ee ee ice
Requirements Memorandum No. l, was published 15 February 1949 at the request
of Air Materiel Commanc in an effort to pbtain more cormprehe ad and
accurate information.
ject personnel proceeded by air to the scene
interrovate witnesses. This was not
P
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
entirely satisfactory, due to the fact that the number of personnel avail-
able was not sufficient to cover each report acequately and have time for
recording and analyzing material collected. Furthermore, it was learned
that project personnel could not be well enouch versed in all the techno=
logical and scientific fields involved in this study to efficiently execute
all phases of this worke Therefore, in September 19L6 the method of opera-
tion of the project was revised. Enough experience had been gained to
make it evident that a large proportion of disc reports arose from sifht-
ings of unfamiliar objects and failure to recognize known objects for
what they were. The course then became apparent. It has since been the
endeavor to have adequate investigations of all‘reports, systematic tabu-
lation of all Mmformation, and analysis of information by competent tech=
nical personnel in all branches of science and engineering into which the
revorted object may conceivably fall. In this way isrepresented and
generally unfamiliar objects, hoax makers, and psychopathological reporters
may be identified, and these reports eliminated from the study. With these
out of the way, the succeecing steps would develop.
In implementing the above plan, the following general procedure
was established and followed:
4
Ne Receipt of Initial Reports
1. Personal letter and personal contacte
1 m : as a
result of of 21 directi- 4 sst bulk of reports).
7
Be Investigation of Xeports
investigated by Headquarters, Air-
.d teams o roject personnel.
Ce wunen a Signting involves
pecially in out-of-the-way locations, local
a Pon Tie ay } + sh" 4. §
are requested to investigate.
Tr, BE ooo P
%, The largest number reports
+ 4. any 4
oO]
. 4 "his I o * rT a~ S “am } ‘ye f »} om l.
appropriate CSI vistrict, by request through 5th
+e ALL investigators
p cte
+ +4 A. Wid a ie $4 eatt on Mint de} Sad Kivine Obie 35
titled, "Guide to Investigation Unide mt flying Cbjects" to assure
collection of all available, pertine: informati or ne Cuide to ine
vestirvatio 4 TY Ach art | , rand FO ine Or at eormendatiLons 5
vestigation is freguently revised to Incorporate recommendations oO
4. “ L. ~ : “v at = te -}- 4 Wh % . .
technical consultants to the project.
a a rT
;
<
Reaording of Information Afte feceint of Repvort of Ine
V
ee ot
» at nd a * — i? ra j es } ‘ v s. ‘ PS ; ’ :
nvestigation, the reported sight-
* «
assigned a consecutive number,
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
Tts location and conficuration is then plotted. Statistical graphs
are brought up to date.
2. Information for locating and compar
card files by witness, and on a tabular sheet for pone
inent information is extractec, conc
ompiled on an Incidce summary Sheet, which is similar %
two pages of the Guide to Investigation.
le Entire incident files are microfilmed, in order that
technical consultants will nave acce l available information if
desired.
lata is collatec sd monthly blimp flight reports,
+ ”
snformation on ball lightning, and other know aerial
Ne me
i) ¢)
1a
to
VS
€1atur
1.
ma. de io have é material malysed by initwi duals
f janet icht conceivably be touched upon. ‘These ind
acen s include the piseyreean 2 (only those agencies which
Usa ble.
Ir. Jd A. Hynek, Astronomer, Ohio State Unive
was awarded a contract, effective 16 December 191),% to 30 April
for the purpose of attempting to determine wnich reported ob
micht be ttributed to natural celestial phenomena.
Noa dccuarters Air Weather Service was requested to ree
View each 1 sig se to cetermine those which may have been weather bal-
$ 4%
“4 . : “~~ ¥ ~ ‘ °? - ~s + -~ ” ry s “?
loons by cor release anc weather data with time of sienting;,
ol
-} “ , - 4 ; : mr , + m }
description of Dt and its maneuvers.
i. G. Ee Valley, Scientific Advisory Lo:
many reporters colored their reports with talk of ray,
beams, and magnetic support and propulsion, Dr. Valley ¥
analyze th e incidents and decide whether this could possibly
case in a ${nstance, and to provide information on this matter.
1. Rand C rporation was requested to analyze each in-=
cident and prove ce any reasonable explanation that could be determined
from the evidence oe n Rand ‘glse provided a ciscussion of the pos
sibility of xy beings from other planets
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
De 3160th Electronics Laboratory, Cambridge Nield Sta~
tion, studied all incidents by comparing evidence with research bal~
loon data, to determine which incidents may be attributed to various
types of research balloons.
6. Dr. P. M. Fitts, Psychologist, AMC Aero-ledical Lab=
oratory was requested to review all material relative to sightings and
to provide psychological and illusory information and determine human
capacity for observing and remembering minute details of range, speed,
size, ete
tile these analyses were being conducted, the Swedish
De fense Staff 7 was contacted through our Air Attache to learn the offi-
cial Swedish attitude toward the "ghost rockets". The results of these
requests are contained in AA HKeports, Ho. TR-115=L5, 30 December 1918,
‘and Noe IR=l7=1)9, 2 March 1949 (listed as Appendix NAN),
V. Mscussion of Reports of Consulting Ag encies
A. yr. J. A. Hynek, Final Report (see Appendix "Bt), Dr.
Hynek's report includes the results of a concentrated study of all
files up to an including Incident No. 2lj; However, as mentioned
above, Incidents 224% throuch 227 and 211 through 2lJ;, in the New Mexico
area, will not be considered in this analysis. An additional seven in-
cidents were excluded by Dr. fiynek as explained in his Summary on Page
lL of Appendix "BY. Of the remaining 226 then treated, Dr. Hynek con-
cluded that 2 4. silane bine 42% were astronomical with varying cegrees of
probability. He concluded that an additional 37% were not astronom-
ical but saacaied vo of other explanations, such as dirds, rockets,
balloons, ordinary aircraft, etc. The remaining 302 as far as Ir.
Hynek was concerned either lacked sufficient evidence or evidence
offered suggested no explanation. In compiling these statistics,
Dr. Hynek cautiously accepted each case at face value, without dis-
counting evidence that sometimes "verged on the ludicrous" and without
taking into consiceration psycholorical factors. Tr. Hynek then stated
that "53¢ micht conceivably be considered (although the likelihood of
their being so may be very small) as extra-terrestrial or astronomical
in origin", These include "those which either are definitely astron-
omical or can by suitable manipulation of the evidence be construed as
such",
fir Weather Service, one indorsement and one letter
(see hesen dt | Air Weather Service conducted an analysis simultan-
eously with Dr. Hynek using the same evidence. AWS attempted to deter=
mine whether a synoptic weather balloon could have been at the location
where a sichting was reported.
In this investigation consideration was given to the wind
cirection and speed at the surface and aloft at the scheduled time of
balloon release, and the location of the nearest weather station making
balloon observations. AWS used files of the first 2434 incidents.
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
These include five of New Mexico fireballs and the seven incidents that
duplicated others or had no information, Therefore, 221 incidents are
considered here. Of these, AWS coneludedc that 31 incidents could have
been synoptic balloons, four of these were incidents that Dr. Hynek
could not explaine In addition, AWS determined that ten more incidents
could be attributed to astronomical phenomena. A discrepancy is noted
in that, of the 31 which AWS concluded were balloons, Ir. Hynek has
listed six as possible meteors. In the remaining 25, A‘ and Lr. Hynek
were in close agreement.
NOTE: The project files contain listing
of over 200 weather stations within the U.S.A.
A conservative estimate of balloon releases by
these stattons alone would number well over 500 per day.
Ge Or. Ge E. Valley, General Study (Appendix "D'). Tr. Valley
was requested to review all reports (Incident No. 1 thru 172 incl.) and
provice any possible explanation. At the same time, he considered the
possibility of supporting and propelling a solid object by unusual
means. (It will be noted that Ir. Valley's theories along these lines
very closely parallel those of J. E. Lipp, Rand Corporation, Appendix
wet, )
D Rand Corporation, letter, 13 December 1915, and letter,
29 March 19,9 (Appendix "E"). Rand provided a discussion of the special
design and »verformance characteristics that are believed to distinguish
space ships. Rand received files on Incidents No. 1 thru No. 233 for
ceneral analysis. Althoigh the final report from Rand has not yet been
received, Rand reported, in a letter (Appendix "EM") based on study of
the first 172 incidents, "to date, we have found nothing which would
seriously controvert simple rational explanations of the various phen-
omena ih terms of balloons, conventional aircraft, planets, meteors,
bits of paper, optical illusions, practical jokers, psychopatholosical
reporters, and the like."
E. 3160th Electronics Laboratory, Cambridge Field Station
(Appendix ""). The Electronics Laboratory reviewed Incidents No. 1
thru Noe 172 to determine whether any may have been sightings of special
research balloons. The Laboratory showed that 15 could possibly have
been their balloons. Dr. !!ynek's analysis did not conflict with any of
these, and in some cases served as slight confirmation. However, of
the 1%, three were thought to have been synoptic balloons. It was
learned while obtaining this information, that numerous universities
and laboratories are engaged in various types of research requiring
the use of balloons. Even when the balloons are recovered, there is
no certain way of determining their exact path.
F. ir. Pe Me Fitts, Air Materiel Command Aero-Medical Lab=
oratory (Appendix WG"), Dr. Pitts studied 212 incidents from a psycho-
logical point of view and concluded "that there are sufficient psycho= °
logical explanations for the reports of unidentified objects to provide
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
plausible explanations for reports ~ otherwise explainable." Review
of ir. Fitt's report reveals that this conclusion is warranted, despite
its presumptuous sound. Ir. Fitts monte’ plausible explanations in
six specific reports, one agreed with AWS, four agreed with Ir. Hywmek,
anc one Ir. Hynek could not explain and AWS did not mention.
artment of Commerce Weather Bureau (Appen dix "H't),
weather Bureau provided much information on the phen=
onenon of ball lightning and lightning in generale These phenomena
cannot be ruled out entirely. i: Mewereee none of the recorded incidents
appear to have been lightning
Vie Summarv of Results of Consultants
It can be stated with cervainyy: * nat sabpric piel
many different types of objects and not mitinte Sightings
object or the same type objecte
er
It is realized that none of the explanations given constitute
positive scientific proof. Such proof might be possible were frapments
recovered or were camacse to property or injury to personnel sustained in
any instance. On the other hand, almost every incicent has less than
ject was seen, or that an obiect age or per=
formed as describec. Even in those cases where more than one witness
legal proof that an objje
La
reportec, all witnesses seldom agreed on details.
In view cf the foregoing, the explanations proviced by consult~
{
agencies are accepted as solutions to the respective incidents.
Of the 226 incicents under consideration in this report, 30
must be disregarded for lack of workable evidence. Eight were extracted
from press and radio accounts and are hardly more than rumors. In the
investigation of five others, the observers were found to have possessed
too vivid imapinations, were of low intelligence, or were morally
questionable. It is reasonable to assume that if these thirty inci-
cents hac contained sufficient information a proportionate number could
be explained as were the 16), incidents that have been explained.
With 194 incidents thus eliminated, there remain thirty-four
which contain some evidence but have no apparent ready explanation.
ihis statement is true only under the assumption that the evidence is
accepted as reliable and accurate. When psychological and physio
logical factors are taken into ccnsideration, all of these incicents
can be explained rationally, as pointed out by Ranc ei. beay and
ire Fitts of Air Materiel Command Aero=Medical Laboratory (see Appendixes
No! ang "Gi ) .
VII. Summary of AIC Evaluation of Temainine Renorts
io be
The >
Sh L
remainin unexnp lai ned ined dents ( see Appendix 1? a ) exhibit ted
. ne } y - > ro
characteristics. iwo of them, by statements of the reporters,
have been mace had tlie witnesses not read of the '’t. Ranier
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
|
incident (Tneident No. 17). Most were distributed without pattem
vhroughout the United States. A few were outsice the U. S. No two
Cescriptions of appearance or performance were exactly alike. The re
ported sightings occurred at various times of day and Vear.
VI0T. Relationship Between Publicity and intes of Reports
The following graph (Fig. 1) illustrates an apparent relation-
ship between reports wiich received wide publicity and the total number
of reports. It is believed this has been carried to a sufficient derree
to allow the conclusion that many reports are the direct result of such
publicity.
fhis was further illustrated recently, when this Command re-
ceived 6; reports of Sightings and 51 possible solutions following a
oaturcay Evening Post article and an official press release on the sub-
ject of flying objects. Virtually all of the reporters and correspon=
cents made reference to one of the above mentioned articles.
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
& 2 @
39
Broken line indicates monthly reports. Vertical lines indicate incicents noted
weekly reports 1st to Sth, received wide
9th to 16th, 17th to 2hjth publicity.
& 25th to end of each month
covered.
Usp TOUT
L que TOUT
th
» Cf JUSp TOUT
ao
CB
oO
cS
:
ae
cr
ita
ie
iz
let
\,
js
[
:
iB
By
(S
a
{a
Be age ote saad: Slee oe
i, Cres Se
1947 — | 1ohg
Jan
May | June/July | Aug [Sept | Oct | Nov | Des Feb | Mar | Apr | May | June July | Aug | Sept Oct Nov] Dec
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
a ' ‘ J] < * “~~ 4 . a ? > 7 «i oe 5 oo be ®y’ ) ‘ s Ps aos
4x. @ Lu ONC Us ails ama sity \ OMnme Naat 42£OnNnS
LL OAD I I I EL OE NG LT ts te EN Se A EE TN a a
Ae There 1s no evidence that objects reported upon are the
result of an advanced oe foreign development; and, therefore,
they constitute no dire threa at to the national seourity. In view of
this, it is recommended ‘that the investircation and study of reports of
unidentified flyins objects be reduced in scope. Headquarters ANC will
continue to investigate reports in which realistic technical applica-~
tions are clearly indicated.
NOTE: It is apparent that further
or alons “irbeniggrts or would
only confirm the findines pre-
sented herein.
1. It is further recommended that pertinent collection
directives be revised to reflect the contemplated change in policy.
B. All evidence and analyses indicate that reports of un-
identified flying objects are the result of;
1. Misinterpretation of various conventional objects.
ae A mild form of massehysteria and war nerves.
4e Individuals who fabricate such reports to perpetrate
a hoax or to seek publicity.
ad
Psychopathological persons.
Peace
~~
w
It is, therefore, recommended that Conclusions 1 and .
<- of this report, with sufficient supporting data, be declassified and
made public in the form of ah official press release. This action
would aid in dispelling publio apprehension, often directly attribut-
able to the sensationalistic reporting of many of these incidents by
the press and radio.
C. There are indications that the planned release of suf-
ficient unusual aerial objects coupled with the release of related
psychological propaganda would cause a form of mass-hysteria. Em-
ployment of these methods by or against an enemy would yield similar
results.
In view of this, the Psychological Warfare Division end
other sovernmental acencies intereste xd in psychological warfare should
be informed of the results of this study. These agencies should then
coordinate in and provide further recommendations for public release of
material relative to unidentified flying objects as recommended herein.
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
AF FORM 112—PART | / vee
(CLASSIFICATION)
APPROVED I JUNE 1948
COUNTRY | REPORT NO. (LEAVE BLANK)
SWSDEN | IR 11548 .
AIR INTELLIGENCE INFORMATION REPORT
‘SUBJECT ee
Project. "SIGH" AP #341 65=1
“AREA REPORTED ON os | FROM (Agency) a x
_ Sweden Rie oe See Ohi aae no US
VATE OF REPORT | DATE OF INFORMATION . SS ~ | EVALUATION Sa ee
30 December 1948 29 December 1948 Red
‘PREPARED BY (Officer) SOURCE ——
Donald L. Hardy, Colonel, USAF
ee ee - -ee- e ee — —_— —
REFERENCES (Control number, diPsetive, previous report, efc., as applicable)
Source Control Woe AMC =1455
Swedish Defense Staff
——— ee ee ee ~~ _— ee ee tee ee ee — _ ‘ ae ~
SU MMARY: (E nter concise summary of report. Give significance in final one- sentence paragraph. ~ Liat inclosures at letwer left. Begin tert of report 4 on AF Fort 1! e- Part II.)
1. The Swedish Defense Staff has no proof that any unidentified flying sbiacta,
missiles or vehicles have passed over or near Sweden to date.
€, All reports of sightings in Sweden during the past year, irrespective of to
whom they were submitted, have been funneled to a special section of the Defense Staff,
where the sightings were plotted. In each case ar exhaustive interrogation of the
sighter followed, somewhat along the lines of the ZEI for Project "SIGN", all
evidence obtained of sirhtinvs was explicable in terms of astronomical phenomena,
Je In addition, 3 ercund rader stations and 2 radar equipped destroyers coopere-
ated in maintaining watch. The radar equipments wers Swedish modified British sets
of fairly short range and were not operated on a 24 hour basis; however, no unexplained '
Sightings were made with this equipment. }
| \
i. Gonelusion; Although the possibility exists that objects have traversed k
Sweder and its adjacent waters, no proof has been citained to confirm such flight in oa:
ary instance. _
COMMENT: The cooperation of the Lefense Staff in secur ing this information was undoubt-
edly given in an effort to emphasise their need for additional U.S. radar equipment.
The Swedish Air Board had previously negotaited with the Bendis Corporation for 20 TPS-
lea sets but had beer refused an export license by our State Department. The members of
the Defense Staff, to whom I talked, were eager to point out the good use to which such
equipment could be put for both ourselves and the Swedes as instanced by our mutual
interest in unidentifiable flying objects. However, I am convineed that our refusal to
grant an export license for such equipment will do more good in implementing our nation-
al policy, as expressed in the National Security Council documents NSC 26/1, than would
the information we might receive from the use of such equipment here,
/3/ Donald L. Hardy
DORALD L. HARDY
Colonel, USAF
Air Attache
pisiaes INCLS.
Distribution by Originator CG USAFE, USFA, AA Oslo, Copenhagen, NA, SD = Stoekholm
OBC ite’ S$ 6236
© ANOS! SPR +. Get KS
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
APPENDIX A-1
WO Op > ere ee TE OV Ye Om
e t
4
Air Intelligence Information Report No. Irell5-446
SOOO RS LS OP A EI OEE > I MI PE I POLE LO OS LG IGEN ALE LD LO A OE = A OEE AT A ee re tee Or ore te a < Ee eee
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
cs
en Fare ee aes __|__OAA-Sweden
ae DATE OF REPORT | DATE OF INFORMATION
7
AF FORM 112—PART |
APPROVED 1 JUNE 1948
COUNTRY KREPQRT NO (LEAVE BLANK)
~
as tle
q Rae |
AIR INTELLIGENCE INFORMATION REPORT
SUBJECT
Guided
AREA REPORTE =
ry YR
a/ Vit
ie FROM (Agency)
Sweden |
Pe
RY, +? . my] ‘ “ ¥
< March 1949 = MAT C ch 19
U9
i‘
| — } SB ie
PREPARED BY (Officer)
| EVALUATION _
}
B | SOURCE
'
|
Ro Be. Walsh, Major, USAF | =| Personal Contact.
FERENCES (Confrol number, directive, prett
ertous reDure. étc., as applica lé
R 05-48, Control No. DA-2iy
SUMMARY: (isnder concise summary of report. Give significance in final
Begin tert o; f report on AF Form } 12-—-Part II.)
to request dated 15 January rant Control No. DA~24, and
: EEE information is ee
a
a
Cable oi WS dated ; “3 r 19136
Ve sf 7 Wee
Cars
Was
pera
Foe inc ie
missile was in Sweden
the early part
Answer; Swed official opinion prior to the landing of a V-2 in Sweden
a certain number idsile sightings" were
number were German
_— i ~ 4 a ie “ Ww
ai Lact Tremnainecd
natural phenomena and a cere
altitude enroute across Sweden to Norwaye
“opinion even after the Vee missile landed in
Assistant Air Attache Comment; The Sweden actually do not think very much about these
pported incidents but attempt to play it up as much as possible to the U. S. Attaches
an effort to show their frreat need for radar. Continued interest, therefore, on our
art towards ie last reported
I ted tstiteate, only causes extreme enbarrassment when the
Swedes emphasize their radar request.
L. HARDY
Golonel, USAF
Air At tache
—_. INCLS,
ef =~
*
rHiS IS A TRUE COPY
istribu Y) n by ricinator AA Copenhagen NA = SD “tin
ee J ae S 4 w/ ' 5 M4 2
gin 3406 Stockholm
NAD 9Oe |
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
in final one-sentence paragraph. List inciosures at lower left. Begi
TIT) ry x a
‘ rp 5 ; ; P|
sab A dvds id ch» oh
i Re een
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
ne a? -
hie
TAY o ATR ; ~~ re c Padak = Tt. T7eTRN AP
Te ; :
BROUVUNNALSSA 1230 PAE RC
iz(
~~
REP wry
PI PARED
ASS STE ED
Ba ms ? %
wt A hab” hehe hy heed
STATE UNIVERSITY
ae |
& tho ee A Lhd he Ah
PRO Sam ie
i es Hiv dw 4.4% Ww
7 mr. , TUT
ALR MAT TieG i Bid
war ft r* 4
RY RC ee RAS
Ww due * ~ wt ad
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
> ” ‘5 %7 ¥ y r>
Ai Pio t TX se
a1 ner = ee - a ee ee ee
tT =r eo : OS i i
Ae HYROK Lnal Ret
I eR OT Det SE Ae aetas 7 ae ee ee
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
Y a. y a 7 . T5+ bee ee
: : .
b ewe de i] ; : +
mit BAVA VAL A VULS
r phenomenon was
[~
ol reports, umme: 247, desoribing
>
4
in the sky.
triggered the volley
1 he claimed +¢
>
in &@ chain-like line and *
swerved in and o
x t?
PCSxX Ss
The handling of this
tunate but descriptive term "fF:
L preswnadbly otherwise would have
eahy
unreported. ( ; pertinent, therefore,
of the
Z . Fa EAP ic Ame Y Mc - car 4 4- }
Course, we aeal nere with
it would be
F .
hs gif lS 9 els
7yrastnham+ta
LANCLICOURCS
| BS > +- ~
: Pats
LLCA Y LOlie
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
REPORT ON UNIDENTIFIED
AERIAL AND CELESTIAL OBJECTS
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
, oe Fy Le 1 7 »3},7 . sein 4 Wx “t+ af +} Arta
Solely to indioate thé possible astronomical content of the reports
at mand, in the primary analysis all evidence was accepted at face
M4 |
value, with no attempt to evaluate psycholorical factors. Free
he PEAY che
quently,, however, when fairly kiberal limits of tolerance were al-
lowed, the report made sense physically, whereas t}
statement did note (Whenever allowance was made for possible errors
ariging from subjective reporting, the fact was noted.) lurther-~
more, While some of the reports verse on the ludic ous, the attie-
tude deliberately adopted was to assume honesty and Sincerity on
the part of the reporter. mong the general public, two attitudes
J
aa
>
: P Se > iy. eS i . ~ } - r ~+ : ’ . :
toward flying saucers” seem to be prevalent: one, that all are
3
a te oa : * 7 *. < 3 % 4 i. ‘ Le : 5 " } ee u“ ¢ % « =— 4. ” dew | - -
Oo¥Lously illusions, hailucinations, or hoaxes tne other, that
there must be something to it. from the outset, this investigator
ce
has attempted to regard @ach report, insofar as is logically possible
> ;~ whe es
4s an honest statement by the observer, and to adhere to neither of
OL
o bes
r e~ yr > be ~ bd on, 4° . c t
cne two schools of thought.
Une further comment should be made: almost all of the data
dealt with in this investigation are ext remely tenuous. Wany of the
observers’ reports are incomplete and inexact, and some are distinctly
contradictory. therefore, it has obviously bean impossible to reach
lefinite, scientific conclusions MOST explanations are offered in
. a. - a ie wh Sek te? ke © o t ~ CAa 26 dee 7? de he Be a ~ A A WA se ae
cerms of probability, the degree of which is discussed in the indivi-
dual reports, but can be indicated only generally in the statistics
f - z gees ORs > - Y - 776 ere
. 3 : - > % . “
> < : . : : = et
AMA 2 ;
; . a » : :
. ‘ e 4 :
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
ahs Sees T
>
, - Se
A det AA ES Ad
>- ’ fo - | y ; 3 - - : 4 ‘
7-hem Gould be explained - ¥ Ratronania
J 2 ' - y . ba aw : 4.
} YIAT ey i 2, : . = > s
, Aad 4 y ' » he f Be 4 a VV ? e .y zee oF ;
now Bri 3 f 4. Ve ov idence oor esponc in ¢
>
or bolides, comets, the
moone lalysis was based entirely upon
With no attemot to me
was not authorized
deduce explanatio
hypotheses which anop
and cover
exact!
same ob ject
AASOS TAX
PaAo08 ha W
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
is to segregate
of three classes,
not e
‘ : = _ es - ~ : Pas
dec : sive tcnSs exces pt ion ol
rrTesctions.
- -
7 “~~
cts e as kh
| i vw C) I
+)h4 © = ands ory
viii Oroauk we 0 FE LA
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
hat, in particular, was gathered
of the objects observed’
are excluded from all
the subject report) as.
a hoax, 5 are duplicates, and 3 sontain no information. In sum-
mariging the findinres in the remaining 237. two systems of
Fy > s J
4
fication are possible:
] >
‘ . 7 rt "4 = " les cain | ~ >» , y* atta
1 incidents can be placed in one of two
those which under no stretch of the imagination can be regarded
astronomical or extra-terrestrial (extra-terrestrial throughout
eet ee. ee POTN St RE EE —
0 natural objects not
trono!
+
im “AS » -
OU }6Crt ri
lll, or
omical category; or, son-
,
considered (al-
‘yyy
, ; . 5 tite = —_. . a te,
extra-terrestr VPOMOmigs | tne OCxace
a
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
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ct
-
e*
&
“
ct
=
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the purpose of determining
0
cd
characteristics; for. example, incidents were grouped asccorail
yalyses of separate incidents, two brief studies were conduct
S were made,
hether they include any prevalent
1‘
re
i Qi
the date of oocurrenoe, the hour, the presenoe or lack of noise,
presence or lack of trail or 6xhaust, number of observer
. , P . =n — : ~ a > _ ‘be, ' ~ * < yt ~ ir L a , = - ~ Z =
qualifications of observers (whether with appropriate train
| ea err ys cre Z ae Bean
accurate observation of aerial phenomena -~ aviators, we
te a oes ~“ a. a , ’ rm , | S7Vry y } ' } . ek ~} »é 1 _ . ‘+ - . i ~*
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a3 —*
helpful in spotting identical or similar inoidents, they
Ble ay? 2 . meal? ta A o3
1 ev ed . ; P| ‘ m & 7 Ls 4 LiiA & @
: Cf . . 7. 2 =e ae , Me ,
| Pag * 44) Ph + ch ye » 7 ¥ * « 5s v5 t : & - 4~ h 4 r m VF +3) t om & >
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Declassification Authority: NND 57565
=
a]
e
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general
>
= “aN
b. Sak f
16 Tr
4
0:
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urn yele mt
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T,* ~ -4 = . r a ~, = >» . +-
be. hair or low probability
4
astronomical but suggestive
Ree St . YY aos
Cner explanation
2 a SS - - se . . 1 ,\4
Ae DAsSLOOonS or COralnary alreraitv
1. 2 ' . oe ‘ ~
De Kockets, flares, or
. : + > - ani . a
falling bodies
ry ligcelle 7 vanes— ag t{*} oie ae =
Ca MILBCELLanSsOUs relisccvions,
: ‘ 2 oy abe - . : . : - .
auroral streamers, birds, eG.)
Total
ZZ hj +a 4 tak a } i re % v = + , “ o~ > ; : >> 2 a
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= 7 peony a > "
explanation
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i~* VACK Ou GV LUG Ii ~ oOrscc wos sae
explanation
b. &vidence oftered sugrests no
’ 2 ua
expDieanat ion
a
Wate. “ o} ~ r* “ > . > 2 c> ~ i - _ " se
40 COrC LDF vO tnese } Lnagangs, j Os
~
at impo oy
e340
a
PF Ad Wi
or almos
5 Ly _ Pod = we “5 . 4 + - «4 > - ~~ . TAs : > 4 - 4 — + ~ ‘ > ‘ . ”* \ -
bne cof Insoidaents 6G. remain witnout an appropriate
\
Ca 4
3 tea , nam a : _ ~ . | = lem | cy ~ bn 5 +
Ode ep a 6.) LA Ae LOM 4G wre § A ik o ae 5 Ol GC Oourss e tTnat
~~ - -
« * »
hen a _ 7 oP, ; eS a ee e 4 a : :
F z vy + ok 4 > 5 - + F me nll i - Wy s i. <= + AA t i i Co =, ¥v -' ‘ i oS i i 6 ee) i pe G O oe r G C G & S x L Vv 6 rn |
,
eS tyr, | 2“ Yr) “bal: om - ‘eara c sth hela: ~~ | -
SAN pio SX rlanati ON, &@2na a number of these we re repor
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
+:
: t? roy ~~ % —
AlN Ld om be td YB s adv VA
astronomical
&- Cigh probability:
Ss 4
oh { = 2.
: ws ve oe : bn s Ud» OU, 66, 6Y Pe Ws 94,
’ 2 = Is , / f »\4* lis, Liv. LOG» 156, 140,
197, 203, 204, 208, 216,
4
= / t
e220, 2350, 240.
Noneastronomié
ea
te
cI
fe
-_
paws
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>
tA
ony,
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>
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r)
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ry >
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en
ee 5
tp
Ne
}—4 + aamad
ND
~
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an |
=
os
Po
(reflections,
23, 124, 128, 146,
— -
od :
y, Sw
90 .- gc
J el 2 3 ov £
2 ' A = £ f | ry rr " a ie r, "
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
> =
* . a
wD y cm 7 iy ;
OCOVivo 2 liveayu
sf such work
rf . . ~ Ce
J oOremo > iy ,
‘ : » Va sets sri ae 4a
i 4 rreT 5 } 6 aAStrono;ni >... : Ome! tO nena Lik ps
Wr i. & o ¢ ®, ] > eek
ho
Venus and th
:
, v . = |
iTusBiOn aNd As
*
fe 2 rea
- > 2. al a
Curate ana
J a
+ =
Ww 2k
wea
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
Declassification Authority: NND 57565
nvolve te
Tis » ; . a e = — ‘ -~ “»
sn1Pra, ; LS % y¥PS of
7
> we
proved scientific anda
h we
Yr
.
out the interrogations and
@ either that the interrogator and te
nor, at least, that they work together in close hare
an arrangement would aid greatly in lessening
completeness and inexactness of evidence which has thus far hindered
~
. " Lh
planation of matly fl
Declassification Authority: NND 57565