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Records
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J
RECORD
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d'" ;I 'PROJECT BLLI ' B • ti?0
1---7
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SPECIAL
REPORT
N0.14
II
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(ANALYSIS OF REPORTS OF UNIDENTIFIED AERIAL OB1ECTS)
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PROJECT NO. 10073
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5 MAY 1955
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AIR TECHNICAL INTELLIGENCE CENTER
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WRIGHT-PATTERSON AIR FORCE BASE
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OHIO
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Copy No. 35
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PROJECT BLUE BOOK
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SPECIAL REPORT NO. 14
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(ANALYSIS OF REPORTS OF UNIDENTIFIED AERIAL OBJECTS)
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PROJECT NO. 10073
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5 MAY 1955
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11
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FOR OffIC!Al USt ONlY
(AFR 190-16)
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AIR TECHNICAL INTELLIGENCE GENTER
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WRIGHT-PATTERSON AIR FORCE BASE
o:mo
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No copyright materiel ls contained In this publication,
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
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SUMMARY.
vii
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INTRODUCTION
ORIGIN AND NATURE OF DATA
3
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REDUCTION OF DATA TO MECHANIZED COMPUTATION FORM
4
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Questionnaire .
4
Coding System and Work Sheet
6
Identification of Working Papers.
7
Evaluation of Individual Reports
10
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ANALYSIS OF THE DATA.
14
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Frequency and Percentage Distributions by Characteristics
14
Graphical Presentation .
16
Advanced Study of the Data
16
Position of the Sun Relative to the Observer
16
Statistical Chi Square Test
60
The "Flying Saucer" Model
76
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CONCLUSIONS
94
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APPENDIX A. TABULATION OF FREQUENCY AND PERCENTAGE
DISTRIBUTIONS BY CHARACTERISTICS
95
APPENDIX B. WORKING PAPER FORMS
255
Figure l
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Figure 2
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Figure 3
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Figure 4
Figure 5
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Figure 6
Figure 7
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Figure 8
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Figure 9
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Figure 10
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Figure 11
Figure 12
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Figure 13
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LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS
Frequency of Sightings by Year for Object, Unit, and All Sightings
17
Distribution of Evaluations of Object, Unit, and All Sightings for All Years
18
Distribution of Object Sightings by Evaluation for All Years With Comparisons
of Each Year for Each Evaluation Group •
19
Distribution of Object Sightings by Evaluation for All Years and Each Year
20
Distribution of Object Sightings by Evaluation Within Months for All Years
21
Distribution of Object Sightings by Certain and Doubtful Evaluations for
All Years and Each Year •
22
Frequency of Object Sightings and Unknown Object Evaluations by
Months, 1947-1952.
23
Distribution of Object Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups With
Evaluation Distributions for Each Group . 24
Distribution of Object Sightings Among the Four Sighting Reliability
Groups for All Years and Each Year .
25
Distribution of All Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, Segregated
by Military and Civilian Observers, With Evaluation Distribution
for Each Segregation 26
Distribution of Object Sightings by Reported Colors of Object(s) With
Evaluation Distribution for Each Color Group •
27
Distribution of Object Sightings by Number of Objects Seen per Sighting
With Evaluation Distribution for Each Group
28
Distribution of Object Sightings by Duration of Sighting With Evaluation
Distribution for Each Duration Group .
29
iii
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LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS
(Continued)
Figure 14 Distribution of Object Sightings by Months Among the Eight Duration
Groups for All Years
Figure 15 Distribution of Object Sightings by Shape of Object(s) Reported With
Evaluation Distribution for Each Shape Group ,
Figure 16 Distribution of Object Sightings by Reported Speed of Object(s) With
Evaluation Distribution for Each Speed Group .
Figure 17 Distribution of All Sightings by Observer Location for All Years and Each Year
Figure 18 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Color, 1947-1952
Figure 19 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Number of Objects
per Sighting, 1947-1952
Figure 20 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Speed, 1947-1952
Figure 21 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Duration, 1947-1952
Figure 22 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Shape, 1947-1952
Figure 23 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Light Brightness, 1947-1952
Figure 24 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Astronomical
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Astronomical.
Figure 25 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Aircraft
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Aircraft
Figure 26 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Balloon
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Balloon,
Figure 27 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Insufficient
Information Versus Total Object Sightings Less Insufficient Information
Figure 28 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Other
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Other
Figure 29 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Unknown
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Unknown
Figure 30 Characteristics Profiles of Object Sightings by Total Sample, Known Evaluations,
and Individual Known Evaluations, With Unknown Evaluations Superimposed ,
Figure 31 Frequency of Object, Unit, and All Sightings Within the U. S., 1947-1952, by
Subdivisions of One Degree of Latitude and Longitude
Figure 32 Distribution of Object Sightings by Evaluation for the Twelve Regional Areas of
the U. S., With the Strategic Areas Located
Figure 33 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
Central East Region
Figure 34 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
Central Midwest Region
Figure 35 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
Central Farwest Region
Figure 36 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
South Midwest Region .
Figure 37 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
South West Region
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Page
30
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32
33
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34
35
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36
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37
38
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39
40
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42
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,-
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47
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48
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49
50
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51
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52
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53
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LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS
(Continued)
Figure 38 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
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South Farwest Region .
54
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Figure 39 Diagram of a Celestial Sphere. 56
Figure 40 Frequency of Object Sightings by Angle of Elevation of the Sun, Intervals
of 10 Degrees of Angle.
57
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Figure 41 Frequency of Object Sightings by Local Sun Time, Intervals of One Hour 59
Table Object Sightings
60
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Table II Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Color
62
Table
III
Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis
of Number
63
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Table IV Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis
of Shape
64
Table V Chi Square Test of Knowns
Versus Unknowns
on the Basis
of Duration of Observation 65
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Table VI
Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Speed ti6
Table VII Chi Square
Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Light Brightness 67
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Table VIII Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Color 70
Table IX Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Number. 71
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Table X Chi Square
Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns
on the Basis of Shape
72
Table XI Chi Square
Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns
on the Basis of
Duration of Ob~ervation
73
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Table XII Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns
Versus Unknowns
on the Basis of Speed 74
Table XIII Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Light Brightness. 75
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v and vi
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SUMMARY
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Reports of unidentified aerial objects (popularly termed "flying
saucers" or "flying discs") have been received by the U.S. Air Force
since mid-1947 from' many and diverse sources. Although there was no
evidence that the ·unexplained reports of unidentified objects constituted
I
a threat to the security of the U.S., the Air Force determined that all
rep,orts of unidentified aerial objects should be fovestigated and evaluated
to d,etermine if "flying saucers". represented technological developments
not known to this country.
I
In order to discover any pertinent trend or pattern inherent in the
data, and to evaluate or explain any trend or pattern found, appropriate
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methods of reducing these data from reports of unidentified aerial objects
to a form amenable to scientific' appraisal were employed. In general, the
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original data upon which this study was based consisted of impressions and
interpretations of apparently unexplainable events, and seldom contained
reliable measurements of physical attributes. This subjectivity of the data
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presented a 'major limitation to the drawing of significant conclusions, but
did not invalidate the application of scientific methods bf study.
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The reports received by the U.S. Air Force on unidentified aerial
objects were reduced to IBM punched-card abstracts of the data by means
of logically developed forms and standardized evaluation procedures.
Evaluation of sighting reports, a crucial step in the preparation of the data
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for statistical treatment, consisted of an appraisal of the reports and· the
subsequent categorization of the object or objects described in each report.
A detailed description of this phase of the study stresses the careful
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attempt to maintain complete objectivity and consistency.
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Analysis of the refined and evaluated data derived from the original
reports of sightings consisted of (I) a systematic attempt to ferret out any
distinguishing characteristics _inherent in the data of any of their segments,
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(2) a concentrated study of any trend or pattern found, and (3) an attempt
to determine the probability that any of the UNKNOWNS represent observa.:.
tions of technological' developments not known to this country.
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The first step in the 'analysis of the data revealed the existence of
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certain apparent similarities between cases of objects definitely identified
.i.nd those not identified. Statistical methods of testing when applied indicated
a low probability that these apparent similarities were significant. An
attempt to determine the probability that any of the UNKNOWNS represeri'ted
observations of technological developments not known to this country necessi
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tated a thorough re-examination and re-evaluation of the cases of objects not
originally identified; this led to the conclusion that this probability was very
small.
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The special study which resulted in this report (Analysis of Reports
of Unidentified Aerial Objects, 5 May 1955) started in 1953. To provide the
study group with a complete set of files, the informatio~ cut-off date was
established as of the end of 1952. It will accordingly be noted that the
statistics contained in all charts and tables in this report are terminated
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with the year 1952. In these charts, 3201 cases have been used.
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As the study progressed, a constant program was maintained for
the purpose of making comparisons between the current cases received
after I January 1953, and those being used for the report. This was done
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in order that any change or significant trend which might arise from
current developments could be incorporated in the summary of this report.
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The 1953 and 1954 cases show a general and expected trend of
increasing percentages in the finally identified categories. They also.show
decreasing percentages in categories where there was insufficient informa
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tion and those where the phenomena could not be explained. This trend had
been:. anticipated in the light of improved reporting and investigating pro
ceduJ;"es.
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Official reports on hand at the end of 1954 totaled 4834. Of these,
425 were produced in 1953 and 429 in 195'!. These 1953 and 1954 indi
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vidual reports (a total of 854), were evaluated on the same basis as were
those received before the end of 1952. The results are as follows:
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Balloons
-16%
Aircraft
-20%
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Astronomical
-25%
Other
-13%
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Insufficient Info
1 7%
1.
Unknown
-
9%
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As the study of the current cases progressed, it became increasingly
obvious that if reporting and investigating procedures could be further improved,
the percentages of those cases which contained insufficient information and
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those remaining unexplained would be greatly reduced. The key to a higher
percentage of solutions appeared to be in rapid "on the spot" investigations
by trained personnel. On the basis of this, a revised program was estab-
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lished by AF Reg. 200-2 Subject: "Unidentified Flying Objects Reporting"
(Short Title: UFOB) dated 12 August 1954.
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This new program, which had begun to show marked results before
January 1955, provided primarily that the 4602d Air Intelligence Service'
Squadron (Air Defense Command) would carry out all field investigations.
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This squadron has sufficient units and is so deployed as to be able to arrive
"on the spot" within a very short time after a report is received. After
treatment by the 4602d AISS, all information is supplied to the Air Technical
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Intelligence Center for final evaluation. This cooperative program has re
sulted, since 1 January 1955, in reducing the insufficient information cases
to 7o/o and the unknown cases to 3%, of the totals.
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The period l January 1955 to 5 May 1955 accounted for 131 unidentified
aerial object reports received. Evaluation percentages of these are as follows:
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viii
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Balloons
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Aircraft
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.....
Astronomical
Other
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Insufficient Info -7%
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,,
Unknown
-3%
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All available data were included in this study which was prepared by
a panel of scientists both in and out of the Air Force. On the basis of this
study it is believed that all the unidentified aerial objects could have been
explained if more complete observational data had been available. Insofar
fi
as the reported aerial objects which still remain unexplained are concerned,
there exists little information other than the impressions and interpretations
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of their observers. As these impressions and interpretations have been
replaced by the use of improved methods of investigation and reporting, and
,by scientific analysis, the number of unexplained cases has decreased rapidly
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towards the vanishing point.
Therefore, on the b_asis of this evaluation of the information, it is
r·
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considered to be highly improbable that reports of unidentified aerial objects
examined in this study represent observations of technological developments
outside of the range of present-day scientific knowledge. It is emphasized
that there has been a complete lack of any valid evidence of physical 'matter
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in any case of a
[1
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f
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- 26%
- 21%
- 23%
20%
reported unidentified aerial object.
ix
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INTRODUCTION
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In June, 1947, Kenneth Arnold, a Boise, Idaho, businessman and
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private pilot, publicly reported the now-famous sighting of a chainlike
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formation of disc-shaped objects near Mount Rainier, Washington. Result
ing newspaper publicity of this incident caught the public interest, and,
shortly thereafter, a rash of reports of unidentified aerial objects spawned
the term "flying saucers". During the years since 1947, many reports of
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unidentified aerial objects have been received by the Air Force from many
and diverse sources.
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The unfortunate term "flying saucer", or "flying disc", because of
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its widespread and indiscriminate use, requires definition. Many defini
tions have been offered, one of the best being that originated by Dr. J.
Allen Hynek, Director of the Emerson McMillin Observatory of The Ohio
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State University, who has taken a scientific interest in_the problem of
unidentified aerial objects since 1949. Dr. Hynek' s definition of the term
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is "any aerial phenomenon or sighting that remains unexplained to the
viewer at least long enough for him to write a report about it
11
( 1). Dr. Hynek,
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elaborating on his definition, says, "Each flying saucer, so defined, has
associated with it a probable lifetime. It wanders in the field of public in
spection like an electron in a field of ions, until
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captured' by an explana
tion which puts an end to its existence as a
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flying saucer'
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( 1).
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This definition would be applicable to any and all of the sightings
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which remained unidentified throughout this study. However, the term
"flying saucers" shall be used hereafter in this report to mean a novel,
airborne phenomenon, a manifestation that is not a part of or readily ex
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plainable by the fund of scientific knowledge known to be possessed by the
Free World. This would include such items as natural phenomena that are
not yet completely understood, psychological phenomena, or intruder air
craft of a type that may be possessed by some source in large enough
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numbers so that more than one independent mission may have been flown
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and reported. Thus, these phenomena are of the type which should have
been observed and reported more than once.
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Since 1947, public interest in the subject of unidentified aerial objects
fluctuated more or less within reasonable limits until the summer of 1952,
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when the frequency of reports of sightings reached a peak, possibly stimu
lated by several articles on the subject in leading popular magazines.
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Early in 1952, the Air Force's cumulative study and analysis of
reported sightings indicated that the majority of reports could be accounted
for as misinterpretations of known objects ( such as meteors, balloons, or
aircraft), a few as the result of mild hysteria, and a very few as the result
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of unfamiliar meteorological phenomena and light aberrations. However,
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(1) Hynek, J. A.• "Unusual Aerial Phenomena"• Journal of the Optical Society of America. 43 (4).
pp 311-314, April, 1953.
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a significant number of fairly complete reports by reliable observers re
mained unexplained. Although no evidence existed that unexplained reports
of sightings constituted_ a
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>hysical threat to the security of the U. S., in
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March, 1952, the Air Force decided that all reports of unidentified
aerial objects should be investigated and evaluated to determine if "flying
saucers" represented technological developments not known to this country.
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Originally, the problem involved the preparation and analysis of about
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1,300 reports accumulated by the Air Force between 1947 and the end of
March, 1952. During the course of the work, the number of reports sub
mitted for analysis and evaluation more than tripled, the result of the un
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precedented increase in observations during 1952. Accordingly, this study
is based on a number of reports considered to be large enough for a pre
liminary statistical analysis, approximately 4, 000 reports.
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This study was undertaken primarily to categorize the available
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reports of sightings and to determine the probability that any of the reports
of unidentified aerial objects represented observations of "flying saucers".
With full cognizance of the quality of the data available for study, yet with
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an awareness of the proportions this subject has assumed at times in the
public mind, this work was undertaken with all the seriousness accorded
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to a straightforward scientific investigation. In order to establish the
probability that any of the reports of unidentified aerial objects represented
observations of "flying saucers", it was necessary to make an attempt to
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answer the question "What is a 'flying saucer'?". However, it must be
emphasized that this was only incidental to the primary purpose of the
study, the determination of the probability that any of the reports of un
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identified aerial objects represented observations of "flying saucers", as
defined on Page 1.
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The basic technique for this study consisted of reducing the available
data to a form suitable for mechanical manipulation, a prerequisite for the
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application of preliminary statistical methods .. One of International
Business Machine Corporation's systems was chosen as the best available
mechanical equipment.
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The reduction of data contained in sighting reports into a form suit
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able for transfer to IBM punched cards was extremely difficult and time
consuming.
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For this study a panel of consultants was formed, consisting of both
experts within and outside A TIC. During the course of the work, guidance
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and advice were received from the panel. The professional experience
available from the panel covered major scientific fields and numerous
specialized fields.
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All records and working papers of this study have been carefully
preserved in an orderly fashion suitable for ready reference. These
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records include condensations of all individual sighting reports, and the
IBM cards used in various phases of the study.
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ORIGIN AND NATURE OF DATA
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Reports of sightings were received by the U. S. Air Force from a
representative cross section of the population of the U. S., and varied
widely in completeness and quality. Included were reports from reputable
scientists, housewives, farmers, students, and technically trained mem
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bers of the Armed Forces. Reports varied in length from a few sentences
stating that a "flying saucer" had been sighted, to those containing thou
sands of words, including description, speculation, and advice on how to
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handle the "problem of the
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flying saucers
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". Some reports were of high
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quality, conservative, and as complete as the observer could make them;
a few originated from people confined to mental institutions. A critical
examination of the reports revealed, however, that a high percentage of
them was submitted by serious people, mystified by what they had seen and
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motivated by patriotic responsibility.
Three principal sources of reports were noted in the preliminary
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review of the data. The bulk of the data arrived at A TIC through regular
military channels, from June, 1947, until the middle of 1952.
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A second type of data consisted of letters reporting sightings sent by
civilian observers directly to A TIC. Most of these direct communications
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were dated subsequent to April 30, 1952, and are believed to be the result
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of a suggestion by a popular magazine that future reports be directed to the
Air Technical Intelligence Center. As could be expected, a large number
of letters was received following this publicity.
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A third type of data was that contained in questionnaire forms com
pleted by the observer himself. A questionnaire form, developed during
the course of this study, was mailed by A TIC to a selected group of writers
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of direct letters with the request that the form be completed and returned.
Approximately 1,000 responses were received by ATIC.
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In general, the data were subjective, consisting of qualified estimates
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of physical characteristics rather than of precise measurements. Further
more, most of the reports were not reduced to written form immediately.
The time between sighting and report varied from one day to several years.
Both of these factors introduced an element of doubt concerning the validity
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o,f the original data, and increased its subjectivity. This was intensified by
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the recognized inability of the average individual to estimate speeds, dis
tances, and sizes of objects in the air with any degree of accuracy. In
spite of these limitations, methods of statistical analysis of such reports m
sufficiently large groups are valid. The danger lies in the possibility of
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3
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forgetting the subjectivity of the data at the time that conclusions are
drawn from the analysis. It must be emphasized, again and again, that any
conclusions contained in this report are based NOT on facts, but on what
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many observers thought and estimated the true facts to be.
Altogether, the data for this study consisted of approximately 4, 000
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reports of sightings of unidentified aerial objects. The majority were :re
ceived through military channels or in the form of observer-completed
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questionnaires; a few were accepted in the form of direct letters from un
-questionably reliable sources. Sightings made between June, 1947, and
December, 1952, were considered for this study. Sightings alleged to have
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occurred prior to 1947 were not considered, since they were not reported
to official sources until after public interest in "flying saucers" had been
stimulated by the popular press.
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REDUCTION OF DATA TO MECHANIZED COMPUTATION FORM
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As received by the Air Technical Intelligence Center, the sighting
reports were not in a form suitable for even a quasi-scientific study. A
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preliminary review of the data indicated the need for standardized interro
gation procedures and supplemental forms for the reduction of currently
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held and subsequently acquired data to a form amenable to scientific
appraisal.
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The plan for reduction of the data to usable form consisted of a pro
gram of development comprising four major steps: ( 1) a systematic listing
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of the factors necessary to evaluate the observer and his report, and to
identify the unknown object observed; (2) a standard scheme for the trans
fer of data to a mechanized computation system; (3) an orderly means of
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relating the original data to_ all subsequent forms; and (4} a consistent pro
cedure for the identification of the phenomenon described by the original
data. I
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Questionnaire
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The first reports received by A TIC varied widely in completeness
and quality. Air Force Letter 200-5(2} and Air Force Form 112( 1) were
I
attempts to fix responsibility for and improve the quality of the reports of
sightings. To coordinate past efforts and to provide standardization for the
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(1) A modified Air Force Form 112 lists pertinent questions to be answered in regard to an unidentified-object
sighting.
(2) Air Force Letter 200-5 places responsibility with the Air Force for the investigation, reporting, and
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analysis of unidentified aerial objects. This letter is dated 29 April 1952.
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4
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future, it was imperative to develop a questionnaire form listing the factors
necessary for evaluation of the observer and his report, and identification
of the unknown objects. In addition, it was decided that such a questionnaire
should be designed to serve as an interrogator's guide, and as a form for
I
the observer himself to complete when personal interrogation was not possi
ble or practicable.
I
Ideally, a questionnaire for the purposes required should contain
I
questions pertaining to all technical details considered to be essential for
the statistical approach, and should serve to obtain a maximum of informa
tion from the average individual who had made a sighting in the past or
would be likely to be reporting sightings in the future. Besides these ~is
I
crete facts, an integrated written description of a sighting would be re
quired, thus enabling the reported facts of the sighting to be corroborated.
I
Also, a narrative description might allow subtle questions to be answered
concerning the observer's ability, such as indirect questions that would
I
reveal his reasoning ability, suggestibility, and general mental attitude.
As a whole, then, the information contained in a questionnaire should make
possible the classification and evaluation of the sighting, the rating of the
observer, the probability of accuracy of reported facts, and the identifica
I
tion of what was reported by the observer as unidentified.
I
During the course of this project, three questionnaire forms were
I
developed, each intended to be an improved revision of the one preceding.
The improvements were suggested and confirmed by members of the panel
of consultants connected with this project.
I
The original form was evolved by the panel of consultants as their
first work on this project. It was intended to allow the start of the reduc
tion of reports to discrete data, and was immediately subjected to exten
I
sive review and revision by the panel. The revised ( second) form was
subjected to a trial test before adoption. A TIC sent a copy to observers
reporting sightings, with the request that the form be completed and re
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turned. Of the first 300 questionnaires returned during July and August,
I
1952, 168 were analyzed by a consulting psychologist. On the basis of this
analysis, plus the experience gained in working with past reports, the final
form of the questionnaire -the U. S. Air Force Technical Information
I
Sheet -was evolved. Copies of the three forms of the questionnaire, in
the order of their development, are shown as Exhibits BI, B2, and B3 in
Appendix B.
I
In order to implement the transcription of data from past sighting
I
reports, each succeeding form was put to use as soon as it was developed
and approved. Accordingly, experience was obtained with each form in
relation to past data, an important factor in the improvement of the quality
and completeness of the later reports included in this study.
I
I
5
I
I
I
Coding System and Work Sheet
I
The reduction of non-numerical data to numerical form is mandatory
in the machine handling of data. Thus, the selection of the IBM punched
card system for analysis of data forced the adoption of a master coding
I
plan. Since it was impracticable to transfer detailed data of a~ exact
nature from the questionnaire to the IBM card, an intermediate transfer
I
form, coordinated with the master code, was necessary.
The master coding plan was evolved during the early stages of the
I
preli~inary analysis of data, and was reviewed by the panel of consultants
before use. It was recognized that this system of coding would be the
heart of the analysis, that is, the completeness of the facility for trans
I
lation of data could make or break the study. Accordingly, every conceiv
able factor that might influence the identification of unidentified aerial
I
objects was included, together with a wide range of variations within each
factor. The original coding system (with minor corrections) was used
throughout the translation of the original data with marked success. A copy
I
of this system, called CODES, is enclosed as Exhibit IH, Appendix B.
I
To facilitate the preparation of the punched-card abstract, an inter
mediate form called the WORK SHEET (later, the CARD BIBLE) was
developed. Referenced to both the data from the questionnaire and the sys
I
tem of report identification, the WORK SHEET permitted an orderly
transcription of data simultaneously by several people. In conjunction
with the CODES, the WORK SHEET was used during the reduction of the
I
original data to code form necessary for transfer to punched cards. A
sample is included as Exhibit BS, Appendix B.
I
After the analysis was under way, it became apparent that the me
chanics of machine processing could be improved by incorporating in the
I
IBM card system group classifications of certain factors requiring more
than one column for discrete expression. In addition, the inclusion of
certain data relating to the evaluation and bearing of the sun with respect
I
to the observer was considered necessary. Finally, a critical examination
of certain segments of the data indicated the need for the definition of a
I
new factor relating to the maneuvers of the object or objects sighted.
Prior to the start of the analytical study, it had been assumed that a com
bination of stated factors would, by inference, define the maneuver pattern.
I
All these additions have been incorporated in a revised set of CODES
I
and CARD BIBLE that are illustrated as Exhibits B6 and B7, Appendix B.
However, at the time that the maneuver factor was determined to be criti
cal, it was physically impracticable to make the required definitions and
I
re-evaluate the original data. Therefore, no code for maneuverability has
been included in the CODES, CARD BIBLE, or IBM cards.
I
I
6
I
I
I
Identification of Working Papers
I
I
The actual reduction of data to IBM punched-card form presented a
problem of mass transfer of figures by several workers. Recognizing that
an orderly system of relating the original data to the questionnaire, the
WORK SHEET, and the IBM card was imperative, a scheme of SERIAL
I
NUMBERS was developed to answer this need.
I
The first data consisted of a series of letter-file folders identified by
the year and location of the sighting or sightings they contained. The num
I
ber of reports of sightings in a single folder varied from 1 to over 20.
Under these conditions, there was a great possibility for incorrect tran
scription of data, duplication of transcription, or misplacement of inter
mediate forms. Further, it was considered desirable to relate all sightings
I
of the same object or objects to one another. The concept of a four-digit
I
serial number (major), followed by a two-digit subserial number (minor),
was adequate to fulfill these requirements.
To expedite handling of the data, temporary serial numbers were
I
assigned until each report had been evaluated and the phenomenon had been
I
placed i11:, a category of identification. The use of temporary serial num
bers permitted the consolidation of duplicate reports from apparently
diverse sources, such as a teletype message and an Air Force Form 112.
I
However, this consolidation was made ONLY when it could be proved con
clusively that the sources of the two documents were one and the same.
Factors of the observer's location, date and time of observation, descrip
tion of the phenomenon, and finally, the name of the observer were con
I
sidered. In this manner, the assignment of major serial and minor sub
I
serial numbers in continuous series was made only to the reports accepted
for the statistical study. It is believed that the reports accepted represent
unique and unduplicated instances of sightings.
I
In the establishment of the serial-number system, it was necessary
to define certain terms,' so that a standard interpretation could be achieved.
The terms and corresponding definitions were:
I
OBSERVER -
I
SIGHTING
I
I
I
I
I
Any witness reporting to a proper authority that
he had seen unidentified aerial objects.
The report or group of reports of the same
observed phenomenon that remained unidenti
fied to the observer or observers, at least
until reported.
7
I
I
SINGLE OBSERVATION - A SIGHTING consisting of a single
report from ( 1) one OBSERVER with no knowledge
of additional OBSERVERS of the same phenom
I
enon, or (2) a group of witnesses of the same
phenomenon, each cognizant of the others. The
witness who made the report is called a SINGLE
I
OBSERVER.
I
MULTIPLE OBSERVATION - A SIGHTING consisting of
several reports from OBSERVERS of the same
phenomenon who were cognizant of each other.
I
The witnesses who made reports are called
MULTIPLE OBSERVERS.
I
ALL SIGHTINGS - ( 1) The group of reports consisting of one
report for each OBSERVER, including both
I
SINGLE and MULTIPLE OBSERVERS. (2) The
questionnaire, work sheet, and IBM card
representing the report from each OBSERVER -
I
in other words, the representation of each report
accepted for the statistical study.
I
UNIT SIGHTINGS - ( 1) The group of reports consisting of one
report for each SIGHTING, including all the
I
reports of SINGLE OBSERVATIONS and the one
most representative report from each MULTIPLE
OBSERVATION. (2) The questionnaire, work I
sheet, and IBM card representing the report for
each SIGHTING accepted for the statistical study.
I
A major serial number (four digits) was assigned to each sighting,
segregating the year of occurrence by selection of limits for each year, as
I
follows:
I
0001 to 0500
reserved for
1947
0501 to 1000 reserved for
1948
1001 to 1500 reserved for
1949
I
150lto2000 reserved for
1950
2001 to 2500 reserved for
1951
2501 to4900
reserved for
1952
I
While this scheme would serve to identify any individual sighting, identifi
I
cation of each report and its subsequent forms was necessary. The minor
subserial numbers (two digits) fulfiiled this requirement. For all SINGLE
OBSERVATIONS, a major serial number followed by two (2) zeros, for
I
example, 2759. 00, was sufficient identification. For MULTIPLE OBSER
VATIONS, the major serial number followed by a series of two-digit num
bers ranging from 00 to 99 was used to identify the individual reports. In
I
general, the most complete report from the most reliable observer of that
I
8
I
I
I
MULTIPLE OBSERVATION was identified with the . 00 subserial number.
As an example, a MULTIPLE OBSERVATION consisting of six sighting
I
reports would have the following serial numbers:
I
1132. 00 representing the best report and observer
1132.01 representing an additional observer
1132. 02 representing an additional observer
I
1132. 03 representing an additional observer
I
1132. 04 representing an additional observer
1132. 05 representing an additional observer
I
During the course of the transcription of the data to machine card
form, it became obvious that certain reports could have been independent
observations of the same phenomenon. So, if the presentation of an
analysis based on one report for each sighting was valid (the concept of
I
UNIT SIGHTINGS}, a presentation of an analysis based on one report for
each phenomenon should be valid also. Further, the examination of data
I
relating to the actual number of phenomena was considered to be the proper
basis for assessing the probability of technological developments outside
the range of present-day scientific knowledge. Therefore, a designation of
I
OBJECT SIGHTINGS was established, with the following definition:
OBJECT SIGHTING - ( 1) The group of reports consisting of
I
one report for each phenomenon. (2) The
I
questionnaire, work sheet, and IBM card
representing a report for each phenomenon
accepted for the statistical study.
I
In brief review, ALL SIGHTINGS refer to all reports, UNIT SIGHTINGS
refer to actual sightings, and OBJECT SIGHTINGS refer to the assumed
I
number of phenomena.
I
It must be recognized that the process of identifying OBJECT
SIGHTINGS was deductive, while that for UNIT SIGHTINGS was definitive.
A conservative approach was adopted in the determination of OBJECT
SIGHTINGS, using the factors of date and time of observations, location
I
of observers, duration of observations, and range, bearing, track direc
I
tion, and identification of the phenomena. Any error of selection of OBJECT
SIGHTINGS will tend to be in the direction of reducing the actual number of
phenomena observed ( several instances of UNIT SIGHTINGS that might be
one OBJECT SIGHTING were noted, but the evidence was not conclusive
I
enough to justify consolidation of the reports).
I
Following the determination of OBJECT SIGHTINGS, a series of
serial numbers, called the INCIDENT SERIAL NUMBERS, was established
I
to facilitate any future study of a specific object sighting. Each reported
sighting that relates to an OBJECT SIGHTING received the same incident
serial number, a four-digit code paralleling the major serial number
series.
I
9
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I
I
For machine manipulation, it was desirable to be able to select the
sample of cards (all reports, all sightings, or all phenomena) to be in
cluded in a particular study. The concept of a SIGHTING IDENTIFICATION
I
NUMBER was evolved to fill this desire. Using one column of the IBM
card, and the correlated working papers,· the code for this function was
developed. Multiple punching eliminated the need to use several columns
I
for discrete expression of the variations. Selection of the proper number
in this column thus permitted selection of the desired sample of cards.
·1
Evaluation of Individual Reports
I
I
Evaluation of sighting reports was recognized as a crucial step in the
preparation of data for statistical treatment; inconsistent evaluations would
have invalidated any conclusions to be derived from this study. A method
I
of evaluation was, therefore, determined simultaneously with the develop
ment of the questionnaire, the coding system, and the work sheet. It is
emphasized that all phases of evaluation, even including the tedious prep
I
aration of the original data for statistical treatment, were entrusted only
to selected, specially qualified scientists and engineers.
I
Evaluation consisted of a standardized procedure to be followed for:
( 1) the deduction of discrete facts from data which depended on human im
I
pressions rather than scientific measurements, (2) the rating of the ob
server and his report as determined from available information, and ( 3) the
determination of the probable identification of the phenomenon observed.
I
Categories of identification, established upon the basis of previous experi
ence, were as follows:
I
Balloon
Astronomical
I
Aircraft
Light phenomenon
Birds
I
Clouds, dust, etc.
Insufficient information
I
Psychological manifestations
Unknown
Other
I
The first step in evaluation, the deduction of discrete facts from
I
subjective data, required certain calculations based on the information
available in the sighting report. An example was the finding of the approxi
mate angular velocity and acceleration of the object or objects sighted.
I
Care was taken during this phase of the work to insure against the deduc
tion of discrete facts not warranted by the original data. Thus, even
though there was a complete lack of any valid evidence consisting of
I
I
10
I
I
I
physical matter in any case of a reported unidentified aerial object, this
I
was not assumed to be prima facie evidence that "flying saucers" did not
exist.
I
In those cases in which an attempt to reduce the information to a
1·
factual level failed completely, the report was eliminated from further con
sideration, and thus not included in the statistical analysis. About 800
I
reports of sightings were eliminated or rejected in this manner. Most of
these reports were rejected because they were extremely nebulous; the
rest were rejected because they contained highly conflicting statements.
The second step in evaluation, the rating of the observer and his
I
report, logically followed the first step, the reduction of the data to usable
form. Ratings were assigned on the basis of the following factors of in
I
formation, considered in relation to one another:
I
( 1) The experience of the observer, deduced from his
occupation, age, and training;
( 2) The consistency among the separate portions of the
I
description of the sighting;
I
(3) The general quality and completeness of the report;
(4) Consideration of the observer's fact-reporting ability
I
and attitude, as disclosed by his manner of describing
the sighting.
I
In cases in which insufficient information was available to make a judgment
of the observer or report, none was made, but the report was accepted for
I
the statistical study.
The third step in the process of evaluation, the attempted identifica
I
tion of the object or objects sighted, was done twice, first by the individual
I
who made the transcription of the data (the preliminary identification), and
later (the final identification} by a conference of four persons, two repre
sentatives from ATIC and two from the panel of consultants. Although
representatives of A TIC participated in making the final identifications, it
I
must be emphasized that any previous identification of a sighting made by
A TIC was not introduced or referred to in any way.
I
In the coding system, the choices provided for final identifications
were based on A TIC' s previous experience in analysis of the data. They
I
had found that the majority of sightings could be classified as misinterpre
tations of common objects or natural phenomena. Accordingly, categories
I
for objects most frequently present in the air were provided. Balloons,
aircraft, astronomical bodies ( such as meteors), birds, and clouds or dust
I
were recognized as major categories. The less frequent, but common
objects, such as kites, fireworks, flares, rockets, contrails, and
11
I
I
I
meteorological phenomena like small tornadoes, were collected into a
category called OTHER. A separate category for the uncommon natural
phenomena associated with light reflections or refractions, such as mirages,
I
sun dogs, inversion-layer images, and distortions caused by airborne ic.e,
was established with the title of LIGHT PHENOMENON. Categories for
INSUFFICIENT INFORMATION, PSYCHOLOGICAL MANIFESTATIONS, and
I
UNKNOWN were provided for the sightings that could not be fitted into the
preceding identifications. An explanation of their use follows:
I
INSUFFICIENT INFORMATION -This identification category
was assigned to a report when, upon final con
I
sideration, there was some essential item of
information missing, or there was enough
doubt abou._t what data were available to disallow
I
•identification as a common object or some
natural phenomenon. It is emphasized that this
I
category of identification was not used as a
convenient way to dispose of what might be
called "poor unknowns", but as a category for
I
reports that, perhaps, could have been one of
several known objects or natural phenomena.
No reports identified as INSUFFICIENT INFORMA
I
TION contain authenticated facts or impressions
concerning the sighting that would prevent its
I
being identified as a known object or phenomenon;
PSYCHOLOGICAL MANIFESTATIONS -This identification
I
category was assigned to a report when,
although it was well established that the ob
I
server had seen something, it was also
obvious that the description of the sighting
had been overdrawn. Religious fanaticism, a
I
desire for publicity, or an over-active imagi
nation were the most common mental aber
rations causing this type of report; I
UNKNOWN -This designation in the identification code was
I
assigned to those reports of sightings wherein
the description of the object and its maneuvers
could not be fitted to the pattern of any known
I
object or phenomenon.
I
For the purposes of this study, two groups of identifications were
recognized, the KNOWNS (including all identification categories except the
UNKNOWNS) and the UNKNOWNS.
I
All possible identifications provided in the code system, except
INSUFFICIENT INFORMATION and UNKNOWN, could be assigned accord
I
ing to two degrees of certainty, designated "Certain" and "Doubtful".
I
I
12
I
I
I
A "Certain" identification indicated a minimum amount of doubt regarding
the validity of the evaluation. By "rule-of-thumb" reasoning, the proba
bility of the identification being correct was better than 95 per cent. A
"Doubtful'' identification indicated that the choice was less positive, but
I
that there was a better than even chance of being correct.
I
It is emphasized again that, as was tr.ue for other phases of evalua
tion, preliminary and final identification was entrusted only to scientists
and engineers who, in addition to their broad scientific background, had
I
received instruction, where necessary, in specialized subjects. The panel
of consultants provided background information for this instruction. Many
of the cases representing unusual features or maneuvers were submitted to
I
and discussed with various members of the panel of consultants prior to the
final identification.
I
Consistency in the application of the knowledge necessary for making
identifications was maintained by frequent collaboration among the person
I
nel involved, and systematic spot checks of the work. In addition to the
general fund of knowledge required to identify satisfactorily a reported
unidentified aerial object, an attempt was made to correlate specific data
I
such as flight plans of aircraft, records of balloon releases, weather con
ditions, and an astronomical almanac with the reported sighting.
I
The procedure followed in making final identifications deserves ex
planation because of the importance assumed by the identification as a basis
I
for statistical treatment. As was mentioned, a conference of four qualified
I
persons, two from A TIC and two from the panel of consultants, decided
upon the final identification for each sighting report. This work was done
at A TIC, periodically, as reports became ready.
I
During an identification conference, each sighting report was first
studied, from the original data, by one person. If that person arrived at a
decision, it was checked against the preliminary identification; if the two
I
identifications were the same, the report was appropriately marked and
I
considered finished. If the two identifications did not agree, the report
was considered later by everyone participating in the conference until a
group decision could be made.
I
If an evaluator was unable to categorize the report as one of the
common objects or as a natural phenomenon, and his opinion was that the
sighting should be recorded as UNKNOWN, a group decision was also re
I
quired on that report before it was considered finished. A group decision
I
was necessary on all reports finally recorded as UNKNOWN, regardless of
what the preliminary identification had been. In cases where a group
I
decision was not made within a reasonable time, the report was put aside
and later submitted to certain members of the panel of consultants for their
op1n1ons. If, after this, disagreement continued to exist, the report of the
sighting was identified as UNKNOWN.
I
13
I
I
I
Upon completion of final identifications, all data were transferred to
IBM cards, preparatory to analysis.
I
I
I
ANALYSIS OF THE DATA
Broadly stated, the problem at this point consisted of the judicious
application of scientific met~ods of categorizing and analyzing the sub
jective data in reports of sightings of unidentified aerial objects. It was
I
recognized that an approach to this problem could best be made by a sys
tematic sorting and tabulation program to give frequency and percentage
I
distributions of the important characteristics of sightings. A suggestion
that an attempt be made to anticipate all questions that might be asked in
the future about a sighting or a group of sightings, and to provide answers,
I
was rejected. The systematic approach also made it possible to develop
a detailed reference manual of the attributes of the sightings included in
this study.
I
Thus, at the beginning of the analysis, a detailed plan was developed
I
for sorting, counting, and tabulating the information from the punched-card
abstracts of reports of sightings. It was believed at the time, and later
substantiated, that the results of the program for sorting and tabulating
I
would serve as a, guide for the more sophisticated treatment involving
statistical methods.
I
Also, it was anticipated that any patterns or trends that might be
found could be subjected to concentrated study in the hope of discovering
I
significant information relating to the characteristics of "flying saucers".
Further, it was believed that these trends could serve as certain of the
criteria of validity for any concepts (models) developed in the attempt to
I
discover a class of "flying saucers".
I
The three parts of this study ( 1) the sorting and tabulation program,
(2) the advanced study of the results of that program, and (3) the investiga
tion of the possibility of conceiving a model of a "flying saucer" from
I
descriptions reported, are discussed in sections entitled "Frequency and
Percentage Distributions by Characteristics", "Advanced Study of the Data",
and "The
I
Flying Saucer' Model". I
I
Frequency and Percentage Distributions by Characteristics
I
The original conception of this study assumed the availability of
sufficient data to describe adequately the physical appearance, maneuver
characteristics, range, direction, and probable path of the object or
I
objects observed. However, familiarity with the data, acquired during the
I
14
I
I
~
I
translation and transcription from reports to punched cards, indicated that
there would be relatively few specific variables or factors that would yield
meaningful correlation studies. Either the original data were too subjec
\L,
tive, or the incompleteness of the original reports-wo1J:_ld seriously reduce
the sample of a specific variable.
I
I
Preliminary tabulations of various sortings substantiated the im
possibility of deriving statistical results from certain variables, such as
movement of the observer during the sighting, sound, shape parameter,
I
size, angular velocity and acceleration, appearance and disappearance
bearing, initial and final elevation, altitude, and orientation of the object.
The statistically usable variables presented in this study include the date,
I
time, location, duration, reliability, and method of observation of the
sighting, and the physical attributes of number, color, speed, shape, light
I
brightness, and identification of the objects sighted.
The presentation of frequency and percentage distributions of any of
I
the variables must be interpreted in the light of the sample of incidents
I
represented. For example, the analysis of the reported colors of the
objects sighted, based on ALL SIGHTINGS, could lead to misrepresenta
tion of the distribution of the reported color of the objects, because of the
I
multiplicity of reports on some of the phenomena. On the other hand, the
percentage distribution of the light brightness reported by each observer
is more likely to be correct than a distribution based on one report for
each phenomenon. To assure that the most nearly correct presentation
I
was made, and to avoid the possibility· of failure to uncover any pattern or
I
trend inherent in the data, the variables were studied on five different
bases or samples. These samples, and their numerical relation to each
other, were as follows:
I
ALL SIGHTINGS (all reports) 3,201 cards
UNIT SIGHTINGS, all observers 2, 554 cards
UNIT SIGHTINGS, single observer 2, 232 cards
I
UNIT SIGHTINGS, multiple observers
322 cards
OBJECT SIGHTINGS 2, 199 cards
I
The preliminary tabulations indicated that the samples based on UNIT
SIGHTINGS, single observer, and UNIT SIGHTINGS, multiple observers,
I
would not add materially to this study. Accordingly, although the fre
I
quency distributions were recorded and are available for study, they are
not presented in this report.
'I
The bases of ALL SIGHTINGS, UNIT SIGHTINGS (referring to all
observers), and OBJECT SIGHTINGS are presented in Appendix A as
Tables Al through A240. A critical study of these tabulations reveals that
there is no apparent change in the distribution of any variable from one
I
basis to another, and that no marked patterns or trends exist in any sample.
_I
15
I
I
I
Graphical Presentation
Graphical representation of the important information contained in I
the tables is presented in Figures l through 38. These figures present the
distributions of the important variables only by the total nu.mber of cases
I
in each identification category, since no significant differences were found
between the distributions of "Certain'' and "Doubtful" identifications of
objects with respect to the variables. A chronological study of these
I
figures will afford a broad picture of the tabulated information, without the
necessity of a detailed study of the tables.
I
A critical examination of the figures will show that no trends, patterns,
or correlations are to be found, with the exception of Figures 18 through 30.
I
The apparent similarity of the distributions shown by these mirror graphs,
Figures 18 through 23, was tested by statistical methods which showed that
there was a low probability-that the distributions of the KNOWNS, and
I
UNKNOWNS by these characteristics were the same. These tests and their
interpretation are discussed in the following section. For purposes of this
I
study, the strategic areas, shown in Figures 32 through 38, and Tables
A223 through A240, Appendix A, were designated on the basis of concen
tration of reports of OBJECT SIGHTINGS in an area. No other interpre
I
tation of the tables or remaining charts was deemed necessary.
I
Advanced Study of the Data
I
It was recognized that the lack of any patterns or trends, as shown by
the tabulations and graphs, provided an insecure basis for drawing definite
I
conclusions. Accordingly, shortly before the sorting and tabulation pro
gram was concluded, a program of study of the data was developed to
utilize statistical and other mathematical methods, which could lead to a
I
more concrete interpretation of the problem.
I
Position of the Sun Relative to the Observer
I
The first thing that was done was to calculate the angle of elevation of
the sun above the horizon and its bearing from true north as seen by the
I
observer at the time of each sighting. With this information, it could then
be determined whether there was a possibility that the reported object
could have been illuminated by light from the sun. In addition, it could be
I
determined whether an object could be a mock sun ( sun dog) or whether
there was a possibility of specular reflection from an aircraft at the posi
tion of the object, which would give the appearance of a "flying disc".
I
A program of computation was set up and carried out to obtain the
I
angle of elevation and the bearing of the sun for each sighting. All informa
tion needed for this calculation was available on the deck of IBM cards.
I
16
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
,1952,
1501=
68.3%
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Object sightings
2199 =100%
I
FIGURE I FREQUENCY OF SIGHTINGS BY YEAR FOR OBJECT,
UNIT, AND ALL SIGHTINGS
I
A-7479
I
I
17
I
~
All sightings
3201 = 100%
Unit sightings
2554 =100%
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
474 =21.5%
I
I
I
I
I
I
Object sightings All sightings Unit sightings
2199=100 %
3201=100%
2554= 100%
I
FIGURE 2 DISTRIBUTION OF EVALUATIONS OF OBJECT,
UNIT, AND ALL SIGHTINGS FOR ALL YEARS
I
A-7480
I
I
I
18
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
1952
Unknown
434=19.7°1.
Astronomical
479 =21.8 %
Aircraft
I
I
FIGURE 3 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY EVALU
ATION FOR ALL YEARS WITH COMPARISONS OF
EACH YEAR FOR EACH EVALUATION GROUP
I
A•7411
I
I
I
19
11
----------------------
100
No. of object sightings
100 2199 79
143
186 169
121 1501
90
90
80
80
70
70
60
60
+
c
~ 50
50
~
Q,J
ro
0
a. 40
40
30
30
20
20
10
10
C\\.\.:::<::<>0)J L>,,),,),,),,\.'\'\1 l'\;\'\\:\,'\'\'1 I\'\»),),).);! N>,'\',,'\'\>)j I\Y\'\\.'\'\"l RL~ I 0
-•• 1947 1948 1949 1950 1951
1952
0 I
FIGURE 4 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY EVALUATION FOR ALL YEARS AND EACH YEAR
A-7 4 82
----------------------
No. of object sightings
70 55 83 127 129 183 638 407 166 125 106 105
I F+--1 ;..I 11 I I 11 11 I I I 11 11 I I I I I I I I 11 11 I I I I I I I I 11 11 I I 11 I I I I 11 11 I I 11 I I I I II 11 I I 11 1
1
00
90
"'
Cl
·=
+-
80
80
.c
Cl
cn 7 0
70
+
u
cu
:.0 60
60
0
.c
"'
c 50
50
0
~
~ 40 40
"'
0
LLJ
-
0 30
30
+
c
cu
u 20
20
'
cu
a.
10
10
0 I l>.':u>l I\»'\'I l>,V0J l\'\:0::1 ~ ~ l'\'001 J:00-:\'I L),'\).)I ~J l'\'\)-'::J l\»>.J I 0
Jon
Feb
Mor
Apr Moy June July
Aug Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
FIGURE 5 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY EVALUATION WITHIN MONTHS FOR ALL YEARS
A-7413
30
20
10
0
10
20
30
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Unknown
I
All years
I
I
1947
I
I
1948
I 1949
I
1950
I
195 I
I
1952
I
Other
Astronomical
I
All years I
1947
I
I
I
1948
I
I
1949
I
I
1950
I
1951
I
I
I
195 2
I.
Aircraft
I
All years
I
I
1947
I
I
1948
I
I
1949
I
I
1950
I
I
195 I
I
I
195 2
I
Balloons
All years
I I
1947 I
1948
I
I
1949
I
I
1950
I I
195 I
I
I
195 2
I I
lnsuf. info.
I All years
I
1947
I
1948
I
1949
I
1950
I
195 I
I
195 2
All years
I
1947
1948
I
1949
1950
195 I
1952
I
30 20 10
0
10 20
30
I
Certain
Per Cent Doubtful
FfGURE 6 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY CERTAIN AND
I
I
I
DOUBTFUL EVALUATIONS FOR ALL YEARS AND EACH YEAR
A•7414
22
----------------------
5001
400
sot
1so
~
.,
C
"'
:;:
.t::.
"'
II)
..
50t
r::: X r-MK X\ -ISO
..
u
~
0
0
... 40t
I
IX XTTIX X -f40
..
.0
c,a
::,
E
"'
z
30t
VI I<. X rTT1 X X-130
20
20
10
10
01 I JX X a::,::,,,l::±-¥ tf::::3>H::::t:><I :-l'Y:I Cl :-1 7 1'¥""-Y£1 l r I I I I I I I I I 110
I J F M A M J J A s O N 01 J F M A M J J A s O N OIJ F M A M J J A s O N O IJ F M A M J J A s O N DI J F M A M J J A s O N DI J F M A M J J A s O N D
1947 1948 1949 1950 1951 1952
FIGURE 7 FREQUENCY OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS AND UNKNOWN OBJECT EVALUATIONS BY MONTHS,
1947-1952
C-7485
I
I
n Astro
Doubtful
Unknown
I 71=33.3%
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
/
I
\ /Excellent
2199=
100 o/o
\
'
'
'
'
'
'
Unknown
188 =
24.8 o/o
'
Astro-
nomical
'
'
'
'
'
\
'
'
lnsuf.
9=4.2 o/o
Astr
nomic
-2
croft
I
=22.8
I
\
'
\
\
\
\
\
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
\
I
\
info.
I
I
I
I
I
I
'
/ I
I
Good
'
/ I
'
\
/ I
I
/ I
' I
,' I
/ I
I
' I
/ I
I '
I
I
I
I
I
lnsuf. info.
I
27=3.6%
I
FIGURE 8 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY SIGHTING
RELIABILITY GROUPS WITH EVALUATION DISTRIBUTIONS
I
FOR EACH GROUP
A-748S
I
I
I
24
----------------------
No. of object sightings
2199 79
143
186
169
121
1501
100
-
t--
,-
,-
-
t--
E
xcellent
'
'
',
'
Good
-
----
Doubtful
----
--
Poor
--
--
,
,
,,
,,
/
I
I'
I
I
I
I
I
-----
_v
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
'
I
'
I
'
'
I
'
'
-
I
,
,
,
---
-
----
'
'
',,
,
,,
-
-
',
',
-
---
'
'
,
',
',
_,
',
-
---
r,
-
'
'
'
-
'
'
'
'
-
'
',
-
I
I
-
100
90
90
80
80
70
10
~ 60
60
C
cu
u 50
50
...
N)
cu
(JI
a. 40
40
30
11-
30
20
It-
20
10i""
10
0
I
0
All years
1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
FIGURE 9 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS AMONG THE FOUR SIGHTING RELIABILITY
GROUPS FOR ALL YEARS AND EACH YEAR
A-74 87
----------------------
(>'
•-:-..v
0~ , ~0·
0~ ~ ~ ·,$' ~(:-
,~ CJ~ ~00~-t-(:-0
t/-"' .;/' <c~(:-;_o~~~
~
~
~ 11■111111 •
~
~
~~~
~
6 --2's--so--1Slbb\o 2
1
s s'o 1
1
s -,ob \b 2
1
s s'o T's ,db\6 2
1
s s'o 1s 100
45r-l---Per Cent__/_\~--------/~--------/_\________/_
4Qt--1------------J-l-----------/---\---4""'-------..---I-I------------J--
3St--1------------,--1-----------,---1--
3Qt--1-----------'
,__
1--,-----1--
2St---1-----_:____
1---1--
Civilian
------1--
Civilian
20t--1--------
1---1--
1---------1--
I5t--\--------I----I-
1---------1-
1--------1--
f--•----
IOI I e [
ICivilian t-----I Military
1----------1-
-----1--1 Civillan 1-----1 --
W Military
1------
i--------1
51 0 Military
01 J I I I ! ! ':j Military I
~
"'
-
C
cu
u
~
~
Excellent Good
Doubtful
Poor
FIGURE 10 DISTRIBUTION OF ALL SIGHTINGS BY SIGHTING RELIABILITY GROUPS. SEGREGATED BY
MILITARY AND CIVILIAN OBSERVERS WITH EVALUATION DISTRIBUTION FOR EACH
SEGREGATtON
A-1411
I
I
I
IQO,r,:::+=+=11=+:+:::i:+r-r.r-r..r:,-0.;:r+:r+.:r~i-T~_f1_J7...,. 7'_J-rr..__,_T_._,-+-r +-r .._ri.....rrwwT---1-T---1-Tr...,.r-1-1rr-"'[_"I."I.T..LL~n, IO 07...,. ....
I
I
I
I
I
+
c
cu
I
u
L..
cu
a.
I
I
I
I
I
I
White Metallic
I
23.5 %
17.7%
I
90
Unknown
\
\
\
\
\
'
I
I
I
I
I
i,
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
Not
OrangE Red
stated
12.3% 10.0%
8.1%
+
c
cu
u
"
cu
a.
Other
28.4%
FIGURE II DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY REPORTED COLORS
I
OF OBJECT(S) WITH
COLOR GROUP
I
I
I
I
EVALUATION DISTRIBUTION FOR EACH
A•7419
27
-
-
I
I
>-+-i---+-+.......,._+-+---<__. -
~,....,....,....,....r-T""S....,...,-100
100-
8 0
I
I
80-
60-
11 or more objects ~~-0~·~~'Y,f
-20 <!>
C
.t::.
255= 11.6 %
I object
1636= 74.4%
66=3.0%
,,....,,...."",,v'X,Y~'C◊O:
-20
~~~~~~~~~ - 6 0
3-10 objects
40-
I
0.
::::,
0
"C
~
-
0
I
cu
(!)
20-
C
·-
(I)
.t::.
-
I
0-0
31';
C
-
~~
-
-
I
u 0
(I) ~
cu O')
C
cu .
C
cu 100-
:0 (X)
u
~,...,..T""T""'S,..........~ -IO O cu
(.) 0 II
°EN
(.)
0 II
~
(\J (0 ~
cu
O')
;c:...~-<":-<":v:vvccc; cu
I
a..
-
o
(0
v
-8 0 Q..
80-
~
cu
.0
E
60-
::::, 1----------i-6 0
I
z
40-
I
I
100-.................-........-
20-
o. t-+-+-+-+-+-+-,r-+-t-+t Unknown
::::,
e80-~~V~v"~V'~-~.,.._.,..ic:J',.~ Others
I
o_
(!)
c lnsuf. info.
:C 60-
-
31';
-40-
c
cu
(.)
~
cu 20-
I
Balloon
I
Aircraft
I
a..
Astronomical
I
I
FIGURE 12 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY NUMBER OF
OBJECTS SEEN PER SIGHTING WITH EVALUATION DISTRI
BUTION FOR EACH GROUP
I
A-74 90
I
28
I
I
--~-----------------------------------------------
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I I I I I I I I I I I I I I I
100---~-----~~~~~1
1
J
1
!
1
J.
1
.111~~ lnsuf. info. mm!!!!!!m
9 0-1 No t /~~"'TTT"l7"7"''7"7"'7"?'"7~~~
eo-1 ~':.~.~. //'~111111-1-----------,1111 1111111
70
. ~ov;ra~.mi ~~/;,•1111111111111~_~1---------,-11111 I111111
61
~ ::~ ~r::i I Il~_~~mffll11111111111111;~;.in
40
= ~ -~~~:.-/~~-IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIR===:=filllllllllllll lllll
30
-~:~30·::: ✓~:::~I 11111111111111111111111~-====:~BI 1111111111
5
::~: :~e?:: :::::-111111111111111 ~;:==;=91111111111111
O-D~;~t!;:n -,,~-1,1111111,11m1111111
0 IO 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Evaluations in Per Cent
FIGURE 13 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY DURATION OF SIGHTING WITH EVALUATION
DISTRIBUTION FOR EACH DURATION GROUP
A-7491
----------------------
No. of object sightings
70 55 83
127
12.9 183 63_8
407
--
L25
106
LOS
1.66
100
-
I·
90
-
~
Not
statec
fn;;in
6-30
min
u
•
II)
o 61sec
40
I U)
to
I
;;; 5min
\
I1_-~y
-
-
I\
\'
' '
\
'
/
,.,
,;
'
,;
-
;
,,·
.,.
-·,
I' '
\
'
/
/
-"'
,,
....
I
I
I
I
I
,
I
i
I
-
I
-
I
I
,;'
~·
-
-
V
,;'
;'
..
I
'
/
I'
,,,
I'
/
-
V
-
,,·
...
I"
I
.
,-,
-
-
I
I
'
r
'
'\
I
I
'
'
'
'
'
--
\
\
I"
1·,
I
'
-
'
'\
~
I'
'
I\
'
/
..\
'
'
..
,-,
r,
\
'
..
/
'
...
,,
-,/
~
,-,
,,.
.
I'
\
\
\
\
\
\
\
\
\
\
I
-
..
.......
,,
I
I
100
90
en
Cl
C
.
:;: 80
80
.c.
·-
Cl
'
I
I
'
(/)
'
I I
'\
I I
70
-70
I
u
I
Cl)
I
I
'B
0 60
60
-
I
I
C
I
en
Cl)
.c.
I
(.)
I
1: 50
I
5 0 '
I
0
Cl)
I
~
a.
I
I
.
I
400
"'
~
0
I I
w
' I
I
-
0 30
I
I
30
se_e \
f I
C
-
10-1v
I
CV
'\'
\
I
sec
\•
.
U 20
r
20
.,,.
'
-
'
Cl)
5 sec
a.
ond
I
10
less
0
Jon
FIGURE 14
,,
,·
10
0
Feb
Mor
Apr
May
June
July Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov Dec
DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY MONTHS AMONG THE EIGHT DURATION
GROUPS FOR
ALL YEARS
A-7492
----------------------
I II
.......-K\'.\,\.\.\.\.\.\.\l 11 11 I 1111 I P/7?777J1f------txx5o&'x54 I I I I I I 111111 I 11
___......,..,,,,,,,,,,
100-
lnsuf. info
23.5%
90-Not
stated
80-
---i'·"~::-.1III IIII III II 1•::====~111II IIIIII II IIII
Other
70-
Flam
60-
enticular
--------r-f;'~ilIIIII IIIII~IIIII
C:
-
0
50-
~
QJ
QJ
\~~:~11111111111111~:====;::====::-[ 111111
Q.
(II
40-
30-
Elliptical
1111•
I
\\ ~
20-
4
\~11111111111111111111111~~::==:=-.IIIIIIIIIII
10-
o_
Shape
i...--.J,,.:~::__111111.1111111.I~ .11111111 I.I 111111
0
10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
100
Evaluation in Per Cent
FIGURE 15 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY SHAPE OF OBJECT(S) REPORTED WITH
EVALUATION DISTRIBUTION FOR EACH SHAPE GROUP
A-7493
90-
ioo-r-----------K'Z\:\.~\:i 11111111111 IV/T///1
.KXXXX?t 111 I I 1111111
eO-ln;~::~ed' ,/~~ 11111~~~::::::=::::~111111111111
~ ::~Iffl • ~-u ;:::~:~III111111111111111 ~t:==:=:;::::::::::==~t:::=::::=jgm I1111111111111111
~ i ::~ :~i~t /iBII II I I II I I II I I I l~t=:::=:::=t:=:::::::=:::=::::::::~91111111111111111
::~:~;~~~o :~::;~]!1111111111~~11111111111
1
:~ :~::Y
15t
~~~~:-1,111111.-t:::==c::::==:t:::==,_____ffl 1111 l1111111
0 · 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
Evaluation in Per Cent
FIGURE 16 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY REPORTED SPEED OF OBJECT(S) WITH
EVALUATION DISTRIBUTION FOR EACH SPEED GROUP
A-7494
----------------~-----
----------------------
No. of all sighting
3201 117
205 164
306
160
2018
100-
Location
not
stated
, ...
...-
Outdoors
~
"
.c
+-
0
.--:-
'
._,,,,,,
'/
In bldg.
,
/
/
In plane
,,,-
II
,.,,,,
In car
,,,
,/'
'
'
.,
'
'
',
,,--
1_-:;.,'
~
~
~
,,,
'
~
'
~~
'
'
...... _
'
'
'
,...
--,
_,
~
I
'
I
'
'
I
'
I
'
\
I
\
I
\
I
\
I
\
I
\
I
\
,
,
'
//
~ \
,,
, ,
'\
, ,
,
\,
, I
,
\ ,,
,,,, ,,,
\ ,,
11~,"
,
\ ~
.,
/
\
,.,,
\
,.,,.,
\
\
\
---
----
........
-100
~ 90-
-90
+
...
&, 80-
-so
<11
0::
u, 70-
-70
"'
C
·-
+-60-
-60
·-
.c
"'
f/) 50-
-50
~
c,,.._
-40
(1,1 0
40-
+
c
<11 30-
-30
u
I,.
"20-
-20
o.
10-
-10
_Q
0
All years 1947
1948
1949
1950
1951
1952
FIGURE 17 DISTRIBUTION
EACH YEAR
OF ALL SIGHTINGS BY OBSERVER LOCATION FOR ALL YEARS AND
A-74 95
----------------------
Total Less Unknown
Unknown
Pe-r Cent
Per Cent
30 25 20 15 10
5
0
0
5
10
15 20 25 30
I I I I I I I
White
Meta II ic
Of
~
Not stated
Orange
Red
Other
I
I I I I _1
_j
FIGURE 18 COMPARISON OF KNOWN AND UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY COLOR,1947-1952
A-7496
-~--------------------
Total Less Unknown
Unknown
Per Cent
Per
Cent
80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0
0
IO 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
I I I I I I I I I
-
..
■
■
■
One
Two
c,,
(JI
Three
to
ten
Eleven
or
more
Not stated
FIGURE 19 COMPARISON OF KNOWN ANO UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY NUMBER OF
OBJECTS PER SIGHTING, 1947-1952
A-7497
----------------------
Total Less Unknown
Unknown
Per
Cent
Per Cent
40 35 30 25 20 15 IO 5 0
0 5
IO 15 20 2 5 30 35 40
I I I I I I I I
I
-
-
Stationary
Less than
100 mph
100
to400
mph
More than
400mph
Meteor-Ii ke
Not stated
I I
I I I I I I I
-
-
(1,1
0)
FIGURE 20 COMPARISON OF KNOWN AND UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY SPEED, 1947-1952
A-7491
----------------------
Total Less Unknown
Unknown
Per Cent
Per Cent
30
25 20 15 10
5 0
0
5
10 15 20 25
30
5 seconds
or less
6-10
seconds
11-30
seconds
"'
31-60
...a
seconds
61 seconds
5 minutes
6-30
minutes
More than
30 minutes
Not stated
t
FIGURE 21 COMPARISON OF KNOWN AND UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY DURATION, 1947-1952
A-7499
----------------------
Total Less Unknown Unknown
Per Cent
Per Cent
50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
0 5 10
15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
Elliptical
Rocket
and
aircraft
Meteor or
comet
Lenticular,
conicol
or
c,,
U
a,
teardrop
Flame
Other
shop,
Not stated
FIGURE
22 COMPARISON OF KNOWN AND UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY SHAPE, 1947-1952
A•7500
----------------------
Total Less Unknown Unknown
Per Cent Per Cent
I
60
I
50
I
40
I
30
I
20
I
10
I
0 0
IO
I
20
I
30
I
40
I
50
I
60
I I
Sunlight on
mirror or
aluminum
-
Sunlight on
-
plaster,
stone or soil
--
-
(1,1
/
Brighter
than moon
U)
~
-
Like moon
..
,...
...
-
Duller
'
than
moon
...
-
Not stated
Fl GURE 23 COMPARISON OF KNOWN AND UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY LIGHT BRIGHTNESS,
1947-1952
A•7501
----------------------
Total Less Astronomical
Astronomical
Per Cent
Per Cent
40 30 20 10
0 0
10 20 30
40
January
j
t
February
March
April
May
..
June
0
July
August
September
October
November
December
FIGURE 24 COMPARISON OF MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS EVALUATED AS
ASTRONOMICAL VERSUS
TOTAL OBJECT SIGHTINGS LESS ASTRONOMICAL
A-7502
----------------------
FIGURE 25 COMPARISON OF MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS EVALUATED AS
AIRCRAFT VERSUS TOTAL OBJECT SIGHTINGS LESS AIRCRAFT
A-7503
Total Less Aircraft
Per Cent
40 30 20 10
0
January
February
March
April
May
June
~
July
August
September
October
November
December
Aircraft
Per Cent
0
10
20 30
40
t
----------------------
Total Less Balloon
Balloon
Per Cent
Per Cent
40 30 20 10
0 0
10 20 30
40
January
l t
February
Morch
April
Moy
~
June
I\)
July
August
September
October
November
December
FIGURE
26 COMPARISON OF MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS EVALUATED
AS BALLOON VERSUS
TOTAL OBJECT SIGHTINGS LESS BALLOON
A-7 504
----------------------
Total Less lnsuff icient Information
lnsuff icient Information
Per Cent
Per Cent
40 30 20
10
0 0
10
20 30
40
\ I
I I
j
January
February
March
April
May
•
June
c,,
July
August
September
_
October
November
December
FIGURE
27 COMPARISON OF MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS EVALUATED AS
INSUFFICIENT INFORMATION VERSUS TOTAL OBJECT SIGHTINGS LESS INSUFFI
CIENT INFORMATION
A-7505
--/
----------------------
Total Less Other
Other
Per Cent
Per Cent
40 30 20
10
0
0
10 20 30
40
t
January
February
March
April
May
..
June
..
July
August
September
October
November
December
FIGURE 28 COMPARISON OF MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS EVALUATED AS
OTHER VERSUS TOTAL OBJECT
SIGHTINGS LESS OTHER
A-7506
----------------------
Total Less Unknown
Unknown
Per Cent
Per Cent
40 30 20 10
0 0
10 20 30
40
January
j
t
February
March
April
May
June
u,
~
July
August
September
October
November
December
FIGURE
29 COMPARISON OF MONTHLY DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS EVALUATED AS
UNKNOWN VERSUS TOTAL OBJECT SIGHTINGS LESS UNKNOWN
A•7507
I
I
-
C
co
Cl>
-
-
...
cu
~
a.
1/)
-
C
C
Cl>
0
~ (.)
...
C
Cl>
~
a.
C
0
-
60
-
...
Cl>
<t
1/)
(.)
...
Cl>
a.
-
-
-
C
C
Cl>
0
...
(.)
...
<i
~
0
-
Cl>
0
C
(.)
C
-
C
-
40
cu
m
a.
._
-
Cl> Cl>
(.)
C
.s::.
...
0
-
Cl>
a.
60
40
20
3~
60
40
3§
40
20
3§
60
40
20
a§
60
20
38
60
40
20
90
80
\
Unknown
V
\
~ ~
\
\
"~
~
I
I
\_
'-
i..::::
~
--I
.......
"'-::
I
,
~
I'-
I
::....
~-
~
\
~-
-,1/
r
-,
\
('
\
Unknown
~
.:.;:;
,._
I
"hf/,'
20
,a:.._
\
I
;,
-~
,
-~~,
\
..:::..
I
"'
IL
~ I
\._
~----
'
-,:,,,
'
--
I
I
I
\Unkn~~
h
~L
✓-
~
,
'
,
r\
V
v
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/
J,,
)
~
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h.,
y
,
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--
--
,
~
\
~
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,
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,
V
b<
~
-
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----
_,_:,,
~
r:..:: v
\
Unknown
I
"-.J.;
1/-
~
~
l?-
ii
[\, /'
..::.
\
I
\
¾
/
v'
/
-
'
!/
"'
,/
.:.:_
-::-,
f-"a-
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✓
--
-~
,__
?
\
/'-. "N
\
I
\
Unknown
~
I
~
-\.,
,'
\
\
~
~
;-
:::.:::.::
..::::
I
\
I
.,::..
'-.;
~
I
'
<
'
......... ~' _..
\
'
-✓-
0
--
_;~
--
--
---
\
Unknown
i.-,
\
,
"t,'
~
V
~~~
I\
j
,
~
~
/
~
k:
~
l/
~
'
::><
~
V
'
~
"-
-
f1/
0
I,,.,.
I',..
~ -.:::
""'
M
~~~~be,f~~~~;,•b~ ~-..,~~eb\,~(§;!~~aa:-~~:~-,~!:t;!~~~o~-e\,:~~e~~e~
n~ 0 ' ' ~,i~o~\o~ w; ~o' ~era,,,, , "-"'(,~~oQ~
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Number ofl
I
objects
Color
Speed
Shape
Duration
I
FIGURE 30 CHARACTERISTICS PROFILES OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY
I
TOTAL SAMPLE, KNOWN EVALUATIONS, AND INDIVIDUAL KNOWN
EVALUATIONS, WITH UNKNOWN EVALUATIONS SUPERIMPOSED
B-7508
I
I
46
I
-
-
-
- - -
-
- - -
-
- - -
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
65"
I
-
40"
35"
~
--.J
30"
KEY: IN EACH SUBDIVISION THE TOP FIGURE
45'
INDICATES THE FREQUENCY OF ALL
SIGHTINGS, THE MIDDLE FIGURE UNIT
SIGHTINGS, ANO THE BOTTOM FIGURE
OBJECT SIGHTINGS
115"
FIGURE 31 FREQUENCY OF OBJECT, UNIT, AND ALL SIGHTINGS WITHIN THE UNITED STATES 1947-1952, BY SUBDIVISIONS
OF ONE DEGREE OF LATITUDE AND LONGITUDE
- -
-
-
-
- - -
-
- - -
- -
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
15"
411"
~
35"
00
311"
25"
611"
CENTRAL WEST
59-10°'
45°
115"
105"
95"
911"
BS"
1:11'
ll!l"
110" 105° 100"
95"
CANADA
90"
BS
0
BO"
750
111"
65"
411"
1211"
65"
FIGURE 32 DISTRIBUTION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY EVALUATION FOR THE TWELVE REGIONAL
AREAS OF THE UNITED STATES, WITH THE STRATEGIC AREAS LOCATED (STRATEGIC
AREAS WERE DETERMINED OH THE BASIS OF CONCENTRATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS)
----------------------
Balance of Central East
Region
81 object sightings
6\0
~
CD
36
FIGURE 33 COMPARISON OF EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS IN THE STRATEGIC AREAS OF THE
CENTRAL EAST
REGION a-7511
----------------------
(JI
0
10/5
1010 915
~ l ~ \ ~ \ J L> I
43 ; ~ 1 r \ l\ \ J
Balance of Central
l IMidwest Region II ) V ~,. \/ \ -
36 I 164 object sightings,\ (
1010
915
FIGURE 34 COMPARISON OF EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS IN THE STRATEGIC AREAS OF
THE CENTRAL MIDWEST REGION a-7512
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Farwest Region
FIGURE 35 COMPARISON OF EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS
IN THE STRATEGIC AREAS OF THE CENTRAL FARWEST REGION
B-7515
51
--------
-------------
-
1010
9\0
36
t J I \ ~
2
\F t 1
ICIO
9\0 8\5
e2 object sightings
0
Waco
210 object sightings
36
FIGURE
UI
N
36. COMPARISON OF EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS IN THE STRATEGIC AREAS
OF THE SOUTH MIDWEST REGION
B-7514
----------------------
(11
(>I
:) ,
9 e object slvhtlnvs
Albuquerque
•
10/5 1010
1010
FIGURE 37 COMPARISON OF EVAWATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS IN THE STRATEGIC AREAS OF
THE SOUTH WEST REGION A-7515
36
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Balance of South
Farwest Region
19 object sightings
FIGURE 38 COMPARISON OF EVALUATION OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS IN
THE STRATEGIC AREAS OF THE SOUTH FARWEST REGION
B-7516
54
I
I
This information consisted of:
I
(1) Time and date of observation in Greenwich Civil Time
I
(2) Latitude and longitude of the observer at the time of
observation.
I
Figure 39 shows a celestial sphere on which Z represents the ob
I
server's zenith, ~ represents the sun, and N represents the north celestial
pole.
Using the date and time of the observation, the longitude and declina
I
tion (§) of the sun were obtained from an ephemeris of the sun and corrected
for the equation of time. The difference between the longitudes of the sun
I
and the observer was taken, and called the hour angle (HA on Figure 39).
I
Then, using the declination of the sun (S), the latitude of the observer
(lat), and the hour angle (HA), the angle (ZS)between the observer's zenith
and the sun can be calculated from the law of cosines of spherical trigo
nometry. Thus, cos ZS = cos (90 -lat) cos (90 - S) + sin (90 -lat) sin
I
(90 - S) cos (HA).
I
Since the angle ZS is measured from the observer's zenith, the angle
of elevation of the sun above the horizon for daytime sightings was found by
taking 90 -ZS. When the sun was below the horizon, the angle of depres
I
sion of the sun below the horizon was found by taking ZS -90.
I
Having found the angle ZS, the bearing of the sun (angle B} was ob
tained from the formula:
I
sin (B) =
sin (HA)
sin(90-S) sin (ZS}
I
All of the above calculations were made with IBM equipment. Sines,
I
cosines, and their inverses were obtained from a deck of 9,000 IBM cards
on which seven-place Peter
1
s tables of the sines, cosines, and tangents of
angles had been punched for each 0.01 of a degree ·from O to 90 degrees.
I
Upon completion of these calculations, the cards representing OBJECT
SIGHTINGS were sorted on the sign of the sine of the bearing angle. This
separated the cards into two groups: ( 1) sightings which occurred between
I
noon and midnight, for which the sine of the bearing angle was positive; and
I
(2) sightings between midnight and noon, for which the sine of the bearing
angle was negative. Then each of these groups was sorted into groups for
intervals of 10° in angle of elevation of the sun from -90° to +90°. A count
I
was made of the number of cards in each group and from this a histogram
was constructed (Figure 40}. The UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS were
I
then sorted out, counted in the same manner, and a histogram was made
(again see Figure 40).
55
__I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
FIGURE 39 DIAGRAM OF A CELESTIAL SPHERE
A· 75 35
56
~---------------------
Cl)
0
C
-
.s:
-
0
en
u
-
Cb
......
.0
0
(710
-
__, "-
Cb
.0
E
::::,
z
300
275
250
225
200
175
150
125
I
100
I
I
I
I •
S
un, rise
75
I
I
I
I
50
I
I
I
I
J
25
0
I
I I
I
I
Sun~t
I
I
I
All object sightings ------+--41►
Unknown object sightings
-90
-60 -30 0 +30
+60 +90
+60
+30
0
-30 -60
-90
Angle of Elevation of The Sun
Fl GURE 40 FREQUENCY OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS
OF 10 DEGREES OF ANGLE
BY ANGLE OF ELEVATION OF THE SUN, INTERVALS
A-7536
I
I
The following points should be carefully noted about these histograms:
( 1) The negligible number of sightings when the sun is within
I
10° of the zenith and nadir (angle of elevation of the sun =
± 90 °) of the observer is due to the fact that the southern-
most latitude of the U. S. is greater than the declination
I
of the sun at the summer solstice, so that it would be im-
possible for the sun to reach the zenith or nadir of any
I
observer in the U. S. (where most of the sightings were
made).
I
(2) The time of day at which a particular angle of elevation
of the sun occurs does not remain fixed but varies from
I
day to day. Consider, for example, the variation in
sunrise and sunset times over the course of a year.
I
Thus, there are only two inferences to be made from this histogram:
( 1) the high peak of sightings soon after sunset, and (2) the lack of increase
in the UNKNOWNS relative to the KNOWNS near either sunset or sunrise. I
This would seem to discount the possibility that atmospheric phenomena
such as mock suns were the primary cause of the unknown reports, since
I
such phenomena usually occur when the sun is near the horizon.
The Local Sun Time was computed as a step in the calculation of the
I
angle of elevation of the sun. It is related to the hour angle by the equation:
Local Sun Time (L. S. T.) =HA/15 + 12. 00, where L. S. T. is in hours and
HA in degrees.
I
The cards were grouped on the basis of L. S. T. in intervals of one
I
hour, and the number of cards in each interval was counted. Again the
UNKNOWNS were sorted out and similarly treated. Histograms were con
structed with the results of these tabulations of OBJECT SIGHTINGS
I
(Figure 41). Here, again, there is a peak in the early evening hours.
I
The cards were then broken up into seven groups on the basis of the
angle of elevation of the sun, as follows:
I
Group 1 -Daylight sightings for which the sun was more than
10° above the horizon.
I
Group 2 -Sunset sightings for which the sun was between 0°
and 10° above the horizon.
I
Group 3 -Sunset sightings for which the sun was between 0°
and 10° below the horizon.
I
Group 4 -Evening sightings for which the sun was between
10° and 40° below the horizon.
I
I
58
I
----------------------
--
--
300
275
250
& 225
C
+-
-a, 200
en
+-
0
175
a.,
·--
..0
I
I
I
50
25
0300
0600 0900 1200 1500 1800
:Midnight
Midnight
0
150
I
0
I
-
I
~
(JI
a.,
125
Noon
I
CD
I
..0
I
~
I
E
:,
100
All object sightings
,_
z
L Unknown ;.bject sightings ~ ~
75r
2100 2400
Loco I Sun Time
FIGURE 41 FREQUENCY OF OBJECT SIGHTINGS BY LOCAL SUN TIME, INTERVALS OF ONE HOUR
A-7537
I
I
Group 5 -Night sightings for which the sun was more than 10°
below the horizon and which were not included in
Group 4.
I
Group 6 -Sunrise sightings for which the sun was between 0°
I
and 10° below the horizon.
Group 7 -Sunrise sightings for which the sun was between O
0
I
and 10° above the horizon.
These group numbers were punched on the cards and incorporated
I
into the coding system. The number of OBJECT SIGHTINGS in each group
for each identification was then tabulated and is given in Table I.
I
TABLE I OBJECT SIGHTINGS
I
Angle
of Elevation Group
Identification 1 2
3
4
5
6
7
I
Balloon
156 17 28
83
40
0
2
I
Astronomical
52 6 43
236 118
9
6
Aircraft
187 23
49
144 60
5
2
Light phenomena
8 2
4
25
7
0
0
I
Insufficient information
72 12 26 76
28
2
0
UNKNOWN
134 14
25
150 86
6
7
Other
64
8
12 50
36
3
7
I
Total
673 82 187 764 375
25
24
I
I
According to this table, a large majority of the KNOWN OBJECT
SIGHTINGS in Group 1 (343 out of 467) were either aircraft or balloons. In
Groups 4 and 5 combined, a large majority (681 out of 899) were either
I
balloons, aircraft, or astronomical. Accordingly, a re-evaluation of the
UNKNOWNS in these three groups was planned with the objective of deter
I
mining which of the UNKNOWNS in Group 1 might possibly be aircraft or
balloons and which of the UNKNOWNS in Groups 4 and 5 might possibly be
balloons, aircraft, or astronomical objects. More will be said of this
I
project later.
I
Statistical Chi Square Test
I
In the meantime, mirror graphs had been constructed from the fre
quency tabulations which seemed to show that, when the KNOWNS (total less
UNKNOWNS) and the UNKNOWNS were grouped according to one of six
I
characteristics, the percentage of KNOWNS and the percentage of
60
I
I
I
I
I
UNKNOWNS in each characteristic group showed the same general trend.
In other words, on the basis of these graphs, it looked as though there was
a good possibility that the UNKNOWNS were no different from the KNOWNS,
at least in the aggregate. It was decided to investigate this by the use of a
I
statistical procedure called the "Chi Square Test".
The Chi Square Test is a statistical test of the likelihood that two
I
distributions come from the same population, that is, it gives the proba
bility that there is no difference in the make-up of the two distributions
I
being measured.
The method is outlined as follows:
I
I
( 1) Adjust the distributions by multiplying the KNOWNS in each
characteristic group by the ratio of the total number of
UNKNOWNS to the total number of KNOWNS. (The Chi
Square Test is applicable only to distributions which have
I
the same total number of elements.)
(2) Take the difference between the number of UNKNOWNS and
I
the adjusted number of KNOWNS in each characteristic
group.
I
(3) Square the remainder from Step 2.
I
( 4) Divide the result of Step 3 by the corresponding number of
adjusted KNOWNS.
I
This is the chi square for the particular group. Summing the indi
vidual chi squares over the groups of a characteristic gives the chi square
I
for that characteristic. This number is then compared with a table of the
distribution of chi square which can be found in many texts on elementary
s tatistics.
I
I
It will be noted that chi square is tabulated in terms of degrees of
freedom which in this case is one less than the number of groups of sight
ings for each characteristic.
I
The tabulations of KNOWNS and UNKNOWNS against the six char
acteristics and the Chi Square Test as it was applied are shown in Tables
II through VII. In each case, the number of degrees of freedom is given,
I
as is the value of chi squares corresponding to probabilities of 5 per cent
I
and 1 per cent that two distributions with this number of degrees of freedom
come from the same population. Since the greater the value of chi square
the smaller the probability of homogeneity of two distributions, a calculated
I
value of chi square greater than either the 5 per cent or 1 per cent values
will indicate a probability less than 5 per cent or 1 per cent, respectively,
that the two distributions are homogeneous. The term homogeneity is used
here to indicate that two distributions could have come from the same
population.
I
61
I
TABLE II CHI SQUARE TEST OF KNOWNS VERSUS
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF COLOR
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Adjusted
x2
Number of
Number of Number of
(K-n)2
I
Color
KNOWNS
KNOWNS (K) UNKNOWNS (n)
K
I
White 405
100 112 1. 44
Metallic
313 77 76 0. 01
Not stated
209
51 62 2.37
I
Orange 172
42
49
1. 17
Red 146
36
33 0.25
Yellow 128
31 31
0
I
Green
130 32 14
10.
13
Blue
67 17
26 4. 76
I
Other
195
48
31 6.02
Total 1765 434 434
26. 15
I
Degrees of freedom
8
I
15.5
I
20. 1
I
I
I
I
I
I
62
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE III
CHI SQUARE TEST OF KNOWNS VERSUS
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF NUMBER
I
Number of
Adjusted
x2,
I
Objects Per
Number of
Number of Number of (K-n)2
Sighting
KNOWNS
KNOWNS (K)
UNKNOWNS (n) K
1
1339
329
297 3. 11
I
2 159 39
37
o. 10
I
3-10 185 46 70 12. 52
11 or more 41 10 25 22. 50
Not stated
41 10 5 2.50
I
Total
1765
434
434
40.73
I
Degrees of freedom 4
I
9.5
13.3
I
I
I
I
I
I
63
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE IV
CHI SQUARE TEST OF KNOWNS VERSUS
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF SHAPE
I
Adjusted
x2
'
I
Number of Number of
Number of
{K-n}
2
Shape
KNOWNS
KNOWNS
{K)
UNKNOWNS (n) K
Elliptical 838
206
195
0.59
I
Rocket and aircraft 80 20
33
8.45
Meteor or comet
55 14
4
7. 14
I
Teardrop, lenticular,
103
25
22
0.36
or conical
Flame
96
24
10 8. 17
I
Other
193
47 54
1.04
Not stated 400
98
116
3.30
I
Total 1765
434
434
29.05
I
Degrees of freedom 6
I
5%
12.6
1%
16.8
I
I
I
I
I
64
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE V
CHI SQUARE TEST OF KNOWNS VERSUS UNKNOWNS
ON THE BASIS OF DURATION OF OBSERVATION
I
'
Adjusted
x2
Duration of
Number of
Number of Number of
{K-n}
2
I
Observation KNOWNS KNOWNS (K)
UNKNOWNS (n) K
I
I
5 sec or less
259
64 27
21.39
6-10 sec
92
23 21
o. 17
11-30 sec 153 38
33 0.66
31-60 sec
108
26
42
9.85
I
61 sec-5 min 269 66
99
16.50
6-30 min 305
75
71 0.21
Over 30 min 135
33 37
0.48
Not stated
444
109 104
0.23
I
Total 1765
434 434
49.49
I
Degrees of freedom
7
I
5%
14. 1
1
%
18. 5
I
I
I
I
I
I
65
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE VI
CHI SQUARE TEST OF KNOWNS VERSUS
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF SPEED
I
Adjusted
x2
,
Number of Number of
Number of
{K-n)
2
I
Speed
KNOWNS
KNOWNS (K)
UNKNOWNS ( n) K
I
Stationary 249 61 53
1. 05
Less than 100 mph 154
38
26
3.79
100
to 400 mph
181
45
58
3.76
I
Over 400 mph
403
99
145
21. 37
Meteor-like 83
20 16 0.80
I
Not stated 695
171
136
7. 16
Total
1765
434
434
37. 93
I
Degrees of freedom
5
I
5% 11. 1
I
1% 15. 1
I
I
I
I
I
66
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE VII
CHI SQUARE TEST OF KNOWNS VERSUS UNKNOWNS
ON THE BASIS OF LIGHT BRIGHTNESS
I
Adjusted
x2
Number of
Number of Number of
(K-n)
2
Light Brightness
KNOWNS
KNOWNS (K)
UNKNOWNS (n)
K
I
'
I
Sunlight on mirror 47 11 14
0.82
Sunlight on aluminum 151
37 28
2. 19
Sunlight on plaster, 76
19
16
0.47
I
stone, or soil
Brighter than moon
273 67
61
0.55
I
Like moon or duller
68
17
22
1.
47
than moon
Not stated
1150
283
293
0.35
I
Total 1765 434
434
5.85
I
Degrees of freedom
5
I
5% 11. 1
1%
15. 1
I
I
I
I
I
I
67
I
I
I
In five of the six cases, the probability is less than 1 per cent that
the distributions are the same. In the sixth case, Light Brightness, the
classifications are too nebulous to be of real value. However, these tests
I
do not necessarily mean that the UNKNOWNS are primarily "flying saucers"
and not aircraft, balloons, or other known objects or natural phenomena.
The UNKNOWNS might still be unidentified KNOWNS if either of the follow
I
ing cases occurred:
I
( l} The characteristics which were observed for the UNKNOWNS
were different from those observed for the KNOWNS because
of the psychological make-up of the observer or because of
I
atmospheric distortion. This assumes the distribution of
objects in KNOWNS and UNKNOWNS is the same.
I
(2) The UNKNOWNS may be known objects in different propor
tions than the group identified as KNOWNS. (That is, a
I
greater percentage of the UNKNOWNS could be aircraft
than the percentage of aircraft in the identified KNOWNS.}
I
The second case is the more probable one. In this connection, it is
interesting to note the factors which contributed to a large chi square
I
result in the tests made above:
(1) Color
I
The major contribution to chi square in color is from the
color green. There is a large excess of green sightings
I
among the KNOWNS over the UNKNOWNS. Of the 130
known objects in this classification, 98 are astronomical,
I
and are due mostly to the green fireballs reported from
the Southwest U. S.
I
(2) Number
I
The large chi square is due to a greater proportion of
UNKNOWNS in the multiple object classification. Apparently
these are harder to identify.
I
(3} Shape
I
In this case, there is a higher percentage of UNKNOWNS
in the rocket-aircraft-shape classification. These might
I
be familiar objects for which unusual maneuvers were
reported.
I
There is a higher percentage of KNOWNS in the flame
and in the meteor-or comet-shape category, which in
both cases appears to result mainly from excesses of
I
astronomical sightings.
68
I
I
I
I
(4) Duration of observation
I
Here there is an excess of KNOWNS in the less-than-
5-second group. Again, the majority of KNOWNS in
I
this group are astronomical. The greater proportion
of UNKNOWNS in the 31-to 60-second and 61-second
to 5-minute groups cannot be explained.
I
(5) Speed
I
The major contribution to chi square for this char
acteristic is due to a large excess of UNKNOWNS in
I
the over 400-mph class. It can be assumed that some
of the excessive speeds are inaccuracies in estimates
by observers. However, some radar sightings, which
I
are practically impossible to identify, show objects
I
with speeds of 1,000 to 2,000 mph and over, and these
reports account for a number of these UNKNOWNS.
(6) Light brightness
I
I
Since this chi square was not significant, it is not
necessary to discuss it here.
I
An examination of these discrepancies thus brings up a very interest
ing point. In every case for which there is a significant excess of KNOWNS
over UNKNOWNS, the excess can be attributed to an excess of identifiable
astronomical phenomena. This would seem to lead to the conclusion that
I
astronomical phenomena are easy to identify and there are very few left in
I
the UNKNOWNS. Accordingly, the astronomical object sightings were
deleted from the KNOWN object sightings and the Chi Square Test was again
applied. The results are shown in Tables VIII through XIII, where in this
case the KNOWNS do not contain astronomical sightings.
I
It will be noted that some groups were combined when the adjusted
number of KNOWNS was ten or less, except for the case for which the
I
number of objects per sighting was the characteristic studied. These were
borderline cases, and no good combination of groups existed.
I
It is apparent that the deletion of astronomical sightings gives a better
fit, although the decision is not clear cut, since for two cases (light bright
I
ness and speed}, the chi square increased. However, it can again be pointed
I
out that the reporting of these two characteristics is highly subjective and is
open to question. The estimation of speed is especially open to question
because of the impossibility of accurately determining it visually.
I
I
69
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE VIII
CHI SQUARE TEST OF REVISED KNOWNS VERSUS
I
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF COLOR
Adjusted
x2
'
I
Number of Number of
Number of
(K-n}
2
Color KNOWNS
KNOWNS {K}
UNKNOWNS ( n) K
I
• White
281
95
112
3.04
Metallic
298
101
76
6. 19
I
Not stated 189
64
62
0.06
Orange
117
39
49 2.56
I
Red
92
31
33 0. 13
Yellow
90
30
31 0.03
Green 32
11 14
0.82
I
Blue
29
10
26}
I
0.57
Other 158 53
31
Total 1286 434 434
13.40
I
Degrees of freedom
7
I
5%
14. 1
1%
18. 5
I
I
I
I
I
I
70
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE IX
CHI SQUARE TEST OF REVISED KNOWNS VERSUS
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF NUMBER
Number of Adjusted
x2
I
'
I
Objects Per
Number of
Number of
Number of
(K-n)
2
Sighting
KNOWNS
KNOWNS (K) UNKNOWNS (n)
K
1
913
308
297
0.39
I
2 142 48 37
2.52
I
3-10
168 57
70
2.96
llormore
34
11 25
15.36
Not stated
29
10
5
2.50
I
Total 1286 434
434
23.73
I
Degrees of freedom
4
I
5%
9.5
1%
13.3
I
I
I
I
I
I
71
I
,
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE X
CHI SQUARE TEST OF REVISED KNOWNS VERSUS
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF SHAPE
I
x2
Adjusted
'
Number of
Number of
Number of
(K-n)
2
I
Shape KNOWNS KNOWNS (K)
UNKNOWNS. ( n)
K
I
Elliptical
632 213
195 1. 52
Rocket or aircraft
72
24
33
3.37
Meteor or comet
9
3
1.32 I
Flame
47
16
1~}
Teardrop, lenticular,
79
27
22 0.93
or conical
I
Other
151
51
54
1. 76
Not stated
296
100
116
2.56
I
Total
1286 434 434 11.46
I
Degrees of freedom 5
I
5%
11. 1
1%
15. 1
I
I
I
I
I
I!
72
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE XI
CHI SQUARE TEST OF REVISED KNOWNS VERSUS UNKNOWNS
ON THE BASIS OF DURATION OF OBSERVATION
Adjusted
x2,
Duration of Number of Number of
Number of
(K-n}
2
Observation KNOWNS
KNOWNS (K) UNKNOWNS (n)
K
I
5 sec or less
92
31
27
0.52
6-10 sec 47 16
21
1. 56
I
11-30 sec
31-60 sec
118
92
40
31
33
42
1. 23
3.90
I
61 sec-5 min
6 min-30 min
252
259
85
87
99
71
2. 31
2.94
Over 30 min
91
31 37
1. 16
I
Not stated
335 113 104
0.72
Total 1286 434
434
14.34
I
I
Degrees of freedom
5%
7
14. 1
I
1%
18.5
I
I
I
I
I
73
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE XII
CHI SQUARE TEST OF REVISED KNOWNS VERSUS
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF SPEED
I
x2
Adjusted
'
2
I
Nu1nber of Number of
Number of
(K-n}
Speed
KNOWNS
KNOWNS
(K)
UNKNOWNS (n)
K
I
Stationary
196 66 53 2.56
Less than 100 mph
128
43 26 6.72
I
100 to 400 mph 156
53
58
0.47
Over 400 mph
291 98
145}
I
28.54
Meteor-like
24
8
16
Not stated
491 166 136 5.42
Total 1286 434 434
43.71
I
I
Degrees of freedom
4
5% 9.5
I
1%
13. 3
I
I
I
I
I
I
74
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
TABLE XIII
CHI SQUARE TEST OF REVISED KNOWNS VERSUS
UNKNOWNS ON THE BASIS OF LIGHT BRIGHTNESS
I
Adjusted
x2,
Number of Number of
Number of
(K-n)
2
Light Brightness
KNOWNS
KNOWNS (K) UNKNOWNS ( n) K
I
Sunlight on mirror
24
8
14}
2.67
I
Sunlight on aluminum
136
46
28
Sunlight on plaster,
63
21
16
1.
19
I
stone, or soil
Brighter than moon
143 48
61
3.52
Like moon or duller
42 15
22 3. 27
I
than moon
Not stated
878
296
293
0.03
Total 1286 434 434
10.68
I
Degrees of freedom
4
I
5%
9.5
1%
13. 3
I
I
I
I
I
I
75
I
I
I
Another interesting aspect of these new tests is that there are only
two large discrepancies in all of the groups. These are for the 11 or more
groups in the classification by number of objects per sighting and for the
I
over-400-mph and meteor-like group for the classification by speed. The
first was relatively unchanged by deletion of the astronomical sightings
principally because of the concentration of sightings in the single-object
I
category. The second was slightly increased by the removal of the astro
nomical sightings from the meteor-like classification. However, the main
I
discrepancy, that of the excess of UNKNOWNS in the over-400-mph class,
was little changed.
I
The results of these tests are inconclusive since they neither confirm
nor deny that the UNKNOWNS are primarily unidentified KNOWNS, although
they do indicate that relatively few of the UNKNOWNS are actually astro
I
nomical phenomena.
I
It was decided that this process would not be carried to its logical
conclusion {that is, the determination of a linear combination of KNOWNS
that would give a negligible chi square when compared with the UNKNOWNS),
I
since it was felt that the inaccuracies in the reports would give a distorted
and meaningless result.
I
The "Flying Saucer" Model
I
The importance of the problem dictated a second approach, should the
I
statistical results prove inconclusive. It was decided that an attempt
would be made to describe the physical appearance, flight characteristics,
I
and other attributes {that is, construct a model) of a class or classes of
"flying saucers".
I
Preparatory to this attempt, a re-evaluation of the UNKNOWNS was
necessary. This re-evaluation was accomplished by a panel composed only
of persons previously associated with the work. Using all the UNKNOWNS
I
reports available at ATIC, the panel made a careful study of the reports for
the UNKNOWN SIGHTINGS in angle-of-sun-elevation Groups 1, 2, 3, 6, and
I
7 -those .groups for which the sun was either above the horizon or less than
10° in elevation below the horizon.
I
This study had two purposes. The first was to determine, with
additional information such as the angle of elevation of the sun, how many
I
of the UNKNOWNS might be ascribed to known phenomena. The second was
to obtain those UNKNOWNS which were described in sufficient detail that
they might be used to construct a model or models of "flying saucers".
I
It was decided to put any of the UNKNOWNS which might be known
phenomena into a "possible KNOWN" category to denote the slightly lower I
confidence level which could be ascribed to these new evaluations. The
I
I
76
I
I
I
UNKNOWNS with sufficiently detailed description would be called
II
good
UNKNOWNS", while the remainder would simply be called UNKNOWNS.
One hundred sixty-four folders of a total of 186 OBJECT SIGHTINGS in
I
Groups 1, 2, 3, 6, and 7 were examined. There were 18 possible aircraft,
20 possible balloons, 7 good UNKNOWNS, 100 UNKNOWNS, and 19 others
which were identified as being possible KNOWNS of various types. It is
interesting to note that two of these were established as mock suns on the
I
basis of the angle of sun elevation and the sun bearing angle, together with
the direction of the object from the observer. In addition, the UNKNOWNS
I
in angle-of-sun-elevation Groups 4 and 5 (nighttime sightings) were scanned
with no attempt at identification, but to find any possible "good UNKNOWNS".
There were five sightings that could be put into this category.
I
I
Of the UNKNOWNS, there were approximately 20 sightings that were
observed in such a way that they should have been recognized easily if they
had been familiar objects, that is, there was little possibility that their
shapes, as seen, could have been distorted sufficiently by one cause or
I
another to render them unrecognizable. There were a very few that would
have been identified as guided missiles or rockets, but that were not so
identified because of the geographical location in which they were seen.
I
I
All of the remaining UNKNOWNS were classified as such solely be
cause they were reported to have performed maneuvers that could not be
ascribed to any known objects. In these cases, the shape might have been
unrecognizable also, but it was felt that this was because of distortion and
I
distance, or because of darkness.
This is a very important point. To put it differently, if these
I
UNKNOWNS, which represent all but about 40 of the UNKNOWN SIGHTINGS,
were reported to have performed maneuvers which could be ascribed to
I
known phenomena, they would pro~ have been identified as KNOWNS.
With the exception of some radar sightings, all of these maneuvers were
observed visually. The possibilities for inaccuracies are great because
I
of the inability of an observer to estimate visually size, distance, and
speed.
I
Reports of sightings by radar usually were of high-speed objects,
some at extremely high altitudes. Some were identified as UNKNOWNS
I
because there was no object to be seen visually at the point indicated by the
radar set. It cannot be said with any assurance what these radar sightings
mean, but the most logical explanation is that they are ground targets re
I
flected by an atmospheric temperature inversion layer. The validity of this
I
statement cannot be established. It is felt that radar sightings in this study
are of no significance whatsoever unless a visual sighting of the object also
1s made.
I
Taken in conjunction with the Chi Square Tests discussed earlier,
I
the results of the re-evaluation of reports identified as UNKNOWN
SIGHTINGS would seem to indicate that the majority of them could easily
77
I
I
I
have been familiar objects. However, the resolution of this question with
any degree of certainty appears to be impossible.
I
Thus, out of the 434 OBJECT SIGHTINGS that were identified as.
UNKNOWNS by the data reduction process, there were only 12 that were
described with sufficient detail that they could be used in an attempt to
I
derive a model of a "flying saucer". The following is a summary of the 12
good UNKNOWN SIGHTINGS:
I
Case I {Serial 0573. 00)
I
Two men employed by a rug-cleaning firm were driving across a
I
bridge at 0955 hours on July 29, 1948, when they saw an object glide across
the road a few hundred feet in front of them. It was shiny and metallic in
construction, about 6 to 8 feet long and 2 feet wide. It was in a flat glide
I
path at an altitude of about 30 feet and in a moderate turn to the left. It was
seen for only a few seconds and apparently went down in a wooded area,
although no trace of it was found.
I
I
6' to 8'
I
I
I
1-1/2' X 2'
I
I
I
I
I
Case II {Serial 4508. 00)
A naval aviation student, his wife, and several others were at a
I
These are round cups which protrude
drive-in movie from 2115 to 2240 hours on April 20, 1952, during which
time they saw several groups of objects fly over. There were from two to
I
nine objects in a group and there were about 20 groups. The groups of
78
I
I
I
I
objects flew in a straight line except for some changes in direction
I
accomplished in a manner like any standard aircraft turn.
I
The objects were shaped like conventional aircraft. The unaccount
able feature of the objects was that each had a red glow surrounding it and
was glowing itself, although it was a cloudless night.
I
I
I
I
I
,,
I
I
I
I
Case III (Serial 2013. 00, 2014. 00, and 2014. 01)
I
Two tower operators sighted a light over a city airport at 2020 hours
on January 20, 1951. Since a commercial plane was taking off at this
I
time, the pilots were asked to investigate this light. They observed it at
2026 hours. According to them, it flew abreast of them at a greater
radius as they made their climbing turn, during which time it blinked some
lights which looked like running lights. While the observing plane was still
I
in it.s climbing turn, the object made a turn toward the plane and flew across
its nose. As the two men turned their heads to watch it, it instantly
I
appeared on their other side flying in the same direction as they were
flying, and then in 2 or 3 seconds it slipped under them, and they did not
I
see it again. Total time of the observation was not stated. In appearance,
it was like an airplane with a cigar-shaped body and straight wings, some
what larger than a B-29. No engine nacelles were observed on the wings.
I
I
79
\_
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Case N (Serial 4599. 00)
I
A part-time farmer and a hired hand were curing tobacco at midnight
on July 19, 1952, when they looked up and saw two cigar-shaped objects.
I
One hovered while the other moved to the east and came back, at which
tin1e both ascended until out of sight. Duration of observation was 3 to 4
I
minutes. Both had an exhaust at one end, and neither had projections of any
kind. It was stated that they appeared to be transparent and illuminated
from the inside.
I
I
I
Exhaust
I
I
I
80
I
I
Lighted
I
I
I
I
Case V (Serial 0565. 00 to 0565. 03)
I
I
A pilot and copilot were flying a DC-3 at 0340 hours on July 24, 1948,
when they saw an object coming toward them. It passed to the right and
slightly above them, at which time it went into a steep climb and was lost
from sight in some clouds. Duration of the observation was about 10
I
seconds. One passenger was able to catch a flash of light as the object
I
passed. The object seemed powered by rocket or jet motors shooting a
trail of fire some 50 feet to the rear of the object. The object had no wings •
or other protrusion and had two rows of lighted windows.
I
I
Cockpit
I
windshield?
I
I
I
Pilot
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Black
Copilot
81
Case VI (Serial 4822. 00)
An instrument technician, while driving from a large city toward an
Air Force base on December 22, 1952, saw an object from his car at 1930
hours. He stopped his car to watch it. It suddenly moved up toward the
zenith in spurts from right to left at an angle of about 45°. It then moved
off in level flight at a high rate of speed, during which maneuver it appeared
white most of the time, but apparently rolled three times showing a red
·side. About halfway through its roll it showed no light at all. It finally
assumed a position to the south of the planet Jupiter at a high altitude, at
which position it darted back and forth, left and right alternately. Total
time of the observation was 15 minutes. Apparently, the observer just
stopped watching the object.
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Deep red
82
I
I
Case VII (Serial 2728. 00}
I
A Flight Sergeant saw an object over an Air Force base in Korea at
0842 hours on June 6, 1952. The object flew in a series of spinning and
I
tumbling actions. It was on an erratic course, first flying level, then
I
stopping momentarily, shooting straight up, flying level and again tumbling,
then changing course and disappearing into the sun. It reappeared and was
seen flying back and forth across the sun. At one time an F-86 passed
I
between the observer and the _object. He pointed it out to another man who
saw it as it maneuvered near the sun.
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Black lines evenly spaced
Proportion 7
to 1
I
(Dimensions are as
shown in observer's
original drawing)
I
I
I
I
83
I
I
I
Case VIII (Serial 0576. 00)
I
An electrician was standing by the bathroom window of his home,
facing west, at 0825 hours on July 31, 1948, when he first sighted an object.
He ran to his kitchen where he pointed out the object to his wife. Total
I
time in sight was approximately 10 seconds, during which the object flew
on a straight and level course from horizon to horizon, west to east.
I
I
I
I
I
I
f
6' to 8'
20'
(Ratio approx. 3:1)
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
84
I
I
Case IX (Serial 0066. 00)
I
A farmer and his two sons, aged 8 and 10, were at his fishing camp
I
on August 13, 1947. At about 1300 hours, he went to look for the boys,
having sent them to the river for some tape from his boat. He noticed an
object some 300 feet away, 75 feet above the ground. He saw it against
the background of the canyon wall which was 400 feet high at this point. It
I
was hedge hopping, following the contour of the ground, was sky blue,
I
about 20 feet in diameter and 10 feet thick, and had pods on the side from
which flames were shooting out. It made a swishing sound. The observer
stated that the trees were highly agitated by the craft as it passed over.
I
His two sons also observed the object. No one saw the object for more
than a few seconds.
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
. Side view
End view
85
to a patch
Surface appeared dirty
of motion
/
Direction
I
I
Case X (Serial 1119. 00}
I
An employee in the supersonic laboratory of an aeronautical lab
oratory and some other employees of this lab, were by a river, 2-1/2
miles from its mouth, yvhen they saw an object. The time was about 1700
I
hours on May 24, 1949. The object was reflecting sunlight when observed
by naked eye. However, he then looked at it with 8-power binoculars, at
I
which time there was no glare. (Did glasses have filter?} It was of
metallic construction and was seen with good enough resolution to show
that the skin was dirty. It moved off in horizontal flight at a gradually in
I
creasing rate of speed, until it seemed to approach the speed of a jet
before it disappeared. No propulsion was apparent. Time of observation
was 2-1/2 to 3 minutes.
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
in rear
Something equivalent
I
I
I
I
and spotty in color
I
I
I
I
86
I
I
Case XI (Serial 1550. 00}
I
On March 20, 1950, a Reserve Air Force Captain and an airlines
I
Captain were flying a commercial airlines flight. At 21:26, the airline
Captain directed the attention of the Reserve Air Force Captain to an object
which apparently was flying at high speed, approaching the airliner from
the south on a north heading. The Reserve Air Force Captain focused his
I
attention on the object. Both crew members watched it as it passed in front
I
of them and went out of sight to the right. The observation, which lasted
about 25 to 35 seconds, occurred about 15 miles north of a medium-sized
city. When the object passed in front of the airliner, it was not more than
1/2 mile distant and at an altitude of about 1000 feet higher than the airliner.
I
I
The object appeared to be circular, with a diameter of approximately
100 feet and with a vertical height considerably less than the diameter,
giving the object a disc-like shape. In the top center was a light which was
I
blinking at an estimated 3 flashes per second. This light was so brilliant
that it would have been impossible to look at it continuously had it not been
blinking. This light could be seen only when the object was approaching
and after it had passed the airliner. When the object passed in front of the
I
observers, the bottom side was visible. The bottom side appeared to have
I
9 to 12 symmetrical oval or circular portholes located in a circle approxi
mately 3/4 of the distance from the center to the outer edge. Through these
portholes came a soft purple light about the shade of aircraft fluorescent
I
lights. The object was traveling in a straight line without spinning. Con
sidering the visibility, the length of time the object was in sight, and the
distance from the object, the Reserve Air Force Captain estimates the
speed to be in excess of 1000 mph.
I
I
I
I
I
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I
I
I
87
I
Flashing light
I
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I
88
I
I
Case XII (Serial 3601. 00)
I
At 0535 on the morning of August 25, 1952, a musician for a radio
station was driving to work from his home when he noticed an object
I
hovering about 10 feet above a field near the road along which he was
I
driving. As he came abreast of the object, he stopped his car and got out
to watch. Having an artificial leg, he could not leave the road, since the
surrounding terrain was rough. However, he was within about 100 yards
I
of it at the point he was standing on the road. The object was not absolutely
still, but seemed to rock slightly as it hovered. When he turned off the
motor of his car, he could hear a deep throbbing sound coming from the
object. As he got out of the car, the object began a vertical ascent with a
I
sound similar to "a large covey of quail starting to fly at one time". The
object ascended vertically through broken clouds until out of sight. His
I
view was not obscured by clouds. The observer states that the vegetation
was blown about by the object when it was near the ground.
I
Description of the object is as follows:
It was about 75 feet long, 45 feet wide, and 15 feet thick, shaped like
I
two oval meat platters placed together. It was a dull aluminum color, and
I
had a smooth surface. A medium-blue continuous light shone through the
one window in the front section. The head and shoulders of one man, sitting
motionless, facing the forward edge of the object, were visible. In the
midsection of the object were several windows extending from the top to the
I
rear edge of the object; the midsection of the ship had a blue light which
I
gradually changed to different shades. There was a large amount of activity
and movement in the midsection that could not be identified as either human
or mechanical, although it did not have a regular pattern of movement.
I
There were no windows, doors or portholes, vents, seams, etc., visible
to the observer in the rear section of the object or under the object (viewed
at time of ascent). Another identifiable feature was a series of propellers
6 to 12 inches in diameter spaced closely together along the outer edge of
I
the object. These propellers were mounted on a bracket so that they
I
revolved in a horizontal plane along the edge of the object. The propellers
were revolving at a high rate of speed.
I
Investigation of the area soon afterward showed some evidence of
vegetation being blown around. An examination of grass and soil samples
taken indicated nothing unusual. Reliability of the observer was considered
good.
I
I
I
I
89
I
20' to 25'
height
I
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I
I
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I
I
I
Approximately
.....,._____ ----~
75' long
I
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I
90
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I
These 12 sightings can be classed into four categories on the basis of
their shapes, as follows:
( l} Propeller shape -Case I
I
(2) Aircraft shape -Cases II and III
I
(3) Cigar shape -Cases IV and V
I
(4) Elliptical or disc shape -Cases VI to XII
The criterion for choosing the above sightings was that their descrip
I
tions were given in enough detail to permit diagrams of the objects to be
I
drawn. It might be noted here that in all but one of these cases (Case XI)
the observer had already drawn a diagram of what he had seen.
The objective of this section of the study was the conceiving of a
I
model, or models. The requirement that the description be detailed is an
I
important one, and was the easiest to determine in the re-evaluation pro
gram. However, a good model ought to satisfy the following conditions as
well:
I
( 1) The general shape of the object and the maneuvers it
performed should fit the reports of many of the UNKNOWNS
and thus explain them.
I
(2) The observer and the report should be reliable.
I
(3} The report should contain elements which should have
been observed with accuracy, and which eliminate the
I
possibility that the sighting could be ascribed to a
familiar object or to a known natural phenomenon.
I
(4} The model should be derived from two or more good
UNKNOWNS between which there is no essential conflict.
I
It can be shown that it is not possible to deduce a model from the 12
cases that will satisfy all of these conditions. The following case-by-case
I
discussion of the 12 good UNKNOWNS will illustrate this point:
I
( 1) Case I does not satisfy Conditions 1 and 4. The reported
shape of this object is not duplicated in any of the other
UNKNOWNS.
I
I
•(2) Case II does not satisfy Conditions 1 and 3. There are
very few UNKNOWNS in the aircraft shape classification.
In addition, the unusual characteristic of this sighting
I
(i.e., the red glow) could have been reflection of the
lights of Flint from the objects if they were either birds
or aircraft.
91
I
(3) Case III does not satisfy Condition 1. It also does not
satisfy Condition 4 when Case II is eliminated as a
good UNKNOWN.
(4) Case IV does not satisfy Conditions 1 or 2. There are
few cigar-shaped or rocket-shaped objects reported in
the literature. In addition, this observer is not con
sidered to be well-qualified technically.
(5) Case V does not satisfy Condition 1. It also does not
satisfy Condition 4 when Case IV is eliminated as a
good UNKNOWN.
It might be argued here that many of the UNKNOWNS might actually
have shapes similar to these good UNKNOWNS. It will be noted, however,
that each of these five cases does not satisfy one of the other three condi
tions.
(6) Case VI does not satisfy Condition 2. In the description
of the object, it was stated that at certain times there
was no light seen from the object. Apparently, the
"band of no light", as diagrammed by the observer, was
an attempt to explain this. However, if the object were
constructed as shown in the diagram, light should have
been seen at all times. Because of this conflict the
drawing is not considered reliable, and without the draw
ing, there is not enough detail in the description to make
it useful for this study.
(7) Case VII violates Conditions 1 and 4. Although the shape
is disc-like, the maneuvers performed by the object are
unique both among the UNKNOWNS and among the good
UNKNOWNS.
Cases VIII to XII satisfy Conditions 1 through 3, but they do not
satisfy Condition 4. The features which make them different from each
other are as follows:
(8) Case VIII. The object is smooth, with no protrusions
or other details.
( 9) Case IX. The object had rocket or jet pods on each
side that were shooting out flames.
(10) Case X. The,object had a fin or rudder.
( 11) Case XI. The object had a series of portholes, or
windows, on its under side.
92
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(12) Case XII. The object had windows in its top and front
and its top midsection. It also had a set of propellers
around its waist.
I
It is not possible, therefore, to derive a verified model of a "flying
I
saucer" from the data that have been gathered to date. This point is im
portant enough to emphasize. Out of about 4,000 people who said they saw
a "flying saucer", sufficiently detailed descriptions were given in only 12
I
cases. Having culled the cream of the crop, it is still impossible to develop
a picture of what a "flying saucer" is.
In addition to this study of the good UNKNOWNS, an attempt was made
I
to find groups of UNKNOWNS for which the observed characteristics were
the same. No such groups were found.
I
I
On the basis of this evidence, therefore, there is a low probability
that any of the UNKNOWNS represent observations of a class of "flying
saucers". It may be that some reports represent observations of not one
but several classes of objects that might have been "flying saucers";
however, the lack of evidence to confirm even one class would seem to make
I
this possibility remote. It is pointed out that some of the cases of KNOWNS,
before identification, appeared fully as bizarre as any of the 12 cases of
I
good UNKNOWNS, and, in fact, would have been placed in the class of good
UNKNOWNS had it not been possible to establish their identity.
I
This is, of course, contrary to the bulk of the publicity that has been
I
given to this problem. The reason for the nature of this publicity was
clearly brought out during the re-evaluation study. It is a definite fact that
upon reading a few reports, the reader becomes convinced that "flying
I
saucers" are real and are some form of sinister contrivance. This reaction
is independent of the training of the reader or of his attitude toward the
problem prior to the initial contact. It is unfortunate that practically all of
the articles, books, and news stories dealing with the phenomenon of the
I
"flying saucer" were written by men who were in this category, that is,
I
men who had read only a few selected reports. This is accentuated by the
fact that, as a rule, only the more lurid-sounding reports are cited in these
publications. Were it not for this common psychological tendency to be
captivated by the mysterious, it is possible that no problem of this nature
I
would exist.
I
The reaction, mentioned above, that after reading a few reports, the
reader is convinced that "flying saucers" are real and are some form of
I
sinister contrivance, is very misleading. As more and more of the reports
are read, the feeling that "saucers" are real fades, and is replaced by a
feeling of skepticism regarding their existence.. The reader eventually
reaches a point of saturation, after which the reports contain no new infor
I
mation at all and are no longer of any interest. This feeling of surfeit was
I
universal among the personnel who worked on this project, and continually
necessitated a conscious effort on their part to remain objective.
93
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CONCLUSIONS
I
It can never be absolutely proven that "flying saucers" do not exist.
This would be true if the data obtained were to include complete scientific
measurements of the attributes of each sighting, as well as complete and
I
detailed descriptions of the objects sighted. It might be possible to demon
strate the existence of "flying saucers" with data of this type, IF they were
I
to exist.
Although the reports considered in this study usually did not contain
I
scientific measurements of the attributes of each sighting, it was possible
to establish certain valid conclusions by the application of statistical
I
methods in the treatment of the data. Scientifically evaluated and arranged,
the data as a whole did not show any marked patterns or trends. The in
accuracies inherent in this type of data, in addition to the incompleteness of
I
a large proportion of the reports, may have obscured any patterns Qr trends
that otherwise would have been evident. This absence of indicative relation
ships necessitated an exhaustive study of selected facets of the data in order
I
to draw any valid conclusions.
I
A critical examination of the distributions of the important char
acteristics of sightings, plus an intensive study of the sightings evaluated
as UNKNOWN, led to the conclusion that a combination of factors, prin
I
cipally the reported maneuvers of the objects and the unavailability of
supplemental data such as aircraft flight plans or balloon-launching records,
resulted in the failure to identify as KNOWNS most of the reports of objects
I
classified as UNKNOWNS.
I
An intensive study, aimed at finding a verified example of a "flying
saucer" or at deriving a verified model or models of "flying saucers" {as
defined on Page 1), led to the conclusion that neither goal could be attained
I
using the pre sent data.
I
It is emphasized that there was a complete lack of any valid evidence
consisting of physical matter in any case of a reported unidentified aerial
object.
I
Thus, the probability that any of the UNKNOWNS considered in this
study are "flying saucers" is concluded to be extremely small, since the
I
most complete and reliable reports from the present data, when isolated
and studied, conclusively failed to reveal even a rough model, and since
I
the data as a whole failed to reveal any marked patterns or trends.
Therefore, on the basis of this evaluation of the information, it is
I
considered to be highly improbable that any of the reports of unidentified
aerial objects examined in this study represent observations of technologi
cal developments outside the range of present-day scientific knowledge.
I
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APPENDIX A
I
TABULATIONS OF FREQUENCY AND PERCENTAGE
DISTRIBUTIONS BY CHARACTERISTICS
I
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95 and 96
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INDEX OF TABLES
I
Page
Table Al. Evaluation of All Sightings by Years 107
I
Table AZ. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Years
107
Table A3.
Evaluation of Object Sightings by Years
108
I
Table A4.
Evaluation of All Sightings by Month of Year,
All Years.
109
Table AS. Evaluation of All Sightings by Month of Year, 1947
110
I
Table A6.
Evaluation of All Sightings by Month of Year, 1948
111
Table A7.
Evaluation of All Sightings
by Month of Year,
1949
112
I
Table A8. Evaluation of All Sightings by Month of Year, 1950
113
Table A9. Evaluation of All Sightings by Month of Year,
1951
114
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Table Al0. Evaluation of All Sightings by Month of Year,
1952
115
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Table Al 1. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Month of Year,
All Years
116
Table AlZ. Evaluation of Unit Sightings
by Month of Year, 1947
117
I
Table Al3. Evaluation of Unit Sightings
by Month of Year, 1948
118
Table Al4. Evaluation of Unit Sightings
by Month of Year, 1949
119
I
Table Al 5. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Month of Year,
1950
120
Table Al 6. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Month of Year, 1951
121
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Table Al 7. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Month of Year, 1952
122
Table Al8. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Month of Year, All Years
123
Table Al9. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Month of Year, 1947
124
Table AZO. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Month of Year, 1948 125
Table AZl. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Month of Year, 1949· 126
Table AZZ. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Month of Year, 1950 127
Table A23. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Month of Year, 1951 128
I
Table A24. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Month of Year, 1952 129
I
Table A25.
Evaluation of All Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups,
All Years
130
Table A26. Evaluation of All Sightings
by Sighting Reliability Groups,
1947
130
I
Table A27. Evaluation of All Sightings
by Sighting Reliability Groups,
1948
130
Table A28. Evaluation of All Sightings
by Sighting Reliability Groups,
1949
130
I
Table A29. Evaluation of All Sightings
by Sighting Reliability Groups,
1950
131
Table A30. Evaluation of All Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1951
131
I
Table A31. Evaluation of All Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1952
131
Table A32. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, All Years 132
I
Table A33. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1947 . 132
I
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97
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INDEX OF TABLES
(Continued)
Table A34. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1948 .
Table A35. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1949
Table A36. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1950
Table A37. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1951
Table A38. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1952 .
Table A39. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, All Years
Table A40. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1947
Table A41. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1948
Table A42. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1949
Table A43. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1950
Table A44. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1951
Table A45. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Sighting Reliability Groups, 1952
Table A46. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Military Observers
Table A47. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Civilian Observers
Table A48. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1947 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Military Observers
Table A49. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1947 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Civilian Observers
Table AS0. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1948 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Military Observers
Table A51. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1948 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Civilian Observers
Table A52. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1949 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Military Observers
Table A53. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1949 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Civilian Observers
Table A54. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1950 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Military Observers
Table A55. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1950 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Civilian Observers
Table A56. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1951 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Military Observers
Table A57. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1951 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Civilian Observers
Table ASS. Evaluation of All Sightings for 1952 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Military Observers
98
Page
132
132
133
133
133
134
134
134
134
135
135
135
136
136
136
136
137
137
137
137
138
138
138
138
139
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Table A59.
Table A60.
Table A61.
Table A62.
Table A63.
Table A64.
Table A65.
Table A66.
Table A67.
Table A68.
Table A69.
Table A 70.
Table A 71.
Table A 72.
Table A 73.
Table A 74.
Table A 7 5.
Table A 76.
Table A 77.
Table A 78.
Table A 79.
Table ABO.
Table ABl.
Table A82.
INDEX OF TABLES
(Continued)
Evaluation of All Sightings for 1952 by Sighting Reliability Groups,
Civilian Observers
139
Reported Colors of Objects Sighted by Years, All Sightings
140
Reported Colors of Objects Sighted by Years, Unit Sightings
140
Reported Colors of Objects Sighted by Years, Object Sightings
140
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported .
141
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported
142
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported
143
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
One Object
144
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Two Objects .
144
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Three to Ten Objects •
145
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Eleven or More Objects .
145
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Number of Objects Not Stated .
146
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
One Object 147
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Two Objects .
147
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Three to Ten Objects . 148
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Eleven or More Objects .
148
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Number of Objects Not Stated . 149
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
One Object 150
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Two Objects •
150
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Three to Ten Objects . 151
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Eleven or More Objects .
151
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting,
Number of Objects Not Stated .
152
Evaluation of All Sightings by Duration of Sighting, All Years
153
Evaluation of All Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1947
153
99
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INDEX OF TABLES
(Continued)
Table A83. Evaluation of All Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1948
Table A84. Evaluation of All Sightings
by Duration of Sighting, 1949
Table A85.
Evaluation of All Sightings by Duration of Sighting,
1950
Table A86.
Evaluation of All Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1951
Table A87.
Evaluation of All Sightings by Duration of Sighting,
1952
Taole ABB.
Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Duration of Sighting, All Years
Table A89.
Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1947
Table A90.
Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1948
Table A91. Evaluation of Unit Sightings
by Duration of Sighting, 1949
Table A92.
Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1950
Table A93.
Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1951
Table A94. Evaluation of Unit Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1952
Table A95. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Duration of Sighting, All Years.
Table A 96. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1947
Table A 97. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1948
Table A 98. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1949
Table A99. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1950
Table Al00. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Duration of Sightings, 1951
Table Al0l. Evaluation of Object Sightings by Duration of Sighting, 1952
Table Al02. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Five Seconds or Less
Table Al03. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Six to Ten Seconds
Table Al04. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Eleven to Thirty Seconds .
Table Al05. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Thirty One to Sixty Seconds
Table Al06. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Sixty One Seconds to Five Minutes .
Table Al07. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Six to Thirty Minutes
Table Al08. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Over Thirty Minutes
Table Al09. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Duration Not Stated .
100
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• 154
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155
155
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156
157
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157
158
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158
159
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159
160
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161
161
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162
162
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163
163
164
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165
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166
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167
168
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169
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170
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171
172
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Table AllO.
Table A 111.
Table All2.
Table A 113.
Table All4.
Table All5.
Table All6.
Table Al 17.
Table All8.
Table All9.
Table AlZ0.
Table Al2l.
Table Al22.
Table Al 23.
Table Al24.
Table Al 25.
Table Al26.
Table Al27.
Table Al 28.
Table Al29.
Table Al30.
Table Al3l.
Table Al32.
INDEX OF TABLES
(Continued)
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Five Seconds or Less 173
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Six to Ten Seconds
174
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Eleven to Thirty Seconds .
175
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Thirty One to Sixty Seconds
176
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Sixty One Seconds to Five Minutes •
177
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Six to Thirty Minutes 178
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Over Thirty Minutes
179
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Duration Not Stated .
180
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Five Seconds or Less
181
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Six to Ten Seconds
182
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Eleven to Thirty Seconds •
183
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Thirty One to Sixty Seconds
184
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Sixty One Seconds to Five Minutes .
185
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Six to Thirty Minutes
186
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Over Thirty Minutes
187
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Duration of Sighting for Months
of Year, Duration Not Stated •
188
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Elliptical
189
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Rocket and Aircraft
189
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Meteor or Comet 190
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Lenticular, Conical,
or Teardrop
190
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Flame
191
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Other Shapes
191
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Shape Not Stated
192
101
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INDEX OF TABLES
(Contin~ed)
Table Al 33. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Elliptical •
Table Al 34. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Rocket and Aircraft
Table Al35. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Meteor or Comet
Table Al 36. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Lenticular,
Conical, or Teardrop
Table A 137. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Flame
Table Al38. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Other Shapes.
Table Al39. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Shape Not Stated
Table Al40. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Elliptical
Table Al41. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Rocket and Aircraft
Table Al42. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Meteor or Comet
Table Al43. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Lenticular,
Conical, or Teardrop
Table A 144. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Flame
Table Al45. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Other Shapes
Table Al46. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Shape Not Stated.
Table Al47. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, Stationary
Table Al48. Evaluation of All Sightings for AU Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, Less
Than One Hundred Miles per Hour .
Table Al49. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, One
Hundred to Four Hundred Miles per Hour
Table Al50. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, Over
Four Hundred Miles per Hour
Table Al51. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Meteor-Like Speeds .
Table Al52. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Speed Not Stated .
Table Al53. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, Stationary.
Table Al54. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, Less Than
One Hundred Miles per Hour .
Table Al 55. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, One Hundred
to Four Hundred Miles per Hour
Table Al56. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, Over
Four Hundred Miles per Hour
Table Al 57. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Meteor-Like Speeds .
Table Al58. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Speed Not Stated .
102
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194
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194
195
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195
196
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197
197
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198
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199
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200
201
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201
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202
202
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203
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203
204
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204
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205
205
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206
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206
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Table Al 59.
Table Al60.
Table Al61.
Table Al 62.
Table Al63.
Table Al64.
Table Al65.
Table Al66.
Table Al67.
Table Al68.
Table Al69.
Table Al70.
Table Al71.
Table Al72.
Table Al73.
Table Al 74.
Table Al75.
Table Al76.
Table Al77.
Table Al78.
Table Al 79.
Table Al 80.
Table AlBl.
Table Al82.
Table Al83.
INDEX OF TABLES
(Continued)
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, Stationary
207
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Than One Hundred Miles per Hour .
Less
207
Elevation of Object Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Hundred to Four Hundred Miles per Hour.
One
208
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Four Hundred Miles per Hour.
Over
208
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Meteor-Like Speeds .
209
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects,
Speed Not Stated •
209
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Light Brightness.
210
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Light Brightness
211
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Light Brightness
212
Location of Observers During Sighting by Months for All Sightings, All Years
213
Location of Observers During Sighting by Months for All Sightings,
Location of Observers During Sighting by Months for All Sightings,
Location of Observers During Sighting by Months for All Sightings,
Location of Observers During Sighting by Months for All Sightings,
Location of Observer During Sighting by Months for All Sightings,
Location of Observers During Sighting by Months for All Sightings,
1947
214
1948
215
1949
216
1950
217
1951 .
218
1952
219
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, White or Glowing White Objects . 220
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Metallic Obje:::ts .
220
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Object Color Not Stated
221
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Golors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Orange or Glowing Orange Objects • 221
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Red or Glowing Red Objects . 222
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Green or Glowing Green Objects 222
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Yellow or Glowing Yellow Objects . 223
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Objects of Other Colors
223
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, White or Glowing White Objects .
224
103
I
I
I
INDEX OF TABLES
(Continued)
Table Al84. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Metallic Objects .
Table Al85. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Object Color Not Stated
Table Al86. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Orange or Glowing Orange Objects .
Table Al87. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Red or Glowing Red Objects
Table Al88. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Green or Glowing Green Objects
Table Al89. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Yellow or Glowing Yellow Objects •
Table Al90. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Objects of Other Colors
Table Al91. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, White or Glowing White Objects .
Table Al92. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Metallic Objects .
Table Al93. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Object Color Not Stated
Table Al94. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Orange or Glowing Orange Objects .
Table Al95. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Red or Glowing Red Objects .
Table Al96. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Green or Glowing Green Objects.
Table Al97. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Yellow or Glowing Yellow Objects .
Table Al98. Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Colors Reported for Duration
of Sighting, Objects of Other Colors
Table Al99. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, One Object
Table A200. Evaluation of All Sightings for Ali Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Two Objects .
Table A201. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Three to Ten Objects •
Table A202. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Eleven or More Objects .
Table A203. Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Number of Objects Not Stated
Table A204. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, One Object
Table A205. Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Two Objects .
104
Page
224
225
225
226
226
227
227
228
228
229
229
230
230
231
231
232
232
233
233
234
235
235
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Table A206.
Table A207.
Table A208.
Table A209.
Table A210.
Table A211.
Table A212.
Table A213.
Table A214.
Table A215.
Table A216.
Table A2 l 7.
Table A218.
Table A219.
Table A220.
Table A221.
Table A222.
Table A223.
Table A224.
Table A225.
Table A226.
Table A227.
Table A228.
Table A229.
Table A230.
Table A231.
Table A232.
INDEX OF TABLES
(Continued)
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Three to Ten Objects .
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting'
for Duration of Sighting, Eleven or More Objects .
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Number of Objects Not Stated
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, One Object
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Two Objects .
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Three to Ten Objects •
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Eleven or More Objects •
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Number of Objects per Sighting
for Duration of Sighting, Number of Objects Not Stated •
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Geographic Location
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by Geographic Location
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Geographic Location
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by North American Location.
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by North American Location
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by North American Location
Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by United States Regional Location
Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by United States Regional Location
Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by United States Regional Location
Evaluation of All Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central East Region
Evaluation of All Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central Midwest Region
Evaluation of All Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central Farwest Region
Evaluation of All Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South Midwest Region
Evaluation of All Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South West Region .
Evaluation of All Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South Farwest Region
Evaluation of Unit Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central East Region
Evaluation of Unit Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central Midwest Region
Evaluation of Unit Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central Farwest Region .
Evaluation of Unit Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South Midwest Region
236
236
237
238
238
239
239
240
241
241
242
243
243
244
245
246
247
248
248
248
249
249
249
250
250
250
251
I
I
INDEX OF TABLES
(Continued)
I
Page
Table A233. Evaluation of Unit Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South West Region
251
I
Table A234. Evaluation of Unit Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South Farwest Region
251
Table A235. Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central East Region
252
I
Table A236. Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central Midwest Region
252
Table A237. Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the Central Farwest Region
252
I
Table A238. Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South Midwest Region .
253
Table A239. Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South West Region .
253
I
Table A240. Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the South Farwest Region . 253
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
106
I
I
I
I
I
7'/l.tlL£ IV
I
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Evaluation
().Balloon
l·Astronomical
2•Aircraft
3-Light Phenom.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dust. etc.
6-lnsuffi~ Info.
7-Psychological
S.Unlmown
9-0tti..
Total
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Number Per Cent
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ALL
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Number PerCml
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I
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Certain DouLtfu lloobllul
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Total
Total
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J'J'9 /1.{J '/.t 157
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111
11./, ?J' i
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1111
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Evaluation
O.Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
~LighlPhalOm.
4-Birds
5--Clouds,0ust, etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-rsychological
S.Unlcnown
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Total
ds-o
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Per Cent
Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful
Total
21!-
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ertain Doubtful
Total
Certain Doubtful Total
4
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111!~
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Numbet' Per Cent Number Pertml
ertain
Doubtful
Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Ooobtlul Total Certain
Do-I
Total
//,,(
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'll
7.5
111
219
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fl/I
1.7.9
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11.1
11.5
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11..
11.I
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tJ.{,,
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102
115~ ti 154
9.t
tJ.tJ
'l.t
21,
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:?.!,'//
217.0
tl.O
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1./J
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tl.1
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107
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1-Asbonolaical
2-Airaaft
Higt,tPhenom.
4-Birds
6-lnsulli~ ~b.
7-Psydlllo&ical
!Mllber
/fc.?
Number
Percent
Number
Evaluation Certain OOUblful Total Certain
Oooblful Total
Certain
Doubtful
0-BailOCMI
fl/
q
?5
1?.II
?._;/
!ti.~
i' ?
1-Astrooomical
?5
;t/
?9
;;/f
ff.'!
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11,
14
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t;
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1.5'.IJ s.3
Jli'.1
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3-Li&lltl'll!nom.
tJ
IJ
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11./J
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/Jn
I
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4-Birds
IJ /J
I) /1 fl
/).f}
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17
I
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/J IJ
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17
17
6-lnsuffic. kifo.
N
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7-Psycllolo!ical
!2, /J
z /?.
/Jn
/.:Z
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II-Unknown
_N
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19
1!.IJ
n/J
U/J fJ
tJ
!Mllller
~
f
9
15
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f;,J
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Total
139 .3tl
Iii. 9
ff?..3
;:(?
Jtl/J.
95
21,
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Percent
Total Ceflain
Ooublld Total ertain
II
t.L
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1
t
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JV
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ti !d.t/ .;:tJ
11.¢
19.1
1, IJ.i
tJi
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IJ.t) /J.t,
?
;t/ If.I,
tJ.O
116 11/K
t, IJ.K IJ.f
/./,
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n 27.1 tl.lJ
21.f
.ftJJ
7 ,;:~
tJ.tJ
5:f s-/
/1,/
11'.I'5"
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'075"
/~-2.
Nulll>er
Oooblful Total Certain
111 UI n
fl
,, / :2
11.,I
171. fl,f
l:t.?
Fl
.19 I.?
S"
t./ /15
7 1/)
/).?
tJNt
ff
I.
JI
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l.10.r
M.t
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~5
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I/ti,
,,:-,,,;
171.1.
Per Cenl
Doubtful Total
n;
119
/. I
,i..
II 7
I'll/I
A.f
?I.
/J 'l
/JS
O,;;
/J.7
/1_/J
f.f
A. I/ 2./
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?/J.t
tJf
,/f
2.i'.¢
,,,n_
Nu•ber
Pe,C<nl
Cellain Ooublfu Total
Cerbin OOJbtful • Tot.t
108
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
1
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
ff tfLL
I
I
I
I
EVIi-
~8111111111
l•Aslnlnomical
Hircralt
3-Li;,tPho,om.
I-Birds
S-Clouds, Dus~ el~
6-lnsuffl~lnlo.
7-Psyd,ololical
1--
~
Total
JA,,, , ~ ,0 V
lmmbef
Per Cent
Certan Doubtful Totll
Certain Doubtful Total
3
3
6
2.1
n
4'. ~
2'1
,,,
15
'l.J.3
H.fl
ff/
{,
3
9
1/.'f
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0 0
0
o. 0
0.6
0. 0
0
0
0
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Q. G 0.0
0
0
()
n.D
o.O
0.0
9
0
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0. ~
5.9
,
0
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1(, 0
2,
l'f.
Q.0
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q
I 10 ,.1
0,7
7-3
83
SJ
l36
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F r6J<?(,IA~~
M,1,:,c,.
A~H''-
Number
Per Cent Number Per Cent Number
Per Cent
t;ertain
Doubtful
Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Cer1Jin Doubtful
Total Certain Dou!>lfUI
Toi-
'I
0
'f
'1.7
0.0
"/.]
16
'I
20 9.t
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12.,
7
J
I (J
3-)
l.f
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17
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18.3
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1},7
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HJ
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'l.f
JQ,S
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s
l'f
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5."
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13
7
30
13,9 'f.1
li,J
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3'
JI/ I
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0
0
0
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0
0
0
o. 0
o.o
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I
0
I
M
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n
0
0
o. 0
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0
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I I
o.O o. t I.I,
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0.0
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12
0
12
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2'
110
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0
0
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0
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0
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i.6 I
17
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0,0 J.0
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m
n,
119,
// 7 '19
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200
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10 S
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I
I
I
I
I
NAv
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,T11 v
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Enluation
Nmnbef Percent Number Per Cent
Namer Per Cenl Numbef
PerCmt
Certain Doubtful Totll Certain Doublful Tolal Certain Doul>tful Totll Certain Doubllu
Tola! ~ertain Doubtful Tolal Certain Dou!>llul Total Certan DoulilfU
Total Certain DooblfUI
Tota
0-BallOCNI
21./
s
2f
12.~
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3•
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If;
IS.~
2 ,6
16.~ IC!O H
IS5' /0.8
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3f
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7,
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1-A-ical
JB
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38
11'.~
51
lf.t
29
)3
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/J.7 IP./ 2:l.i
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H 171 ll.S S.'I
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n
70
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15
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7-7
,o.,
Jo IJ
'f.J
a.?
5. 7 Ii.ti IJJ
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7'1.fi
r:i
H 107
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IA. 6 u.,
Hipll'tl010m.
3
3
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1.5
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0 ~ I. 1
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18
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o. If
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7 7
l'7
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,.,
I-Birds
0
J
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0.1
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0
()
• 0
0.0
o.o r1.~
l.f
3
7 0-If o. 3
a. 7
0
0
0 n.O 0 d
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8
()
B
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0
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o.o
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I
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n I
n_ t'
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72
0
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7<
0
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Q.Q
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0
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(1
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0
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'I
'I
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1.0
10 I
l I
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1-UnknoMI
36
0
31,
ti.I,
0-p
1/1.~
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0
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0-0
n~
19!;
0
115
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00
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I If
0
/19
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0 21.9
9-0lller
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13
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6,
8
I
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J.~
o.'t
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I
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7
18 2-1
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Total
IH
3q
fqf
1f.?
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192
If 6
2.18
7f.B
2f.)
106,
103
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92'/
75, 7
2lf. 3
//J.0.
lJ(,
I fS
5'21
t',' l
3.,.5
/()().
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
',Ei"T,E'"MJrT/i'
O,r.-,.,~ ,1... -·-•e.lf' PFc,,._,r,H
Evaluation
Number Per Cent
Nu-
Per Cent
Nudler Per Cent
Number
Per Call
Certain DOUbtful Totll
Certain Doubtful Tolal Certain
DoublfUI
Total Certain Doobllul Total ertain Doubtful
Total Certain Doul>lfUI Tola!
Certain DoulilfU Tola!
Certam Doobtful Total
0-BallOCNI
6
I 'f UJ
2.P
C,'
u It
'J/
37
83
/().'
l'/.1
5
If
'23
3. 0 //.0
l'1.1
'I
7
Ir, J'.lf
't-2
f:'
l•Astrormical
31
II
'12
llf.8
f,l
U,()
'I 0
2/
61
21.8
/0.f
11.7
28
✓,
57
17. I
17. 7
39.I
11
Ji
63
,,.,
,,g. 5'
J7.5
2•Aircralt
I I-{
37
fl
t,.7
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// I 7
18
5, 7
f.'I II/./,
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27
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t.7
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11.,f
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u 7./ 8 3
15. 't
0
I
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() 0
o.t
3-Lighll'tlom.
I
2
3 n: <
/. D
1.5
I
'I
5'
0 S
71
u 3
I
I-Birds I
1.
3 0,5
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J
2
7 J.6 /.O
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0
()
()
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o. Q
Q./)
0
0
0
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0. 0
0. 0
S-Clouds, Dost, etc.
0
I
I
0,0 O.'i
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0
I
I
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0
i
9
o. 0
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()
0
o.o
0. 0
().0
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3
()
3
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0
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II
3-11
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o.l
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9
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3'1,'!
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tr,o
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I
I
I
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109
I
I
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6'y' MPIVTH
T,,,,yU .d A ..
/y_:,;:; IvA ,R v
MA""<#
-
AP-e,1.
EYliuation
Nmober Per Cent
_,
Per Cent
..
Per Cent
-
Nu■llef
Pertffll
Certain Doubtful Total Ceitain
~I
Total Certlia Damlful Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain Doublfvl Tola! Certain
Total
Certaia lloulJlfv Total
Certain llalblful Total
0-Ballooo
l-As1nn>llical
2-Airaafl
i'<'
·c
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J ~
3-Li&lrtPtr-.
~
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4-Binls
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5-<:louds.llosl,elc.
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6-lnsuffic.lllo.
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t--
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8-Untmo..
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Total
I
I
I
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I
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Evaluation
Number
Per Cent Nundler
Per Cent
..
Per Cent
-
Nu■llef Per Cent
Certain Doublfvl
Total Certain
Doublful Total Certain
Doublfvl Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain Doubtful Total Certain
Total
Certain
lloublfv Total
Certain
llalblful Total
0-Balloon
I
()
I
?:7
o.o
77
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0
6' /'-1
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p
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t)
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I
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7.7
7, 7 s
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() ·1
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0
0
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4-Binls I""-.'
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16
1-,q I
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Total
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I
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1.7
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11-f
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87.J 12 1
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19:;,.7
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Evaluation
Nmollef Per Cea! Per Cent NullDer Per Cent
Number
PerCml
Certain DolJbtlul Total Certain
Doublill Total
Certlin
Damlful Total Certain Doubtful Total
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Total Ceruin Ooibtllll Total
0-Balloon
0
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()
0
()
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I
()
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Total
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Evaluation
Number Per Cent Number Per Cent NuntJer Per Clllt
Number Per Cent
Certain DotJbtlul Total Certain Doubllul Tolll
Certain
Doubtful Total Certain
Doubt~I Total
~ertain
Doubllul
Total Certain
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Evaluation
ii-Balloon
l·Asbonomical
2--Airaaft
3-LightPh!IIOII.
4-Binls
5-Cloud~ Dust, et~
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-Psydlllolical
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Total Certain
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Total
Certain
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Number
Percent
Number Per Cent
Evaluation Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain Doubtful Total
Certain Doubtful Total
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3-LightPhenom.
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11 7 /'ff IU.1 .70
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Number
Per Cent Number
Per Cent
Evaluation Certain
Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain
Doulllful Total Certain Ooobtful Total
0-Balloon
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2"2
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0
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Total
36 r
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76.IJ
211.D
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Number PerCenl
Number Pe,COII
Evaluation Certain Doubtful Total Certain
Doulltful Total Certain llodltful Total Certain Ooobtful Total
0-Balloon
I
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t/.0
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()
0 ti 0 {I
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3
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112
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Per Cent
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Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
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Total
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g,f
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Number Per Cent
Certain
Doubllul
Total Certain Doulllful
I
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Nu■ller Per Call
Certain Doubtfu Total Certain Doobtllrl
0
(J
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d. {I
c),0
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Number Per Call
Certain Doubtfu Total Cerbin Doubtful
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0
if
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Total
/#,'l
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t),t)
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0,0
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II.I
110
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
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I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
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I
I
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I
I
I
I
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I
I
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I
I
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I
I
I
Evaluation
II-Balloon
1-Asbanolllical
2-Airtraft
3-Liglll Ph"10m.
4-Bints
S-Clouds, Dus~ elc.
6-lnsvffic.lnfo.
7-Psydmlogical
S.Unlmo ..
!I-OlhOI
Total
Evaluation
II-Balloon
1-Asbonomical
2-Aircraft
3-LiglllPhenom.
4-Bints
S-Cloud~ Dus~ etc.
6-lnsuffic.•lnfo.
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8-Unknown
!I-Olher
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2~Aircraft
3·Ligl11Ph8"m.
4-Binls
S-Clouds, Dus~ etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-Psychological
8-Unkno_,
9-0tller
Tolll
certain
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Doubttul Total Certain
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0
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5
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1100.
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Number Percent
OoubHul Total Certain IJoubHul Total Certain
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Number Percent
OoubHul Total Certain Doubttul Total Certain
IJ
0
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315
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3
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Number
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9-0ttie,
Total
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-AstlOnoaucal
2·Aircrafl
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I
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:
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2-Aucraft
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6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
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Humbel Per Cent
Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
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Percent Number
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Doubtful Total
ertain
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Total Certain
Doubtful Total
111-a.11000
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0
0
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0
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Number
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Certain
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0
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0
0
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I
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II-Balloon
!)
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()
00
0.0
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I
()
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120
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Total
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Evaluahon
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9,Qtt,e,
Total
i
I
Evaluation
i}Ballooo
l•Astronom1cal
2-Aircraft
3-Li&ht Pllenom.
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B-Unkno•
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I
Tota
i
I
Evaluation
l}Balooo
l•Astn:inonlical
2•Aircrah
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4-Birds
S-Clouds, Oust. etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnlo.
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Tota
Certain
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Number
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Total
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0 < '10.11
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0
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!2-Aucraft
1
?
0
'.Z
!fl/
O.o
!H
:3-Liatit Phtmm.
'\
0
0
0
l.C
0.0
0. 0
4-Buds
I
.'?'-
"
;J
O tl.fl IJ.0
~-0
:5-c1ouds, Dus~ etc.
i
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,Q
0 0 c.o
o.,
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i
·-
3
I)
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I
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I
77
(I.I)
77
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0
4
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I 0
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17.
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Number
Per Cent
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Certain
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0-~toon
0
0
0
O 0
o. (}
o. 0
0
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0 o.o
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I
0
I
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':100
I
1
3
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13.J so 0
2•Aimaft
0
0
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o. 11
o. 0
o.o
0
0
0
0.()
o.o
0.0
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0 0
0
b. p
o. 0
DO
0
0
0 o. 0
0.0 oo
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0
0
0 0 Q
o.u
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d
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0
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0.0
Hloud~Ou•~•k
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0
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0. 0
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0
()
0
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I
0
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0
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0
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I
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I
0
I
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2 0
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()
~
333
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0
0
0
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0
0
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Total
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en
33.3
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124
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#.ARC#
Number Per Cent
certain Doubtful
Total
Certain Doubtful Total Certain
'
/....
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Hunter Per Cent
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Total
Certain Doubtful
Total Certain
t 0
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0
1
3
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u
1.5
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r
0
2
~
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0
I
0
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2.5
0
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0.0
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/)
0
0
0
0.0 0. 0
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t
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2
0
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0
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10
0
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75.0
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0
33
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/(JO.
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=
Number Per Cent
Certain Doubtful
Total
Certain Doubtful Total Certain
0
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0
I
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7
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r
3
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2
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Number
Per Cent
Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful
)C,,.
'\
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Number PerC81t
Doubtfu
Total
Certain Doubtful
()
0
tJ.O
0.0
I
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0
0 a.o
11/l
0
0
b.b
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0
0 /).()
0.(/
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0
0
0.0 1.0
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0
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I
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rn
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Number
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Doubtfu
Total Certain Doubtful
0
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0
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0
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0
0
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0
1
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Total
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or
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Total
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0,0
tl.O
tJ.t
tl,D
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n.n
p,,
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I
I
I
I
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I
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I
I
I
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I
I
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N,'R('h/
Number Per Cent Nunlbef Pe, Cent Number Per Cent Number Per Cent
Enlaahon Cert•n Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total trtlin Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain Ooulltful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
12-Aorcrlft O O b 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 0 () 0. 0 0 0 IJ.() 0 0 0 /J.J I.O AA :3 () 3 J(),I) d,0 .. ,,,,,
4-Bnds 11 I) tJ "· 11.0 n~ () tJ rJ r,I) o.o o.o O I) 0 /J.O l)t (I.() I O I /(l,tJ /J,tJ /0./7
~Cloud~Dus~etc o t) o /Jr. t).t) ,1,, o O O n.r o.t 11,t O O O t?,; ~,() O,D I) O O -?,P t),tJ ,I.I)
f-6-_lnsu_ff_ic_ll_fo_. -+----'l'+-___,,/)'--1 :l 1Q.I) /JO Jn O 6 /'J I) o.~ /),/) /1.() 2 I! 1 U-1, tJ.1, .Zf6 I IJ I /o,o d.O /IJ.()
1-Psydlo1o&ica1 o o J o O o. c o. o o o o nr: il.O P.~ n o o o.P tJ.I! o.D o tJ O P,o Al> 1.0
1--• C O O 0.0 ~11 tJ.o () I) (I 40 /\" (),o I I) I i'l,3 IP./. //J.J I fl I /0,0 II/I 1/J.O
0 I I o.D Ill D /o,o o O I) p,, ll0 (l,I) Q :Z .1. o.o JU, 7fl,6 0 O O {),() (),I) /)/J
Totll
Numbtr Per Cent Number Per Cmt
Per Cent
Nuober
Evaluahon Certain ' Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Domtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
ertain Doubtful Total Celllin Doub11u1 Total Cerllin Doublfu Total Certain Doubtful Total
0-Bllloon
2. I '3 3. 3 /1,2 l,M
p 2-.
I-Astronomical
I I 1 lb,1' /tJ.() ;/Ml O I! 11 0. 0 n.O l)n
z. .:z..
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4 2 6 /1,,.7 f."3 :i.,~
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0 '2 ~ 0.0 'Zn_p 20.t O / I 0. O '33.3 33.
I O I .u.> "·" JJ.,
0 0
0 A a h,/l ~
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ll I I tJ.P ,.,, 11.2
0
t> ()
Hloud~ Dus~ etc
0 ?' 0 ta0 DO 1,0 0 tJ O IJ.I) D.C P.O
D fJ O tJ.o "·" l.o
p
0 ()
n.n tJ.o /J.()
:s-1nsuff1c.lnfo.
.1 C 3 31.1 ,.,.., 11.P o r, o ac 121' atJ 0 t) 0 o.c /111 /)I)
I'> I
ltJ,0 "-" /I},/)
i7-Psyct.11011cal
,' 0 u 11.P 0. () I},() 0 tJ O 0.0 fl,n r, n
o a o tJ.() P,tJ o.o
0
(J 0
S.Unkno•
0
tJ (}
0 0 Cl aP ()1> /J,t O r, IJ P,p ().{} 11,IJ
D I I
tJ.rJ /tJ.P M,0
I Total
5'-
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£?£/"&,¥,P~D
I
Number Percent
-
PerCt11I
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Per Cent
Nuober
Per Cent
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Certain Doubtful Total Certain
-Ill
I Total Certain
lloulllful Total Cerllio Doubllul Total ertain Doubtful Total Celllin
lloulllfu1
Total Cerllin Doublfu Total Cerlli1I Doubtful Total
0-Balloon
0
1
2 /1.0
13.3
.33.J
3
7
l,
1,0
/{()
.:/0.0
I
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0
I
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1,.1 /{.?
I
3
4
S. o
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1/-7.J
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'I
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1/.J
31,6
2-Aircraft
I
0
I
/(,_ 7
0,() II.;
I a
I
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0. 0
5.0
If
()
~ :lH 0.0
;235'
0
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0
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()
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0
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4-Birds
0
0
0
0.0
(),() (},()
I
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t)
0
0
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0
0
0
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r,
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n
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0.0
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0
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0 0
tJo
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/)/}
20.0
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f.'l
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I
()
I
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lo.
n
p
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t1 t
n.n
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0
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0.0
0
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0
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J' 7L3
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126. 3
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I
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/67
a 0
0
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(l.t)
u
1
0
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Total
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'
33. 3
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13
7
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35.0
/D(),
I 'f 3
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7J.7
2., ~
m,
125
T,4 ,, =.,
,C~,, ,,,,.av
Jt,mbef
Per Cent
Number
Per Cent
Enluabon
Cemin Doubtful
Total Certain
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Certain Doubtful
Total
tBolloon
0
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1.
tJ
l li.Z
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~
)
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31. :/
'IJ.7
1
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111.2
31.1f
s,,
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11-Aucraft
i+
I
s
25.0
p
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I
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p.lJ
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3-Liatrt Phenom.
IJ IJ
I)
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0
0
tJ./.
tJ1,
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4•8i1ds
I)
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0
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0
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ti.I) 0./)
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0
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6-lnsuffic. Mro.
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0 0
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0.0
I
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0
0
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1
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0
()
()
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u
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0.0
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Total
'! 7
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ff2
.lfJJ
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7
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/91.
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I
Number
Percent Number Per Cent
Evaluation
Certain
Doubtful Total
Certain Doubtfu I Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Ooubtlul
Total
0-Balloon
11
0 'I
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(JO
/]8
I
0
I
n
v. 0
,f.J
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1).0
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2--Airmfl
4 3
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1,.c
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0
()
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()
0
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()
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tl
0 0
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P,() Q./j
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t.c
OP
11.D
6-lnsuffic. ~to.
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t?
5
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0 0 a ao 11.0
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/7.1
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0
0
0
0.0
0.0
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0.0
c. 3
Total
1'1
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81.!
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8
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en
33.3
No.
')£pr -
-
('/,-7,,, ,0,,-,0
I
Number
Percent Number Per Coil
Evah,ation Certain Doubtful Total
Certain Doubllll Total Certain Doubtlul Total Certain Doubtful Total
0-Balloon
I 0
I
33. 3
0. 8 '3J.3
0
0
()
0.0
q,Q
0.1
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q
0
0.1
0.0
o. 0 I
'1 4
It./
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1/'l.'1
2·Aircratt
0
0
0
o.o
o.o o.o
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//.J
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1:/.2
3-Li-.l l'llsm.
0
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0
0.IJ
0 0
o.o 0
"
0
o.o
o.g
o.o
4-Binls
{) 0
0
11,/1
0.0
0,0
0 0
0
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P.O
o.o
Hlouds,llust,etc.
(}
0 0
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0.0
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0
0
0
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n.o
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1.
I)
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(J
0
0
p.o
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fJ
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0.0
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0
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0
0
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0
0
0
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Total
3
0
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r
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1
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126
M.,,.,..,,.
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Percent
Certain Doubtful
Total Certain
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(}
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0
0
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1
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0.0
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0
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()
0
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Doubtful Total
I
0
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P. 9
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7'-1
0
1
3
0.0
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40
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()
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0. 0
3 0
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20.0
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()
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Per Cent
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Doubtful
Total Certain Doubtful Total
0
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0,0
C.3
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13. 3
33. 3
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0
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0
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0
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()
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AP<'/£_
Number
PerC<Rt
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Total
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I
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313
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2
0
1
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Number
Per Cent
certain
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0 0 0
Q.I
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17
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0.0
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7
19
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Number
PerCenl
Certain Doubtfu Total
Certain Doubtful
I
0 I
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2
If-
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l
p
1
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s. (,
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O.P
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Tola!
67
3?.1
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n.o
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13.3
loo.
I
I
I
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I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
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I
I
I
I
I
I
I
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Evaluatton
IJ.Balloon
/)·ASIIUflOffllCII
12-Aucratt
3-L,rt,1 Phenom.
4-Bnds
~Clouds, Dusl etc.
6-lnsuffic. -.1r>.
7-Psydl>lolical
1-l)llmo•
~111 ..
Total
Evaluation
l•Asbonomical
2-Aircraft
3-Liehl Phenom.
4-Birds
6-lnsuff,c.lnfo.
7-Psyctmlo1ic.al
8-UnknoYIII
9-0ther
' Tot~
I
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
l•Astrunomical
2-Aircraft
Hiet,tPh.,..,.
4-Birds
I-Cloud~ Dust.el~
6-lnsuff1c. ~'°-
7-Psyd,)lolie,I
8-Unkno•
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Total
t,9S:t2
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Per Cent Number
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Pe,Cent
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Total
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Doubtful Total Certain DoubHul Total
i;ertain
Doubtful Total Certain
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Tlrt~
0
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0(/
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Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Oold>tful Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certan Ooubtfu Total Certain Doobtful Total
('
1
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Number Per Cont Number Per Cent Nuntier
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PerCmt
Certain DoubHul Total Certain DoubHul
Total
Certain lku>lful Total c.rtain Dooblful Total Certain DoubHul Tot.al Certain
DoubHul Total Certain DoubHu
Total Certain DoubHul Total
0
0
0
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Per Cent Number
Per Cent
Enluation
Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain Doubtful Tola\
Certain Doubtful Tola\
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J
I
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I
0 I
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Total
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27.9
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Number
Per Cent
Number PerCe,t
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Evaluation Certain
Doubtfu
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Ooublful Total Certain lloublhl Tola\
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I
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I
Number Percent
Nurrter Per Cent
Evaluation
Cer11in Doubtful Total Certain
Doubtful Tola\ Certain
Do,mtful
Total
Certain Dooblfu\ Tola\
~Balloon
I
t I
t-7
0. Q
(:
I
0
J
53
M
5. 3
1-Asbonoancal
.2
I
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I
6
7(-3
5-3
3/.6
2-Aircraft
I
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n
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0
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u
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C
C
n
0. 0 Q.0
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r;
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p
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0
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3
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Nul!Der PerCenl
Certain Doubtful Total Certain
Doubtful Tola\
0
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4
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8
333
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2
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Number
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Number PerCmt
Doubtfu Tola! Certain Doubtful Total
I
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t.2
6.:Z
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0
0
p,o
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6 I
t.':J.
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Number Per Cent
Doubtfu
Tola! Certain
Doubtful Total
(J
I
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l/o,n
I
3
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0
3
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0
0
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I
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110.
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
!
Evaluahon
I l}e,110011
, ..
l•Astn:inom1cat
r-~-
1
2-Aucrift
/i-i.1stit Phenom.
i••Bnds
~Clouds, Dus~ elc.
16-lnsuffic.tnfo.
7-P,ydlololical
1-Unknotffl
~Other
Tot~
,---
I
i
Evaluation
fl}B~loon
It-Astronomic.al
)2-Aircraft
[l·L•Kf,I Pllenom.
-.suds
:S-Clouds, Oust, etc.
1
6-lnsufhc. Info.
~7-Psychologicat
·a.unknown
\9-0l!ler
I
Total
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
l•Astronomical
2-Aimaft
3-LiptPtlenom.
t-Birds
5-Clouds, Oust, etc.
6-Jnsuffic.Jnfo.
7-Psyctlllocical
&-UnknoYIIII
9-0111,i
Total
J:, ,vv,-, ff r
Number Per Cent
Certain ,Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful• Total
I
C
I
77
o O' 7.7
3
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n,
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O .o
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()
r.i
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1
0
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6-lnsuffic. Inti.
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E VAL t/fi WMI
Evaluation
0-Balloon
!•Astronomical
2--Aircraft
l-Liat,IPll1110m.
4-Birds
Hloud~ Dus~ et~
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
1-PsyctlololiCII
8-Unkno.,
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I
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IN
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S/GHn/1/65 8'9'
REL c,1.e n. 1 ry
Evaluation
0-Balloon
l•Asbononncal
3-Lif,tPhom-
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dus~ et~
6-lnsuffit.lnfo.
l·Psycholo&ical
8-Unkno;,,,
9-0ther
I Total
lj,fL f./ & V <?Ill ff (ldl/-C
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
4-Birds
S-Clouds, ~st. etc.
6-lnsutfic.-.to.
7-Psycll>lo&ical
Total
133
·--
£;,c,u.L€11/r
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6000
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ftlmbel
PerCl!fll
Number
Percent Number Percent Number
Per Cent
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Doubtful Total Certain
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Certain Doubtful Total Certain lloubttul Total
~0-Balloon
17 if
2.r f,()
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1..1'1'
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£9.5 3PS' Ii~
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Evaluation
0-Balloon
,l•Astlonom1cal
4-Buds
/S-Clouds. Oust, etc.
!6--lnsuffic.lnfo.
!1-PsychD~11cal
18-UnknoMI
9-0lller
Tot~
Evaluahon Certain
•0.Balloon
:I-Astronom1cal
2•Aucraft
i------------~--~+--=--+-'-'.......,f-'=-~l---.4-~l---=-l~-~~---'-+--'-+~-'+-,H-~-~-~'-+-~<-+~-+---+-~-~--
3-L1ghl Phenom.
[4:S~
S.Ctouds. Oust, etc.
6--tnsuffic.lnlo.
7-Psycholo&ical
8-UnklloNI
9-0lller
Total
Evaluabon
0.Balloon
1-Aslrol'IOllical
2-Ancr,H
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dus~ et~
6-lnsuflic. -.11.
7-Psydl>lo&ical
11-Unlolo•
Total
134
I
I
I
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Evaluation
!O.Balloon
"
l·Asln>lllmical
!2-A1rtrlft
I
H•ihll'htnom.
4-Birds
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6-lnsuffic.-.ti.
7,PsydlJlolic.al
I-Unknown
~"'"
Totol
'
Evaluation
II-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Lilhl Phtnom.
4-Bints
~louds, Dus~ ek
6-lnsuffit.lnfo.
7,Psychological
8-Unkno•
9-0ltier
Total
I
r-
Evaluation
1
0.Balloon
l•Astronom1c.al
2-Aucraft
I---
3-L,;it Phenom.
4-Birds
~~ds,Oust.etc.
6-lnsuff1c.lnfo.
7-Psycholo11cal
8-UnknoMI
9--0ther
Tot~
E//llL@Tltl/1/ ?¥ c21/JEt!r S/Gl(T/IV6S /?j( S/<;,1/T/N'G ,€'El./4t1/urv
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'1
()
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6-lnsuffic. Info.
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Total
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Evaluation
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l•Astrooomical
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Total
Evaluation
:!)..Balloon
1-Astronomu:al
!2-Aircraft
il·LIPIPhenom.
14-Buds
iS-Clouds. Oust. etc.
S.lnsuffic.lnfo.
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0-Batloon
I-Astronomical
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4-Buds
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Total
Evaluation
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:1-AstruT1011111:al
2-Aucratt
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Certain
0-Balloon
l-Astmnom1cal
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Oust. etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnto.
7-Psycholoeical
&,-Unknown
9-0ther
Toti!
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Evaluation
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1-Astmnomic:al
2-Aircrlft
l-L1p1 Ptlenom.
4-Bllds
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6-lnsuff1c. Mit.
7-Psydl>lo~cal
8-l)!known
"°"'"
Total 1,
138
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4•Bmls
IS-Clouds. Oust, etc.
j6-lnsuff1c.klfo.
7-Psyctmloaic:al
11-Unkno•
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Total
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Evaluahon
·0-ea11oon
I-Astronomical
l·LifhtPllenom.
4-811ds
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7-Psychological
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' Totll
139
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Total
I
I
I
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I
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EWlluation
~8'11oon
1l-Astiuno111ical
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3-Litfll Phenom.
4-Bnds
S-Clouds, Oust. etc.
6-lnsuflic. ~fo.
7-Psydlolojical
1-Unlalo•
9-0lller
Total
Evaluation
~Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-A11cratt
3-Lilf!lfltlenom.
4-Birds
Hlood~ Dus~ et~
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-Psycllolo11cal
8-Unkno•
9-0ther
Total
I
i
Evaluation
~Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Li&hlPh....,,
4-Birds
S-Clouds. Dust, etc.
6-lnsutfic. ~to.
1
7-PSJCholofic.al
&-Unknowi
9-0ther
Tcdal
Evaluabon
()..Balloon
!I-Astronomical
2-Aircrifl
l-L1et,I Phenom.
4-Birds
S-Clouds. Oust, etc.
6-lnsutfic. flto.
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1-Unuio ..
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Total
Certain
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7
(,7
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0
V-2
I
108
23
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Certain
2
()
II
0
0
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7
3
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0
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0
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Per Cent
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11
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19
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0-8111000
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Total
I
Evaluation
II-Balloon
l·A-icat
2-Airmlt
3-Liat,t Pllenom.
4-Birds
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Total
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PerCeot
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Total
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Evaluahon
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I-Astronomical
1----r-
12-Ancrlft
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4-Birds
5-Clouds. Dust, etc.
6-lnsuffic.lntt.
7-Psydlololical
a.--
t-Olller
Tolol
Evaluahon
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Liatit Ptlenom.
4-Birds
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6-lnsuHit. lnfa.
I-Psychological
8-Unk.no.11
9-0llle,
I
Total
Evaluation
0-S.lloon
l•Asbonomical
?·Aircraft
3-Li&fill'li-.
4--Birds
5-Cloud~ Dus~ et~
6-lnsuffic."to.
l•Psydlololical
l,lJnkno.,
t-Olher
Toi~
Evalualioo
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aucratt
Hi&fill'h<nom.
t-Birds
5-Clouds, Dus~ et~
6-lnsuffi~ "'"'·
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a.Unkno ..
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Number PerCenl
Cerhon
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ertain
Doubtful Tolal
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0 'i
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7'! 13
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Per Cent Number Per Cent
i
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• Doubtful. Total
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Total
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82
n.7
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117
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12.'l.
29,(
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73
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r:
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17
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r
I
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0
0
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0
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77 /J 77
103
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;
q
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n
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Nuntier Per Cent
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Total
,2.,
11
39
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41
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4/
th
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Number
Per Cent
Certain Dwblful Total Certain Doubtful
i}
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I 'I 5.7
7 'l
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70.7
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Number Per Call
Certain Doubtfu Total Certain Dwbllul
3s-
7
S-7 84
f.3
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16
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ii~
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81.f
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0-7
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71
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91.2 li-9
Toi~
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31.'I
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7.!J
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28.&
7./
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Total
13. 7
IS, I
:J().1
Q 'I
I.P
P.'I
t]. I
o. 7
'H-5
'1.8
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I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
fllJ/Llc
ALL
_s-$cU!;VP5 AAIO
j...c,J
Number
Per Cent
Evaluation
Certain
Doubtful
Total
Certain Doubtful
Total
D-Balloon
'3
s
3 A<)
/,Ji 'J :;
1-Astronomical
of
/()£
'7 -11
~/II) -1<1.~ r.~ r,/
2-Aircraft
:n
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L
t.5
q ,/J
Hight Phe,om. .,I..
;z.
</ Ill
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I, .J
4-Birds
,;2.
JJ
v'
/).(.
I./
I '1
S-Clouds. Dust. etc.
(J
I
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I.'.!,
l>lnsuffi~ Info.
/'I
Cl
I '1
(_j
l.d
( "'I
7-Psydlological
t
ti
1 /JC:
/) ,I
II/.
8-Unlcnown
31
0
~/
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P.6 t7
9-0llle,
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3
I:/ 2 ~ A.1
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Total
:JU If</
ss, I~(
lt'U
1111')_
f;/.5~co;V.Ps -bA//;yuT£J
Number Per Cent
Evaluation
Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
0-Balloon
;:;~
J.Jn
9,
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9. 'I
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I-Astronomical
1
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21
2.0
<,?
c:z_
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S6 StJ.
1/0
13.'l
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7 /.J
ti
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I,(}
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4-Binls
I
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IJ.:L
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5-Cloud~ Dus~ etc
r,
? 1
tJ.O 11.7
11.7
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
JO
(>
30
7.ff co 711-
7-Psychological
'
LJ. 9
1.2.
IA
2.Z.
PrUnkno'MI
ltJ7
{l
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1,{.fl. tJ t)
:2611-
9-0lller
I c;
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#,f;;
Total
.2'11/-
t;i. /
11-cs '71./
1..'/.<f /00.
r11dt.E lll?f
5 ~ 1=.eo,;os o,e
Lt:SS
Number Per Cent
Evaluation
Certain
Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
0-Balloon
0
()
,,,
,:,,()
,.,..,
d.d
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I
7 '1£.0
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Cl
0
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()
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4-Birds
0
11
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0.0
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0
t)
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0.0
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6-lnsuffic. Info.
0
0
I)
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0
t)
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11,(}
&-Unknown
0
0
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11.0
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I
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,1/1
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Total
1
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f{ f/7.5
l-1S
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Cl .JFCM/7.5
b /11/J'Y PT 10
ltlmber
PerCmt
Evaluation
Certain Doubtful Total Certain
Doubtful Total
0-Balloon
..2..
tJ
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"10(.
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l.zu:
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0
0
I') /),1
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2•Aimaft
tJ
0
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I 0 I
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d.O !Y-:3
4•Birds
0
v 11
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11.0
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0
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C
0
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11. ()
0.0
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121,
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7
(}
I'
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Number Per Cent
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Certain Doubtful Total
3
JJ. ?
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'{d
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36
23
S9
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V
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1
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fll
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1..9'.t.
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(-ftl
M/lllvres
Number PerC01I
Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doobtful Total
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Evaluation
II-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2•Aircrlft
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4-Binls
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6-tMUffi~ ~fa.
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1-Unlulo•
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Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
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4-Birds
5-Clouds. Oust, etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
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1
Total
Evaluation
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4-Birds
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Total
Evaluation
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0-Balloon
1-Asbanomical
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Total
Evaluation
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Evaluation
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Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astronomical
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Enluation
II-Balloon
1-A.slralllllliCII
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Total
Evaluation
II-Balloon
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Evaluation
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Enlmlion
II-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircrlft
3-lifll Ptienom.
4•Birds
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Total
Evaluation
II-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircrafl
3-Liaflt Ptunom.
4-Birds
S-Cloud~ Dus~ elL
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Total
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0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-LighlPh""".
4-Birds
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Enlaation
JI.Balloon
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2-Aircraft
3-Liahl Phtoom.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dus~ et~
6-lnsuffi~ ~-..
7-Psydmlo~CII
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I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Asbunollical
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Total
Evaluation
JI.Balloon
I-Astronomical
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3-Light Phenom.
4-Birds
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6-lnsuffic.Jnfo.
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Enluation
0-Balloon
l·Astmnomical
2-Airmft
3-Liafll Phenom.
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7-Psydlolo~cal
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Total
Evaluation
II-Balloon
1-Asbonomical
2-Aircraft
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I-Birds
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EnlaatiGII
0-Balloon
• 1-Astmnomical
2-Airaafl
3-Liat,t Ptlenom.
4-Birds
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f>lnsuffic.lnfo.
11-Unkno ..
9-0llltr
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
3-Liat,tl'h ......
4-Birds
6-lnsuffic.lnfa.
7-PsydlDlogical
II-Unknown
9-0ther
Total
Evaluation
0-Balioon
1-Asbonolllical
2-Aircraft
3-Liat,ll'h"""'-
4-Birds
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6-lnsuffic. ...
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!I-DIiier
(2,-C 'i(Gl(T(/1/G
180
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E .. Ullion
0-Balloan
l•AstlOIIOllliCII
2-Aircraft
I
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4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dus~ et~
6-lnsuffl~ lnfD.
I
l•Psycllolo&ical
1-Unialolll
Mlllllf
I
Tolll
I
Evaluation
0-Bllloon
I
l•Aslnlnomical
2•Airaall
Higl11Ph"10ffl.
4-Birds
I
S-Clouds, Dus~ et~
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
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I
Millier
Total
I
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
l·Astronomical
2-Aircraft
I
Higl11Pl1aloll.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Du~ et~
6-lnsuffic.lnlo.
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1-Unkno•
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Total
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181
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Evaluation
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Ewaluation Certain
0-Balloon
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Evaluatioa
II-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircratt
3-Li&IIIPh010III.
4--Birds
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-Psycholotical
8-Unkno""
9-0ther
Total
,1119
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182
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Edlaation
0.11111111111
1-Asllooolllical
2-Aircrlft
3-LiptP!Mmo.
4-Birds
6-lnsuffic Info.
7-PsydlDlopcal
8-Unlolo•
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Utht Phenom.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Dus~ elc
6-lnsuffic. Info.
7-Psychological
&-Unknown
9-0the,
Total
Evaluation
~Balloon
l•Astronomical
2·Aircraft
3-Li&h!Ph010III.
4-Birds
S-Clouds, Du~ elc
6-lnsuffic.lnJo.
7-Psytholoaical
II-Unknown
9-0ther
Total
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Evaluation
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~Balloon
1
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i-Birds
5-Clouds. Oust, etc.
6-lnsuffic. Info.
7-Psydloloaical
8-Unlcnolln
9-0ttler
Total
Evaluation
~Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
l-Liit,tl'11-.
4-Birds
S-Clouds., Dust, etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
I-Psychological
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9-0ther
Toi~
I
Evaluation
~Balloon
I-Astronomical
2·Aircraft
3-Lithl Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Oust, etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnto.
7-PsycOOlogical
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9--0ther
Toi~
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Ancraft
3-Light Phenom.
4-Binls
5-Clouds. Dusl, etc.
6-lnsutfic. •to.
7-Psydl>loaic:al
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1-Astiunomical
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Total
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2-Aircraft
3-Lij111Ph010m.
4-Birds
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/''47
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Percent
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Certain
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Total
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Certain
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Doubtful
Total Certain
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Certain
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Total Certain
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0-Balloon
,,;,,.,
,,Jo
YtJ .n 3.3
L.t.
I
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4
lo
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4
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114 lf.o9
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100
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41..2.
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Number Per Cent
Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number Percent
Evaluation Certain Doubtful
Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain
Doubtful
Total
~ertain
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Certain
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Doobtful
Total Certain
Doubtful Total
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.3 0
.'31-t. 9
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1. 9 I
0
I 3.4
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14
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7 4 I/ 111.4
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0
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I
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0,.,
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308
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205
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Number
Per Cent
Number
Per Cent
Evaluation
Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain
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0-Balloon
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2
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0
0 &.o
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t
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00
t'J. (J
3-Light Phenom.
0 0
0
tJ.o
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111.0
0
0
0
0,0
0,0
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0
,
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I 0 I
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b
0
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6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
9
0
q
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0. 0
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0
0
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0.0
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R[
31
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I
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t)
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t)
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tt/.J ~.r.1
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()
()
tJ t)(} l).tJ
1).0
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0
tJ tl/J
(l.()
4-Buds
0
0 t) /J.CJ l).t7
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I)
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110
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0
0
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()
0
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8-Unknown
0
0
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tl.o
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0.0
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~ 2~,2
IJ.o
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0
0
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Total
tJ
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I 4-t4-.i
5,.-,
h,,,
6 .3
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tt.1
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ALL YEAffS
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I
Nu.nber
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Evaluation Certain Doubtful TOta1
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(,9
49
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L.S
4.9
117
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1171
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9:1 n 179 9. I
36
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17
II :Ji /1
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I
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7
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0 tJ ,, ti
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0
0
0
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0
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11,9
0
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4
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17.30 .Jit'J
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1-l.3
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Evaluation
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0.Balloon
t
J
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3 I 11.t ..2 .3 .. -2.9
4.3
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t
30
l.2.r.o
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J/4
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0 0
0
1),/J
t),.,
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I
/
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J.1.
4-Birds
0
0
(l
t9.o
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I
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5-Clouds, Oust, etc.
0
0
0 o.o
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o.o
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12
0
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0 0
t1 (}
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I
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0.0
&-Ullknown
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17
117 {},"' / 7. '1
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0 ...2.2
314 tl 0
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0
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1'! /1 c/6 IJ:1.3 /1.1
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.f3
17
70
1.r:1
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206
VGltO!l!GS rCJ,f ALL VE/4i!S
A.A=r,--_,,.,,,:::, -L_/ ,1,,, -
SPee,o.s
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Number Per Cent Number
Total certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful
Total
Certain
Doubtful
0.0
;,:I
0
0
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t'J.o
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0
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0
0.0
() 0
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0
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0 CJ 0.0
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0
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()
tJ 11.o tl.P /J,CJ
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0
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t/.()
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t/.0 ~
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//
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7
0
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35.9
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46
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Number
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Number
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1.J
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9(/
1.1.
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11'1.~
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II
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0.0
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1.<I 7 ..::l 9 II
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4.r2 111
lt,:i.9
1'11.9
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Per Cent
Total
Certain
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,,;; '1J.0
0.0
~ AO
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0
,9,0
0,0
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tJ,n
11
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Per Cent
Total
Certain
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/9{19
PerCmt
Total
Certain Doubtful
7
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ll. o
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1111.
3?.o
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1.7
0
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t!JO
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33.1
Per Cent
Total
Certain Doubtful
Tot~
0.tJ
'""·"
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0.0
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00
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Total
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J.17
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7.6J
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1.1
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3-"I
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I
I
I
I
I
I
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I
I
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I
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I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
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I
I
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EVAt.U/ITl(J,V
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Number
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Certain Doubtful Total
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0-Bal1oon
/.3 19
;,.,~
l..te,.9
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l~·u
t!7
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I-Astronomical
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53
1.11
f.L
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.,, 1
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0
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4
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A
0
0
tl.o
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I a
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Number
Evaluation Certain DOllbtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
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0
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n
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0
0
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0
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0
0
0
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t?./J
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0
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a
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0
2
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l
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Total
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I
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90
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ALL.
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I
Number Per Cent
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Total
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,~
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/J
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12 It, I.
11,9. ()
,,,
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t:J
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17
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17
tJ.I.
;U
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5-Clouds, Dus~ el~
I I
,;;,
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0.'
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~
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
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0
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()
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~
0
.:{
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0
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0
0
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1.1
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Total
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rtimber Per Cent
Number
Evaluation Certain Doubtful Total
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I
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I
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0
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0 0
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I
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n
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I
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Total
lb
I
17
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I
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Per Cent
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Number
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Total ertain Doubtful Total
Certain Doubtful Total Certain
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Total
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PerC"11 Number Per Cent Number
PerC01t
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3
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Total Certain Doobtful Total Certain Doubtful
Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtfu
Total Certain Doubtful Total
I
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L
I
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Total Certain Doubtful
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1 IJ(d
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207
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Per Cent
Evahralian Certain Doubtful Total
Certain
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3.4
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0
3
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0
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I
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0
0
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0
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53
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Number PerCent
Nu-
Per Cent
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Total
Certain
lloul>tful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doobthrl Total
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0
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I
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3
1-.s-9. J
11.,tf,
I /
:?
91
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l'l..7
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0
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3
I
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9.1
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/J 0
tJ
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0
tZ)
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0
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0
0
0.Q 17. II
A/1
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l'J n
0
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/),6
0
0
,.
no
cv,
,,_,,
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0
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i,...,_7
0 0
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6),()
o_,,
~ll
1-Psychologicat
I
0
I
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0.0
Y.~ 0
0
0
P.o
tJ, t1
A,11
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6
0
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0
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9-0ther
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0 tJ.o
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I
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9.1
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91
I
Total
;q
3
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J{.4
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9
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ALL
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I
Number Percent Number Per Cent
Evaluation Certain
Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain IJooJ>tful Total Certain
Ooobllul
Total
0-Balloon
lk JR
31,.
J.!,
3.3
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I
0
I ..1.2 P.t7
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t:,3
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1/;l.
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q
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2►
7;-
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1
3
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0
ll.P
i{l.P
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0
()
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0
0
0
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0
0
0
tl.O
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4-.(.
0
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11.tJ
fl.if
2
0
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7
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0
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1 . .:1
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14-J
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11,?J
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I-?L'.J
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4-
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Total
314 t.S'4
f'4i 719 2f. J
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1
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1714
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/9 .r£7
19 -:-;
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Number Per Cent
Evaluation
Certain Doubtful
Tolal
Certain Doubtful
Total
ertain Doubtful Total Certain
Doubtful Total
0-Balloon
.I
0
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N.
/Jt7 ti.
I
0
I di
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4~
I
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.,
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b
0
0
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0
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f'::?
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0
0
0
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0
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tl.b
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0
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17.0
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0
0 tP..
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t)_t)
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
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3
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p-,
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0 0
tJ
t!J. t1
()_ 0
All
7-Psych:llogical
0
0
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P.O
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II
0
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208
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I 4 .5 5,1) '7114
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0
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7
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Number Per Cent
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Total
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I
I
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Total
Evaluation
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Evalution
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
3-Liat,IPhSIOffl,
6-lnsuffic.tnfo.
7-Psycllolo~cal
8-Unlulo.,
Total
Evaluation
0-Batlooo.
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2
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6-lnsutfic.lnfo.
7-Psychological
8-Unknown
9-0ther
Total
Evaluation
0-Batloon
I-Astronomical
3-Liat,t Ph010m.
4--Birds
6-/nsuffic. lnfo.
7-Psychological
8-Unknown
9-0ther
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astronomical
2-AircraH
3-Liat,t Ph810m,
4-Birds
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/J tJ
/lt}
0
tJ 00
O.o /JO
/J :Z, 16. 1
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0 t9
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tJ J'J. /') tJ.iJ
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3
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1t;.tJ 26.{)
voo.
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Number
Pe< COIi Nuntier Per Cent
Number PerC01t
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Total
~•rtain
Doubtful Total Certain
Doubtful
Total
Certain Doubtfu Total Certain Dooblful Total
? I I/
N f.1
It,~
4 ~
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21. tJ
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£,
/J
2, It.,,;-
/J,(J
l,{5"
t?
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,:, /J/J
tl.tJ
tJ. (J
& L7
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d.d '< /J
Jllq
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6,5
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If
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5"%.!
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,t.1,,,,,1,,11
Number Per Cent Number Per Cent Number
Per Cent
ertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total ertain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total Certain
Doubtful Total
Certain
Doubtful Tot~
.;,
I
ti
/t!tJ
?!
lf.5
d 9
15 l1J.J
-rt?l'J
lff.1
I 2,
? I.J
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/J L'J
/,) /)/)
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/J
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t?/l
j'}/J
I? / I tJ.tJ .?. l
?...!
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'< /J
1.,7
tJ
/7
tJ /J. t?
t:20 /JO
5 tJ
!f Jt.1
/'}_/'}
//., 7
,t.,
/,)
?. .t., "}
/),?
/..7
11 15
..10
5'~7 4.J'.3
/(Jt},
243
EYlluatiao
h\sbanamical
2-Alraaft
3-Li&l>IPhenom.
4-Birds
• l>lnsullic. Info,
7-Psycbological
8-UnknaMI
9--0ther
Total
Mcr;t'tJ
Number Per Cent
Evaluation Certain
-
I Tomi Certain
Doul>tlu
I Tomi
0-llllioon
I
tJ I 11'.'.!
/11'7
ff.J
l•Astronomical
/
,?,
1 5.J /£.1
25."1,
2-Airaaft
/J I I
/I/.
(? .J
!7 ~
3-Li&l>tf'henom.
/
tJ
I ~1
/J /}
J?.1
4-Birds
/}
/J /J
Ou
IJ.0
Oo
5-Clouds,Dust,etc.
/J /J
,,
/)/)
/J,,
~/)
6-lnsullic. lnlo.
,t,
tJ
?,
I/L 1
0/'J 47
7-Psycbological
0
I)
/J t?I.
/}/}
11'7,::?
6-Unkno'"'
L /J d
ff~
,, ,,
~!j'
9--0ther
/J
,..,
/l /J/J
/J.O lo.O
Tot.al
tj
.1'
1£
lgei
25:tl
/tl/J,
,,
.
Nu-
PerCa,t
Certain
Domtlul Total Certain 11111bllm
.J'
I
I.I.
,q.,.
,ft
.1'
f
,I
,,,_ 7
?fl.t
I
~
J
.J'.t '/ I
/.
,?
01/J/J
,? /J
/J
c?
0 I /J /J 0/J
l'7
I
I
1'7.0 .1t
~
tJ
2, 't I /J.O
/J
,?
12 I/J./J /?./J
,:;
§
~ 111.'9
/?.1'7
£,
tJ
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/J /)
It.
;'2,
~f
I-"'!'/
4f.1
244
Number
Tot.al Certain
-
I Tomi
Certain
1¢.f
ff.J
/tJ.J
/J..6
I.,?,,
1t
'?/
l.o.o
1-t 9
ti
ta?.
Per Call
Naber
-
Tot.al
Certain ......
PerC.t
Tot.al Certain
Dolllllal Tot.al
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Evaluation
I
0-Balloon
l·Astnmomical
2-Aircraft
I
3-Liaht Phinom.
4•Birds
f>lnsUffic. Info.
I
7-l'lydlololical
·-
!I-Other
I
Total
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I
1-Astmnomical
2•Aircrafl·
3-LiahlPhenom.
4-Binls
I
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-Psychological
8-UnknoMI
I
!I-Other
Total
I
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
I
3-LiafllPh"'°m.
,4.Birds
5-Clouds, Oust. etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
I
7-Psycholoaical
II-Unknown
9-0ther
I
Total
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Liat,IPhenom.
4•Birds
I
~Clouds,Ou!lt.etc.
r.tnsuffic. Info.
7-Psychololical
II-Unknown
I
9-0the,
Total
I
245
I
I
I
I
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astlonomlcal
I-Aircraft
I
3-Ll&lilPho»m.
I-Birds
$-Clouds, Dust, et~
6-lnsufll~llfo.
I
7-Psydlllolicol
8-Umo•
9-01ller
Total
I
I
Evaluation
0-Batloon
I
I-Astronomical
2-Airaaft
3-Liallll'IIOllm.
I-Birds
I
5-Clouds, Dust, el~
6-insuffi~ ~ro.
7-Psydlololical
8-Unlolo,.,
I
9-0ther
Total
I
I
Evaluation
0-Batioon
1-AsbuoomicaJ
!-Aircraft
I
3-Liallll'IIIIIOII.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dost, el~
6-lnsuffic. Info.
I
7-Psydiololical
8-Unlolo,.,
9-0ther
Total
I
I
Evaluatian
0-Balloon
I
l-Astrono111ical
2-Airc,aft •
3-Li&lil Ph-.
&-lnsufli~ aro.
I
7-Psydlllo&i<II
8--
I
9-0lher
Total
I
246
I
I
I
I
Evaluation
I
0-Billoon
I-Astronomical
2-Alrctaft
I
3-Liaf,IPha,om.
4-Blrds
5-CIOClds, Dus~ etc.
6-lnsufflc. ~fo.
I
7-Psychololical
a.-
~Iller
I
Total
I
Evaluation
0-Batloon
I
l•AstJonomlcal
2-Aircratt
3-Liafl!Pha,om.
4-Blrds
I
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-Psycoolojical
8-UnknoMI
I
~Iller
Total
I
I
Evaluation
0-Batloon
1-Asbonomlcal
2•ilrcratt
I
3-LlafllPha,om.
4-Blrds
5-Clouds, Du~ ate.
6-lnsufflc.blfo.
I
~Psycoolo1lcal
I-Unknown
~Iller
I
Total
I
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I
1-Astmnomlcal
2-Aircrlft
3-Llafll Phanom.
4•Birds
I
6-lnsufflc. Info.
7-Psyitolopcal
I-Unknown
I
9-0lh"
Total
I
247
I
UBL£ ,{223
IYEw
(',,,p,r
UAdd/~ l'Tt,,A'C
Number
Per Cent
Number Percent
Evaluation
Certain Doubtful
Total
Certain Doubtful Total it:ertain
Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Total
0-Ballooo
/t ? 25'
t?,/J
5:/ l«I tJ
/4
15
lt?7
"/. I
,--;~
l•Astronomical
-7,!J
"
4/.
II, :2,
?,d
/I.( L,
1/J
It) ?t}
//I/
//. I/
i5.x
2-Aircraft
53
/1!,
65"
fff.,f
1...7 ..ft.Ii
/(/
/CJ
.:2¢'
It. 7
//. 9
ffg'_I,,
3-Ligtrt Phenom. f'.
I
.5'
I/
"/
/.7
/ I? I
/?
t?.CJ
/.£
4-Birds
/.l 0 tJ
17,/J f?/J
t?.,:?
?L tJ
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✓.f
;;7,t}
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5-Clouds, Dus~ el~
/J
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0
;J.tJ !'Jtfl
tUJ
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6-tnsuffl~ Info.
fl/
tJ .:ZI
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/}/)
/Of
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t?.IJ
i',,;t
7-Psychological
"7
/)
,.,
.?.9
//11 f9
I /.? I
1:2.-
/,)_ tJ /-?.
&-Unlmo ..
26
/)
26
;,/.I..
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15'
17
15
l'/'tl
tJ_,,:,
17':Y
9-0lher
5'
/)
£,
-?. J(
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.i,
4_//
t'J. t}
?,/L
Total
ISCJ
2f?
/'fl< l<fff
15'1'
/a?
,;-jf' 4/
Jf'4 /.?p
J//J
I,?/?
U.i?E ,f £2 i
E///IU/,£[1/JIJ/ tJE ALL
/.CJ -',4,:n
1),,,,,,.,..,,,.,
Number Per Cent Numbe,
Per Cent
Evaluation Certain
Do,btful
Total
Certain Doubtful
Total Certain
Doubtful
Total Certain Doubtful Total
0-Balloon
.2
5' ?
~-3
5.'7
,l[tJ
,V
1 .fo 1/.:Z
4%
1£.0
I-Astronomical
%)
f?
~5
I-??_;;
9.1
.Y/.:J
?'7 ii'
55
d.7
?. I,
2f.f
2-Aircraft
I/
j'
fl1
1/1'. 6
fl
?I_!,
21
?3
L/d
II. t,
lf:Z
H.¥
3-Light PhEIIOm.
tJ
I
I
tJ.CJ /I
I.I
&,
4"
It?
1:2
?./
,; ;'
4-Birds
I /)
/
//
&tJ //
/
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I /'J.5'
/)/)
1'7.b
5-Clouds,Du~et~
l'7 t?
tJ t?.tJ
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acJ
;J
/J
o /J.o
,?/)
a /l
6-lnsuffic.lnfu.
II CJ II IJl.5
;J,tJ
12'.5
-?/1
tJ ,£0
J/J /.
(l. tJ 11</.
7-Psycllological
5
/J
.;
5,'1
17. tJ
5. 7
1!,,
17
2-
I.I
/JI'? I./
8-Unknown
/2,,
(}
/~
l.f'{. 17_,-;
IJ'.t. Ix'
/) If?
?£ 17,/J
l?,;,
9-0ther
d t:? d
4,;-
t?t:?
{/1,
I.
£,
J[
11 I. I 41
Total
~{,
L.Z
ff$
'7',;_p :f_t;,p
1/VJ
II.ft-
5t
!ff$'
IH"'.t,
?9.i
It%!
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r/7£
"FAlrR/lL
SAN
-
"· -,:;,,-t"E"""'"""'' llRw£s1
~
Number
Per Cent Number
Per Cent
Evaluation Certain DOIJbtful
Total
Certain Doubtful
Total
Certain Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Tot~
0-Balloon
1f?
f? ?I.
// n
'7.I
t'.1./
?,
t,
f
_;?'f' II. I
;,/.g'
l•Astronomical
I/ .3' 14 I?. ff
2-'7
/t.!i
G'
.5'
;J
1/..1
5./,
It/ 9
2~Aircraft
17
// ? !? 1;.t
a
t5.C7
Q
1.t,
?./
//._ 7
22.2 J'ff 9
3-LightPhenom.
tJ CJ l'7 tJ.tJ atJ
Cl.O I
Cl. I
J.I}
o.r7 /. 9
4-Binls
tJ 0
/)
/J.0
tJ.tJ tJ.tJ
tJ
/)
t:J
tJ.O
/1 /',
o.'o
5-Clouds, Ou~ et~ /)
/J
/}
r?.tJ Cl.I'?
t2tJ
tJ
I
I
tJ.o
J. ? 1?
6-lnsuffic. Info.
16
tJ
II..
;LI_;
/J/J
1/...1
!? /J
g
/,/fl IJ.tJ
;df
7-Psyct,ological
I
J', ..1
/J.9
J.fi
2,J
/)
t:J t? l'J. I, ;J_ cJ
17. CJ
&-Unknown
Z2-
0
?,J
1U
tJO
;ft,
&
cJ
h
Ill
CJ./}
II. I
9-0ther
/
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/J.9
Ii
2.1 I rJ I J.'1
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Total g't,
:?/.
/Ii
'71,.1
£ft.
I/CJ,::? .J'!,
,£:2.-
.5-7
5?..!
4C).7
lt'tJ.
248
OG#T//1/65
/,/,?sh' //IIG Tl"•
Number Per Cent
ertain
Doubtful
Total Certain Doubtful
Total
!9
l.t
J'/
tJ.c?
5:'7
/,/1
///)
I/
",/
/I/CJ 5:Z
?d:2,
B :?7
§t?
Ii.CJ
12-9
2J'll
tl
1!-
2.
J7 /,
/. tJ
/17
/ I? /
;'J,;
cJ.C,
t?.5
tJ
ff
%
/J /)
5% 5.i
II
tJ //
~i
tltJ
.,.t.
/)
/1 17
/J/J
t?cJ
tJc?
5"J'
17 55
?,,;:?
/J.o
2;1.
,;,
t?
g
/'I
(l.tJ
/.II
ISJJ
~tJ
:21,(J "I/Ii
:zt. I, IC'?'
II( Tb'E
,f'£G/tllll
,11(,;,_,,,,,,,<C /JF ,I:
'=""L M,01uEs1
Number Per Cent
certain
Doubtful
Total Certain
Ooubtful Total
II.
11/
-<''7
'f;ff
,IJ_i_
I /4f tJ
N
/tJ
1'9
dJ/J
4.?
23. 9
/.l
M
_z..1
1,.3
4. 9
//.2-
s-
f'
.!
?.4'
l.t,
J'.?
I
:z,
J'
""'"
I. tJ I. 5'
tJ tJ
0 J7.(}
tJ.tJ
/J.o
..J'/
tJ
<'I
/5, /
/'J.O
151
5 17
-~
.?.I/-
/J 17
24
4//
cJ
(/'¢
11/!i
/J,/J 21.;;
5
0
,:;
2.11
;JC}
2.1/-
11,;-<?
d;:
:ZCJ"'{
'11?
?f ¥ /a{
S/Ch"T//YGS
P,AdWGSf lf'E6'1CJIY'
Number
Per Cent
Certain Doubtful
Total
Certain Doubtful Total
5T,f/l TEG IC'
b/lt,9/l'CI: Jr-{t; ,1,//7,?t
Er?sr
Number Per Cent
Certain
Doubtful Total Certain Doubtful Tot~
,(
1:Z fo
-1-
·'
//}_ '1
/,f.2,
'/4 ~
;i I
.1,:../,:;
✓,;
/?/J
;tJ
16
.!'t
fJ I
14'. 5" i'J' /.
I
5"
/4
/J. (j
.;/,;
5.11
t?
tJ 0 1/.C
,11'
c?o
tJ /
/
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/J'l d.?
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tJ, /J., tJ
91
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:J.7
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tJJ)
//,.-£
J'
L
5
2 '1
1.f ,:I ..
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4✓
1/C'
160,,::
drl.lJ
l,;'v_
5V'!1T£D(
c1RE,£S
Number PerCmt
Certain 0ou,tfu
Total
Certain
Doubtful Total
Number
PerCmt
Certain Ooul.ltfu Total
Certain
Doubtful Total
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
Evaluation
0-Ball"'°
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-Ligll!Ph010m.
4-Birds
6-lnsuffi~ lolo.
7-Psydlological
&-Unknown
9-0lller
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astnmaical
2-Airaaft
3-Li&ill Pllaiom.
4-Binls
5-Clouds, Dust, et~
6-lnsuffi~ mlo.
7-Psychological
8-Unknown
9--0ther
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
l·Asbonomical
2 .. Aircraft
3-liihtl'II .....
4-Binls
5-Cloud~ Dust, et~
6-IBSUffic. Info.
I-Psychological
&-Unknown
9-0ther
Total
4211
£/r,4L(/AT7(2,(/ ff !{Lt. f/6b'T(lfGS I&'. :ti'it:: .Sr,f'#Tc'GtC
,;9~.
-
~ -
A'AL"•·•~
/1P ~---,, I lh-
Number Per Cent
Number Per Cent
Number Per Cent Nuober Per Call
Certain
Ooubtlul Tolal Certain Doubtful
Total Certain Ool.d>tful Tolal Certain Doubtful
Total
ertain
lloubtlul Tolal Certain Ooubllul
Total Certain
Ooubtfu Total Certain Doubtful
Total
/$,
5
,'/
S.7
2.¢
ff/ 11£ 5 .J'/ !¥ff ~:!
1'( I,
1/
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fl I
li?.,:J
'7<7/..
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22.
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1.J.1
/:t-.5
26:~
II
If
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5:Z,
9 /)
141 15
l.f
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rJ.tJ
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2,
4 I. I /. I
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t?t-
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tJ.tl II
II
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1'/..
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171
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~ AI.C,tU.E.5
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Number PerCent Number PerCenl
Nulltler
Per Cent
Number
Per Casi
Ce!Uin
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t:ertain
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21
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h
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15:3
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41
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PerCmt
Total
Certain Dwbtful
Total
I
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Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Asburmical
2-Aircraft
Higtrt Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dus~ etc.
6-lnsvffic.lnlo.
7-Psydlological
&-Unknown
9-0tlle,
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-A-ical
2-Airmft
Hight Phenom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Du~ etc.
6-lnsuffic. klfo.
7-Psydlological
8-UnknoMI
9-0lfler
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aircraft
Hight Phonom.
4-Birds
5-Clouds,Du~etc.
6-lnsuffic. tnfo.
7-Psycllological
&-Unknown
9-0ther
Total
111,fL.E
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Total
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5
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251
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astmnomical
2-Aircraft
3-Ligh!Phenom.
4-Birds
6-lnsuffi~ Info.
7-Psydlological
8-Unlcnown
9-0ther
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
1-Astrooomical
2-Airaaft
3-LijjttPbOIOOI.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Dust, et~
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-Psychological
8-UnknoMI
!I-Other
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
l•Astronomical
2-Aircraft
3-LightPbom.
4-Birds
6-Cloud~ Oust,~
6-lnsuffi~lnfo.
7-Psychological
8-IJnknoMI
!I-Other
Total
ff c?dJ~c!r S/6ltTI/Y6S (Al
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t!u1;, '£n 0,,y ON
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Number PerCenl
Number
PerC"11
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Total
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Certain
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Doubtful
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51_
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Number PerCmt
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Number
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Total
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Evaluation
0.Balloon
!~Astronomical
2•Aircraft
Hight Phenom.
4--Birds
5-Clouds. Dus~ etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
7-Psychological
8-Unknown
9-0ther
Total
Evaluation
0-Balloon
I-Astronomical
2-Aimaft
3-LightPh010m.
4-Birds
5-Clouds, Oust. etc.
6-lnsuffic.lnfo.
I-Psychological
II-Unknown
9-0tlier
Total
OJIJLE
E&L/1,?T/tJIV r2F
1211 lli?'Z-
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Total
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Total ertain
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2,
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Nurl'ber PerC01I Number
Per Cent
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Number
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Total
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Doobllul
Total
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APPENDIX B
WORKING PAPER FORMS
255 and 256
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INDEX OF FORMS
Exhibit Bl. Tentative Observers Data Sheet .
Exhibit B2. Tentative Observers Questionnaire
Exhibit B3. U. S. Air Force Technical Information Sheet.
Exhibit B4. Codes for Work Sheet
Exhibit BS. Work Sheet .
Exhibit B6. Codes for Card Bible.
Exhibit B7. Card Bible .
Exhibit BS. Example of an IBM Card
257 and Z58
Page
259
267
277
289
297
301
309
313
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EXHIBIT Bl
TENTATIVE OBSERVERS DA TA SHEET
259 and 260
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1.
2.
J.
4.
s.
8.
10.
11.
Date
Date
lJhat
A.M.
Zone:
TENTAT'IVE
OBSERVERS DATA Slf.ti:ET
WherE: Choice is Given, Circle Proper
Answers,
or Insert Answer
of your
ot,servation:
Day Month
you reported the observation:
Day Month
time
was it when you sighted
the object:
Hours
P.H. Daylight standard
Eastern,
Central,
Mo,.mtain,
Pacific,
Length of time
object was
observed. Estimate:
Year
Ye°ar
Hinutos
Other
Hours
1".finutas Seconds
Where observed:
l5ostal Address
City or Toi-m
State
Country
Where were you at time of observation:
Inside building, In Car,
Outdoors,
Other
~Vero you movir1g at any time du.ring this sighting:
•
Yes or No
Did you stop at any time during this sighting:
•
Yes or No
If 'you were moving - give and miles per hour.
--D-ir,_e_c..,..t"'"i-on----S-i!-~e-ed
How was object observed: Na.1-(ed eye
Ey,:, glasses
Other glass (Window or Windshield)
BinocuJ.ars, Telescope, Theodolite
Other
------·-------
How did you happen to notice the object:
261
•
•
12.
lJ.
16.
17.
Describe what you saw as criefly as possible in the following spaces:
a.
Sound
b.
Shape
c.
Color
de Size
e.
Number
f. Light brightness
g.
LiGht
color
h.
Motion
i. Speed
j. Other
-------------
How did object disappear from view: Suddenly or Gradually
Circle One •
At any time did the object:
a. Change direction. b. Change speed. c. Hove behind something; Cloud,
House, Tree,
d. Blond with backgrou..'1d. e. Decrease
Other
in size. f. Decrease in brightnes.:o. g. Move in front of something.
h.
When you first looked at the object, uhat direction were you facing?
----
L'hen you last saw the object, ,·Jhat direction were you facing?
In the follouing Sketch A, draw lines
from the observer's eye to the circular
arc to show tha apparent elevation of the
Directly
object in the sky. Overhead
A. When first seen, label a.
B. When last seen, label b.
262
Ob~erver
1
s
:tye
SETCH A
-------
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18.
19.
:?O •
On the following Sketch B, label a at
the apparent position of the object
when first, seen and b at point last
seen. Trace the appar:3nt path of
the ob,ject between points a and b.
If possible label 1, 2, 3, etc.,
along the traced path to show the
successive positions of the object
after equal intervals of time dur
ing the sighting.
In Sketch C please show the
observed features of the object
such as;
A, Apparent shape, {were edges
poil..ted or rounded),
13, Apparent direction of r:iotion
( .si1 ow by arrow), a'1d
C. Other detall::i, exhaust, trails,
tails, surfaces, etc.
Overhead
(/ 0
Horizon
Obser_v_e_r~•-s--~Horizon
Eye
SKETCH B
SKETCH C
The sun and the moon are ::,;1ovm below as they appear in their correct relative
size. In this s::etch D, show the appar.snt siza of what you saw.
SUN
OBJECT
SKETC;-J: D
263
21. In your own words please describe the sighting you observed. Use sketches
if desired. All observations from the time of first sighting to the time
of dissappearance are important. Include a description of the weather,
wind, and cloud condttions at the time of this sighting.
264
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22. Your fuJ.1 name:
23.
Your address:
24.
Your
occupation:
25.
Last
school you attended:
26.
Year of last attendd.Dce at this school:
27. ?lease list the names and addresses o.f persons who di.scussed thj_s sighting
with you. It is not necessary to li.st t:1e names of officials or investigators.
28. Further cor.JJ:,Gnts which you believe are i:nportant shou.ld be entered here.
Use additional s!v,ets of the same sizc-3 if nocr::ss~r:y.
265 and 266
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EXHIBIT B2
TENTATIVE OBSERVERS QUESTIONNAIRE
267 and 268
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11
I
TErJTATIVE
OBSERVERS QUESTIONNAIRE
SECTION A
1. When did you see the object:
1.1 Date:
-...--
Day
Month
Year
1.2 Time of Day:
A,M, or P.M. (Circle One)
Hrs.
Min.
l.J Time Zone: (Circle One):
a. Eastern
d.
Pacific
b. Central
e. Other
c. Mountain
(Circle One): a. Daylight Saving
b. Standard
1.4 Circle one of the following to indicate how certain you are of
your answer to the above question 1.2:
a. Certain
c. Not very sure
b. Fairly certain d. Just a guess
2.
Where were you when you saw the object:
Postal Address
Additional Remarks:
City or Town
3. Where were you located when you saw the object:
(Circle One): a.
b.
c.
Inside a building
In a car
Outdoors
d.
In an airplane
e. At sea
f. Other
state
------
3,1 Were you:
(Circle One): a. In the business section of a city?
b. In the residential section of a city?
c • In open countryside?
d. Flying near an airfield?
e. Flying over a city?
r. Flying over open country?
g. Ot)lEJr
--------------
269
Country
4. How did you happen to notice the object?
,. When did you report to some official that you had seen the object?
Day Month
Year
SECTION B
6. What were you doing at the time you saw the object?
6.1 What had you been doing for the JO minutes before you saw the object?
Try to list the activity or activities and the approximate amount
of time spent on each.
7. Were you moving at any time while you saw the object? (Circle One):
Yes
or
No
IF you answered YES, then complete the following questions:
7.1 What directionwere you moving?
(Circle One): a. North
b. rlortheast
c. East
d. Southeast
e.
r.
South
Southwest
g. West
h. Northwest
7. 2 How fast were you moving?
miles per hour.
------
7.3 Did you stop at any time while you were looking at the object?
(Circle One): Yes or
No
8. What direction were you looking when you first saw the object?
(Circle One):
a. North
e.
South
b.
Northeast
f. Southwest
c.
East
g. West
d. Southeast h.
Northwest
270
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\
8.1 What.direction were you looking when the object disappeared?
(Circle One): a. North
b. Northeast
c.
East
d. Southeast
e. South '
r. Southwest
g. West
h. Northwest
8.2 Circle one of the following to indicate how certain you are of
your answer to the above question and preceding question ( 8 and
8.1).
a. Certain
b. Fairly certain
c. Not very sure
d,
Just a guess
9. Were you wearing eye glasses when you saw the object? (Circle One):
Yes
or No
10. How was the object seen?
(Circle One): a. Through window glass
b. Through windshield
c. • Through binoculars
d. Through
telescope
e. Through theodolite
r. Through sunglasses
g.
Through open space
h. Other
11. What do you remember about the weather conditions at the time you saw the
object?
11.1 CLOUDS
( Circle One)
11.3
WEATHER {Circle One)
a.
Clear sky
a.
Dry
b.
Hazy
b.
Fog, Mist, or light rain
c. Scattered clouds
C,
Moderate or heavy rain
d.
Thick
or heavy clouds
d.
Snow
e. Don't remember
e. Don
I
t remember
11.2
WIND (Circle One)
11.4 TEMPERATURE (Circle One)
a,
Ho wind
a.
Cold
b. Slight breeze
b.
Cool
c.
Strong wind
c.
Wann
d. Don't remember
d. Hot
e.
Don't remember
SECTION C
12. Estimate how long you saw the object?
Hours Minutes
Seconds
271
15.
16.
18.
12.l Circle one of the following to indicate how certain you are of your
answer
to Question 12:
a. Certain
c. Not very sure
b. Fairly sure
d. Just a guess
Did
the object look: ( Circle One)
Solid
-
or Transparent
Did
the object at any time:
(Circle One for each question)
J.4.1
Change direction?
Yes No Don't know
14.2
Change speed?
Yes
No
Don't know
14.3
Change size?
Yes
No
Don't know
14.4
Change color?
Yes No
Don
1
t know
14.5
Break up into parts
or
Yes
No Don't know
-
explode?
14.6
Give off smoke?
Yes No Don
1
t know
14.7
Change brightness?
Yes
No
Don't know
14.8
Flicker., throb., or
Yes
No Don•t know
pulsate?
14.9
Remain motionless?
Yes No
Don't know
-
Did the object give off a light?
( Cj_rcle One):
Yes
No Don't know
-
-
15.1 IF you answered YES., what was the color of the light?
Tell in a few vJOrds the following things about the object?
16.1 Sound
-----------------------
16. 2 Color
-----------------------
IF there was MORE THAN ONE object., then how many were there?
Draw a picture of how they were arranged and put an arrow to show the
direction they were traveling.
Did the object at any time:
18.1
Move behind something? (Circle One) Yes No
Don't know
IF you answered~, then tell what it moved behind.
272
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20.
21.
22.
18.2 Move in front of something? (C1.rcle One) ~ No Don't know
IF you answered~, then tell what it moved in front of.
18.3 Blend with the background? (Circle One) ~ No Don't know
Which of the following objects is about the same actual size as the object
you saw? (Circle One):
a. Pea f. Automobile
b. Baseball
g. Small airplane
c.
Basketball
h. Large airplane
cl. Bicycle wheel
i.
Dirigible
e.
Office desk j. Other
19.1
Circle one of the following to indicate
how certain you
are of your
answer to Question 19.
a. Certain
c.
Not very sure
,._
vo Fairly certain
d.
Uncertain
Try to tell the following things about the object:
20.1 How high above the earth was it? ________ feet.
20.2 How far was it from you? _____ feet or _____ miles.
20.3 How fast was it going? .,.....__,_.,..._...,..._miles per hour.
20.4 Circle one of the following to indicate how certain you are of your
ans·wer to the above questions:
a. Certain
b. Fairly certain
How did the object disappear from View?
(Circle One): a. Suddenly
b. Gradually
SECTION D
c. Wot very sure
d. Just a guess
c. Other
---------
d. Don't remember
In the fol:!.owing sketch, imagine your eye at the point shov-rn. Place an
11
A
11
on the curved line to show how high the object was above the horizon
( skyline) when you first saJ: it, Place a
11
B
11
to show v1here it was when
you
last saw it. 0v h d
-e
ea
.:,
't,----_._----Horizon
You
273
In the following sketch place an
11
A
11
at the position the object was when
you~ saw it, and a "B" at its posi.tion when you~ saw it.
Overhead
Q
Horizon ___ ._ _______ _.. __ Horizon
You
Dr~rw a picture that will show the motion that the object made. Place an
11
A" at the beginning of its path and a
11
B
11
at the end of its path.
Draw a picture that will show the shape of the object. Label and include
in your sketch any details of the object that you saw and place an arrow
beside the dravnng to show the direction the object was moving.
274
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SECTION E
26.
Was this the first time that you have seen an object like this?
(Circle One): Yes or No
26.1 IF you answered N0
1
then when, where, and under what conditions did
you see other ones?
---------------------
____________________________ ,_
27. In your opinion what do you think the object was and what might have caused
it?
26. Give the following information about yourself:
NAME
----1 .... a_s_t_M,...am_e ___ _
First Name
Middle Name
ADDRESS
___ _,.,,,.S.,.tr_e_e..,.t ___ _
City Zone State
TELEPHONE J\TUMBER
----------
What is your present job?
---------------------
Age
------
Sex
------
29. Was anyone else with you at the time you saw the object?
(Circle One): Yes
-
or No
-
29 .1 IF you answered ~
1
did they see the object too?
(Circle One): ~
or No
-
29.2 Please list their names and addresses:
275
JO. Please add here any further comments which you believe are important.
Use adcli.tional sheets of the same size paper, if necessary.
276
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EXHIBIT B3
U. S. AIR FORCE TECHNICAL INFORMATION SHEET
277 and 278
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1.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
u.
s.
AIR FORCE
TECHNICAL
INFORMATIO.N
SHEET
This questionnaire has been prepared so that you can give the U. S. Air Force as much
information as possible concerning the unidentified aerial phenomenon that you have observed.
Please try to answer as many questions as you possibly can.
The information that you give will
be used for research purposes, and will be regarded as confidential material.
Your name will not
be used in connection with any statements, conclusions, or publications without your permission.
We request this personal information so that, if it is deemed necessary, we may contact you for
further
details.
When did you see the object?
2. Time of day:
Hour
Minutes
Day Month
Year
(Circle One):
A.M.
or
P.M.
Time zone:
(Circle One):
a,
Eastern (Circle One):
a. Daylight Saving
b. Central
b. Standard
C,
Moun ta in
d. Pacific
e. Other
Where
were you when you saw the object?
Nearest Postol Address City or Town
Stote or Country
Additional remarks:
Estimate how long you saw the object,
Hours Minutes Seconds
5.1
Circle one of the following to indicate how certain you ore of your answer to Question 5.
a.
Certain
c. Not very sure
b. Fairly certain
d. Just a guess
What was the
conditia, of the sky?
(Circle One):
a. Bright daylight d.
Just a trace of daylight
b. Dull daylight e.
No trace of daylight
c.
Bright twi I ight f. Don't remember
IF you saw the object during DAYLIGHT, TWILIGHT, or DAWN, where was the SUN located as you looked at
the object?
(Circle One):
a.
In front of you d. To your left
b. In back of you
e.
Overhead
C,
To your right
f. Don't remember
279
8.
9.
10.
11.
12.
13.
14.
15.
IF you saw the object at NIGHT, TWILIGHT, or DAWN, what did you notice concerning the STARS and MOON?
8.1
STARS (Circle One):
8.2
MOON (Circle One):
a.
None
a.
Bright moonlight
b.
A few
b. Dull moonlight
c.
Many
c.
No moonlight -pitch dark
d.
Don't remember
d. Don't remember
Was the object brighter than the background of the sky?
(Circle One):
a.
Yes b.
No
c.
Don't remember
IF it was BRIGHTER THAN the sky background, was the brightness like that of an automobile headlight?:
(Circle One)
a. A
mile or more away (a distant car)?
b.
Several blocks away?
c. A block away?
d. Severa I yards away?
e.
Other
Did the object: (Circle One for each question)
a.
Appear to stand still at any time? Yes No Don't Know
b.
Suddenly speed up and rush away at any time? Yes No Don't Know
c.
Break up into parts or explode? Yes No Don't Know
d. Give off smoke? Yes No Don't Know
e.
Change brightness? Yes
No
Don't Know
f. Change shape? Yes No Don't Know
g.
Flicker, throb; or pulsate?
Yes No
Don't Know
Did the object move behind something at anytime, particularly a cloud?
(Circle One): Yes No Don't Know. IF you answered YES, then tell what
it moved behind:
.
Did the object move in front of something at anytime, particularly a cloud?
(Circle One):
Yes No Don't Know. IF you answered YES, than tell what
it moved in front of:
Did the object appear:
(Circle One):
a. Solid?
b.
Trans parent?
c.
Don't Know.
Did you observe the object through any of the fol lowing?
a.
Eyeglasses
Yes No e.
Binoculars
Yes
No
b. Sun glasses
Yes
No
f.
Telescope
Yes
No
c. Windshield Yes
No g.
Theodolite Yes
No
d. Window glass Yes
No
h. Other
280
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16. Tell in a few words the following things about the object.
a. Sound-----------------------------------------
b. Color---------------------------------------
17. Draw a picture that will show the shape of the object or objects. Label and include in your sketch any details
of the object that you saw such as wings, protrusions, etc., and especially exhaust trails or vapor trails. Place
an arrow beside the drawing to show the direction the object was moving.
18.
The edges of the object were:
(Circle One): a. Fuzzy or blurred
e. Other ________________ _
b.
Like a bright star
c. Sharply outlined
d. Don't remember
19.
IF there was MORE THAN ONE object, then how many were there?
Draw a picture of how they were arranged, and put an arrow to show the direction that they were traveling.
281
20. Draw a picture that will show the motion that the object or objects made. Place an "A• at the beginning
of the path, a •B• at the end of the path, and show any changes in direction during the course.
21. IF POSSIBLE, try to guess or estimate what the real size of the object was in its longest dimension.
feet.
22. How large did the object or objects appear as compared with one of the following objects held in the hand
and at about arm's length?
(Circle One): a. Head of a pin
g.
Silver dollar
b. Pea h. Baseball
c.
Dime
i. Grapefruit
d. Nickel
j.
Basketball
e. Quarter
k.
Other
f. Half dollar
22.1 (Circle One of the following to indicate how certain you are of your answer to Question 22.
a. Certain c. Not very sure
b.
Fairly certain
d. Uncertain
1------------------------------------------------------;
23. How did the object or objects disappear from view?
---------------------------------------------·
24. In order that you can give as clear a picture as possible of what you saw, we would like for you to imagine that you could
construct the object that you saw, Of what type material would you make it? How large would it be, and what shape
would it have? Describe in your own words a common object or objects which when placed up in the sky would give the
same appearance as the object which you saw.
282
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25,
27,
28.
29.
30.
31.
Where were you located when you saw the object?
26,
Were you (Circle One)
(Circle One):
a. In the business section of a city?
a.
Inside a building
b.
In the residential section of a city?
b.
In a car
c. In open countryside?
c.
Outdoors
d. Flying near an airfield?
d.
In an
airplane
e. Flying over a city?
e.
At sea f. Flying over open country?
f.
Other g. Other
What
were you doing at the time you saw the object, and how did you happen to notice it?
.
IF you were MOVING IN AN AUTOMOBILE or o1her vehicle at the time, then complete the following questions:
28.1
What direction were you moving? (Circle One)
a.
North
C,
East
e,
South
9•
West
b. Northeast d.
Southeast
f.
Southwest
h.
Northwest
28.2
How fast were you moving?
miles per hour.
28.3
Did you stop at any time while you were looking at the object?
(Circle One)
Yes
No
What
direction were you looking when you first saw the object? (Circle One)
a. North c. East e.
South
g.
West
b. Northeast d. Southeast
f.
Southwest h. Northwest
What direction were you looking when you last saw the object? (Circle One)
a. North c. East
e. South
9•
West
b. Northeast
d.
Southeast
f.
Southwest h. Northwest
If you are familiar with bearing terms (angular direction), try to estimate the number of degrees the object was
from true North and
also the number of degrees it was upward from the horizon (elevation).
31.1
When it first appeared:
a.
From true North degrees.
b.
From horizon degrees,
31.2
When it disappeared:
a.
From true North degrees.
b.
From
horizon degrees.
283
32. In the following sketch, imagine that you are at the point shown, Place an •A" on the curved I ine to show how
high the object was above the horizon {skyline) when you first saw it, Place a "B• on the same curved line to
show how high the object was above the horizon (skyline) when you last saw it.
33. In the following larger sketch place an "A" at the position the object was when you first saw it, and a "Bn at its
position when you last saw it. Refer to smaller sketch as an example of how to complete the larger sketch.
284
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34. What were the weather conditions at the time you saw the object?
34.1
CLOUDS (Circle One)
34.2 WIND
(Circle One)
a. Clear sky
a. No wind
b.
Hazy
b.
SI ight breeze
c.
Scattered clouds
c. Strong wind
d.
Thick or heavy clouds
d. Don't remember
e. Don't remember
34.3
WEATHER (Circle One)
34.4 TEMPERATURE
(Circle One)
a. Dry
a,
Cold
b. Fog, mist, or
light rain
b. Cool
c. Moderate or heavy rain
c.
Warm
d. Snow
d.
Hot
e,
Don't remember
e.
Don't remember
35,
When did you report to some off ic ia I that you had seen the object?
Day
Month
Year
f----------------------------------------·-·· ··-··------'
36, Was anyone else with you at the time you saw the object?
(Circle One) Yes
No
36. 1 IF you answered YES, did they see the object too?
(Circle One) Yes No
36.2 Please list their names and addresses:
37, Was this the first time that you had seen an object or objects like this?
(Circle One) Yes
No
37.1 IF you answered NO, then when, where, and under what circumstances did you see other ones?
-----------------------------------·
38, In your opinion what do you think the object was and what might have caused it?
285
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39. Do you think you can estimate the speed of the object?
(Circle One) Yes No
IF you answered YES, then what speed would you estimate?
________ m.p.h.
40.
Do you think you can estimate how far away from you the object was?
(Circle One) Yes No
IF you answered YES, then how far oway would you say it was?
_______ feet.
41. Please give the following information about yourself:
NAME-----,--,-~-----
Last Name First Name
Middle Name
ADDRESS
Street
City
Zone Stote
TELEPHONE NUMBER _______ _
What is your present
job?--------------------------------
Age ____ _
Sex ______ _
Please indicate any special educational training that you have had.
a. Grade school __________ e. e, Technical school ____________ _
b. High school__________ (Type) _____________ _
c. College ____________ f. Other special training __________ _
d.
Post graduate _________ _
42. Date you completed this questionnaire:
Day
Month
Year
286
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U. S. A I R FOR C E T EC H HI CAL I H FORMAT IO H SH E E T
(SUMMARY DA TA)
In order that your information may be filed and coded as accurately as possible, please use
the following space to write out a short description of the event that you observed. You may re•
peat information that you have already given in the questionnaire, and add any further comments,
statements, or sketches that you believe are important. Try to present the details of the observa•
tion in the order in which they occurred. Additional pages of the same size paper may be attached
if they are needed,
NAME __________________ _
(Please Print)
SIGNATURE _______________ _
DATE __________________ _
287
(Do Not Write in This Space)
CODE:
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L_ _________ I
288
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EXHIBIT B4
CODES FOR WORK SHEET
289 and 290
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CODES
CODE 1. GENERAL
a. Every column must have at least one entry. If no data are
available for any column, the Y should be used.
b. If a number in any column is used to enter data, then X
qualifies the data as indicated in the Code for the specific
column.
CODE 25 DURATION UNITS
X
y
O Days
1 Hours
2 Minutes
3 Seconds
4
5
6
7
8
9
CODE 41 POSITION
X Variable
y
0
1 In car
2 Outdoors
3
In plane
4 In building
5
6
7
8
9 Other
CODE 28 IA T ITUDE
X South latitude
y
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
CODE 32 LONGITUDE
X East longitude
y
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
CODE 42·MOVEMENT OF OBSERVER
X
y
0 Wasn't moving
1 Was moving - stopped
2 Was moving -didn't stop
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
291
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QQDE 43 OBSERVATION METHOD
CODE 44 SOUND
X Variable
X
Variable
y
y
0
Naked eye
0 Motors
1
Eye glasses
1 Jet or rockets
2 Window
2 Explosion
3
Windshield
3
Unlike aircraft
4
Binocular
4
Hiss, swishing, whining
5
Telescope
5
Rumbling
6 Theodolite
6 Humming or buzzing
7
Radar
7
None
8 Photographic
8 Not stated
9
Other
9
Other
CODE 45 COLOR
CODE 46 NUMBER
CODE 47 LIGHT-COLOR
X
Variable
X X
Variable
y
y y
0
Metallic
0 - 1
0 White
1
Light-glow-luminous
1 - 2
1
Black
2
Red
2 -3
2
Grey
3
Orange
3 -4
3
Red
4
Yellow
4 - 5
4
Orange
5
Green
5 - 6
5
Yellow
6
Blue
6 -7 -10
6
Green
7
Violet
7 -11 -20
7
Blue
8 Black
8 -20 -30
8 Violet
9
White
9 -31 or more
9
Other
CODE 48 SPEED CODE 49 SHAPE
X Variable
X
Variable
y
•
y
0
Hovering, stationary
0 Ellipse
l Less than 100 m.p.h.
l Rocket
2 100-400 m.p.h.
2
Conventional aircraft
3
More than 400 m.p.h.
3
Unconventional aircraft
4
Meteor like
4
Meteor, comet
5
Not stated
5
Lenticular
6
6
Conical
7
7
Tear drop
8
8
Flame, tails,
fire
9
Other
9
Other
292
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CODE 50 SHAPE PARAMETER a/b
X -Variable
y
0 -o.o
l -0.05
2 -0.1
3 -0.2
4 -0 • .3
5 -0.5
6 -0.75
7 -0.9
8 -1.0
9 -Other
CODE 51 SUBTENDED VISUAL ANGLE
{Referred to sun diameter)
X -Decreased in size
y
0 -0.1
l -0.2
2 -0.5
.3 -o.75
4 ... 1.0
5 - 1.5
6 -2.0
7 -4.0
8 -4.0 to 10.0
9 -Other
CODE 52 LIGHT BRIGHTNESS (Intens.llzl
X Decreased
CODE 53 ANGULAR VELOCITY
X Variable
y
y
0 Sunlight on mirror
l Sunlight
on aluminum
2 Sunlight on plaster
3 Sunlight on stone
4 Sunlight on soil
5 Brighter than moon
6 Like moon
7 Duller than moon
8 Barely visible
9 Other
CODE 54 ANGULAR ACCELERATION
(Change in Angular Velocity)
X Variable
y
O Zero, v=constant
l Increasing slowly
2 Decreasing slowly
3 Increasing fast
4 Decreasing fast
5 Increasing very fast
6 Decreasing very fast
7
8
9
293
0 Zero
1 Very slow, 1° per second
2 Slow, .3° per second
.3 Moderate, 60 per second
4 Rapid, 12° per second
5 Very fast, 30° per second
6 Extremely fast, 900 per second
7 More than 900 per second
8
9 Other
CODE 55 APPEARANCE BEARING
X
y
0 - N
1 -NE
2 - E
3 -SE
4 -s
5 -SW
6-W
7 -NW
8
9
CODE 56 DISAPPEARANCE BEARING
X -Disappeared suddenly
y
0-N
l -NE
2 -E
3 -SE
4-S
5 -SW
6-W
7 -NW
8
9
CODE 61 OBJECT ORIENTATION
Apparent inclination of principal
..!!.!,s of object from horizontal
X • Variable
t
0 +90 to 60
l .. 60 to 30
2 .+30 to 10
3 +10 to O
4 O
5 0 to -10
6 -10 to -30
7 -JO to -60
8 -60 to -90
9
CODE 65 SERVICE
X
y
0
Army
1
Navy
2 Marine
.3
Air Force
4
Coast Guard
5
Merchant
6
Commercial Air
7
CAA
8
Gov•t.
Contractor
9
Other
CODE 57-58 ELEVATION
WITH RESPECT TO GROUND. DEGREES
X
y
0
l
2
.3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Initi1l
~
Variable X Variable
y
0-9
0
0-9
10-19 l
10-19
20-29
2
20-29
.30-.39
.3
.30-.39
40-49
4
40-49
50-59
5
50-59
60-69
6
60-69
70-79
7
70-79
80-89
8
80-89
9
QODE 62-63-64 CIVILIAN OCCUPATION
Dictionary of Occupational Titles,
Vol. II, 2nd Edition, PP• XIX-XXVI.
u.s. Department of Labor, Bureau of
Employment Security. U.S. Government
Printing Office, Washington, D. C., 1949.
See PP• XIX-XXVI.
CODE 66 DUTY
X
y
0
Pilot
1
Weather tech.
2 Radar tech.
3
Tower op.
4
Balloon obs.
5
Tech. spec.
6 Guards, lookouts
?
Ground or deck crews
8 Navig. or bombardier
9
Other
294
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CODE 67 RANK EQUIVALENT
CODE 76 EVALUATION OF OBSERVER RELIABILITY
X
Officer
X
y
y
0
Lt. 2nd 0
Private
1
Lt. 1st 1 Private, 1st Cls.
2 Capt.
2
Corp.
J
Maj.
J
Serg.
4
Lt. Col.
4
S. 'I. Serg.
5
Col.
5
M. Serg.
6 Brig. Gen.
6 Warrant Off.
7
Maj. Gen.
7
Chief Warrant
8 Lt. Gen.
8
9
General
9
CODE 77 EVALUATION OF REPORT RELIABILITY
X
y
0
Complete
1
Quite
2 Fair
3
Doubtful
4
Poor
5
Not
6
7
8
9
Can't be judged
CODE 79-80 FINAL IDENTIFICATION
X Probably
y
0 Balloon
l Astronomical
2
Aircraft
J Light Phenomenon
4 Birds
5 Clouds, dust, etc.
X
y
0
Complete
1 Quite
2 Fair
J
Doubtful
4
Poor
5
Not
6
7
8
9
Can't be judged
CODE 78 PREL,RgNARY IDEN'IIFICATION
X
Possibly
y
0
Balloon
1
Astronomical
2
Aircraft
J
Light phenomenon
4
Birds
5
Clouds, dust, etc.
6 Rocket or missile
7
Psychological manifestations
8 Electromagnetic phenomenon
9
Other
6 Reeke~-eP-mieeile Insufficientinformation
7 Psychological manifestations
8 i~ee~Femagaetie-paeaemeeeR
Unknown
9 Other
295 and 296
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EXHIBIT B5
I
WORK SHEET
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297 and 298
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WORK SHEET
I
Observer's
I
Data
Punched
Sheet
Card
Question
Column
Code
Descri;etion
I
l*
2
Incident
serial
I
3
Serial No.
number
4
I
6
Serial
No. Insertion
7
8
Dal
I
9
1.
10
Month
11
I
12
Year
Observed
13
14
Day:
I
1
2.
16
Month
Re:eorted
17
I
18 Day
19
20
Month
Rec
I
d ATIC
I
21
22
Hrs. Time of observation
23
Greenwich C. T.
I
3.
24
Min.
25*
Time Units
Duration
of
2
observation
I
4.
27
Duration
2
*
29
I
30
31
Latitude
I
32*
33
34
Location
I
,.
35
36
Longitude
37
I
38
39
40
Cosine
latitude
I
~·
Denotes separate code
key
is needed.
I I
299
I
Observer's
Data
Sheet
Question
Punched
Card
Column
Code
Description
6.
41* Where observer was
_ __,,1,..,,._B_. ____ ,..4~~,.,.....---------==M.-ovi_n~ -Stopped
10. 43* How observed
12a. 44* Sound
12c. 45* Color
12e. 46* Number
12g. 47*
Light-color
Speed
Appearance
Description
12b. 19 49*
12b. 19 50*
12d. lfie.20 51*
i2r. 14r. 5°2*
53*
4. 12h. 14. 18. 19 54*
1 .
*
13. 14. 16
17.
9
Shape
a/b
Size
Light brightness
Angular velocity
An ar acceleration
Describe appearance
Describe disappearance
Initial elevation
Final elevc:.tion
__ l_,,2,;;.,;i,;...•~21.,...;.... ____ 6,.,,0 __________ A,.,.1..,.t_i tude, 1000 ft.
18. 19. 61* Object orientation
2*
63
64
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
Civilian occupation
Service occupation
76-:;:. Observer
Motion
Elevation
Altitude
Observer
"""'7"""7--~---------'""R"'"'e-pu:ct
Evaluation
7B* Preliminary
Identification
Final
* Denotes separate code key is needed.
300
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EXHIBIT B6
CODES FOR CARD BIBLE
301 and 302
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X
y
0
CODES
CODE 1. GENERAL
a. These cards (and the corresponding WORK SHEETS) contain data from
several sources. Columns referenced to the u. s. Air Force Technical
Information Sheet
(Form A) must have at least one entry. If no data
are available for any column, the Y (or 12 punch) should be used.
b. Columns 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45,
46, 47, 48, 49, 50, and $1 are calculated from data appearing in the
u. s. Air Force Technical Information Sheet {Form A). If the basic
data for these calculations are not available, the appropriate columns
are left blank.
c. If a number in any column is used to enter data, then X (or 11 punch)
qualifies the data as indicated in the Code for the specific column,
CODE 7 SIGHTING IDENTIFICATION
{Ti.1is column may or may not
contain multiple punches)
CODE 22 LOCAL SUN TIME
(Refers to date of a.c.T. observation)
X
y
0 Same day
1 All sightings 1 Previous day
2
2 Unit sightings, all observers
3 Unit sightings, single observers
4 Unit sightings, multiple observers
5 Object sightings
6
7
8
9
CODE 23-26 LOCAL SUN TIME
{Calculated from G.C.T.,
date, latitude, and longitude)
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
CODE 27 LATITUDE
X South Latitude
y
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
303
CODE 31 LONGITUDE
X East Longitude
y
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
U. s. Air Force Technical
Information Sheet
Question
5.
15.
16a.
16b.
Punched
Card
Column
3
39
4q
41
42*
43*
4~
45
46
47J,f-
48
49.
50
51*
52*
3
54
55*
s&
57~,f,
SB-ii-
Code
Description
Hour
Angle
Angle of
Elevation
of the
Sun
Group Classification
sun
Bearing
Angle
Time Units
Duration
of Observation
Group Classification
How Observed
Sound
Object Color
16b.
17.
59*
60*
Light Color Physical
------------~:,":'"'--------:c==-0-=1"'"0-r--,is-Gr-o-up
19. 61*
Classification
Number
62*
6y1-
lla. llb. 39. Sp
__ 1~7~•;,....;..l_B~._24~•;;.......,...-------,.:;'-----------,S~h-a.p_e__ Description
64*
llf. 21. 22. 24. Size
65*
10. lle. Light Brightness
66-ii-
67*
5. 11, 17. 20. Angular Velocity Motion
33. Angular Acceleration
68*
69*
29. 31, 1. Appearance Bearing
Disappearance Bearing
70*
11~1-
*
73➔1-
41.
74*
75*
7&.-
77*
78-if
* Denotes that separate code key is needed.
304
Initial Elevation
Final Elevation Description
rientation
Maneuvers
Observer Occupation
Observer Rating Observer
Report Rating
Reliability Group
Classification
Final Identification
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CODE 47 GROUP CLASSIFICATION
(Derived from the angle of elevation)
CODE 48-51 SUN BEARING ANGLE
(Calculated)
CODE 51 SUN BEARING ANGLE
X
y
0
l -79,99° to+ 79.99°
2 +80,00° to +89,99°
3 +90,00° to +100.00°
4 +100,01° to 130.00°
X East of the Meridian
y
0
1
2
3
4
5 +130.01° to +180,00 and -180,00° to -100,01°
6 -100.00° to -90.01°
5
6
7 -90.00° to -80,00°
8
9
CODE 52 DURATION Tl1'iE UNITS
X
y
0 Days
1 Hours
2 Minutes
3 Seconds
4
5
6
7
8
9
CODE 56 OBSERVATION METHOD
X
Variable
y
0
Naked eye
1
Eye glasses
2
Window
3
Windshield
4
Binocular
5
Telescope
6 Theodolite
7
Radar
8
Photographic
9
Other
X
y
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
7
8
9
CODE 55 DURATION GROUP CLASSIFICATION
X
y
0 5 second and less
l 6 -10 seconds
2
11 -30 seconds
3 31 -60 seconds
4 61 seconds -5 minutes
5 6 -30 minutes
6
Over 30 minutes
7
8
9
CODE 57 SOUND
CODE 58 OBJECT COLOR
Variable
X
Variable
y
Motors
0
Metallic
Jets or rockets
1
Light., glow.,
luminous
Explosion
2
Red
Unlike aircraft
3
Orange
Hiss, swishing, whining
4
Yellow
Rumbling
5
Green
Humming or buzzing
6
Blue
None
7
Violet
8 Black
Other
9
White
305
CODE 59 LIGHT COLOR
X Variable
y
0 White
1 Black
2 Grey
3 Red
4 Orange
5 Yellow
6 Green
7 Blue
8 Violet
9 Other
CODE 62 SPEED
CODE 60 COLOR GROUP CLASSIFICATION
CODE 61 NUNBER
X
Light glow
y
0
White
1
Metallic
2
Red
3
Orange
4
Yellow
5
Green
6 Blue
7
Violet
8 Black
9
Other
CODE 63 SHAPE
X
y
0 1
1 2
2
.3
3
4
4
5
5
6
6
7 -10
1
11-20
8
21-30
9
31 or more
CODE 64 SUBTENDED VISUAL ANGLE
(Referred to sun diameter)
Variable
X Variable
y
X Decreased in size
y
Hovering, stationary
Less than 100 mph
100 -400 mph
More than 400 mph
Meteor-like
Not stated
Other
0 Ellipse
1 Rocket
2 Conventional aircraft
3 Unconventional aircraft
4 Meteor, comet
5 Lenticular
6 Conical
7 Teardrop
8 Flame, t ails, fire
9 Fire
0 0.1
1 0.2
2 o.5
3 0.15
4 1.0
5 1.5
6 2.0
7 4.o
8 4.0 to 10.0
9 Other
CODE 65 LIGHT BRIGHTNESS (Intensity)
CODE 66 ANGULAR VELOCITY
X Decreased
y
0 Sunlight on mirror
l Sunlight on aluminum
2 Sunlight on plaster
3 Sunlight on stone
4 Sunlight on soil
5 Brighter than moon
6 Like moon
7 Duller than moon
8 Barely visible
9 Other
306
X Variable
y
O Zero
1 Very slow, 1°
per second
2 Slow,
3° per second
3 Moderate, 6° per second
4 Rapid, 12° per second
5 Very fast, 30° second
6 Extremely fast, 90° per second
7
More than 90° per second
8
9
Other
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CODE 67 ANGULAR ACCELERATION
(Change in angular velocity)
X Variable
y
0 Zero, V • constant
l Increasing slowly
2 Decreasing slowly
3 Increasing fast
4 Decreasing fast
5 Increasing very fast
6 Decreasing very fast
7
8
9
CODE 69 DISAPPEARANCE BEARING
X Disappeared suddenly
y
0 N
l Ne
2 E
3 Se
4 s
5 SW
6 w
7 NW
8
9
CODE 72 OBJECT ORIENTATION
Apparent inclination of principal
CODE 68 APPBARJ:J
1
TCE BEARING
X
y
O N
l NE
2 E
3 SE
4 s
5 SW
6 W
7 NW
8
9
CODE 70-71 ELEVATION
WITH RESPECT TO GROUND
1
DEGREES
Initial
Final
X
Variable
X
Variable
y
y
0
0-9
0
0-9
l
10-19 1
10-19
2
20-29 2
20-29
3
30-39
3 30-39
4 40-49
4
40-49
5
50-59
5
50-59
6
60-69 6
60-69
7
70-79
7
70-79
8
80-89 8
80-89
9 9
axis of object from horizontal CODE 73 MANEUVERS
CODE 74 OBSERVER OCCUPATION
X
Variable
y
0
+90° to 60°
l
+60° to 30°
2 +30° to 10°
3
+10° to 0°
4
oo
5
OQ to -10°
6
-10°
to -30°
7
-30° to -60°
8
-60° to -90°
9
X
y
0
l
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
307
X
Y Civilian, occupation r.ot stated
O
Army, military
l NavY, military
2 Marine, military
3 Air force, military
4 Coast guard, military
5 Merchant marine, military
6 Commercial air, civilian
7 CAA, civilian
8 Government contractor, civilian
9 Civilian, other
DE 75 EVALU.aTiot! OF OBSERV};R a:~LIABILITY CODE 76 EVALUA'rION OF RSPORT RELIABILITY
X
y
0
Complete
l
Quite
2
Fair
3
Doubtful
4
Poor
5
Not
6
7
8
9
Cannot be
judged
CODE 77 RELllBILITY GROUP CLASSIFICATION
(Based on observer and report ratings)
Excellent (Observer O or 1 and Reoort O or 1)
Good (Observer O or 1, Report 2, 3, or 4;
Observer 2, 3, or 4, Report O or l; Observer
2, Report 2)
Doubtful (Observer O or 1, Report 5 or 9;
Observer 2, Report 3, 4, S, or 9; Observer
3
or 4, Report 2, 3, 4, S, or 9; Observer S
or 9, Report o, 1, 2, 3, or 4)
Poor (Observer 5, 9, or Y, Report 5, 9, or Y)
308
X
y
0
Complete
I
1
Quite
2
Fair
3
Doubtful
4
Poor
5
Not
6
7
8
9
Cannot be judged
CODE 78 FINAL IDENTIFICATION
X Probably
y
0 Balloon
1 Astronomical
2
Aircraft
3 Light phenomenon
4 Birds
5 Clouds, dust, etc.
6 Insufficient information
7 Psychological manifestations
8 Unknown
9 Other
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EXHIBIT B7
I
CARD BIBLE
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309 and 310
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u. s. Air Force Technical
Information Sheet Question
1.
4.
CARD BIBLE
Punched
Card
Column
1
2
3
4
5
6
8
9
10
11
12
13
:i1
15
1
17
18
19
20
21
23
24
26
27*
28.
29
30
3Hr
32
33.
34
35
3~
31
Code
~" Denotes that separate code key is needed.
Description
Serihl
No.
Sub
Serial No.
Sighting
Serial
No.
Day
Month
Year
Hours
Minutes
Key
Hours
Minutes
Latitude
Longitude
Regional Area
Strategic Area
Identification
Serial
Number
Identification
Incident
Serial
Number
Observed
Time of
Observation
Greenwich
C. T •
Local
Sun
Time
Location
Card
Deck No._ is identified by an X (or 11 Punch) in Column_.
311
U. s. Air Force Technical
Infonnation Sheet Question
Punched
Card
Column
3
39
4q
41
42*
43*
~
46
Code Description
Hour
Angle
Angle
of
Elevation
of the
Sun
Group Classification
sun
Bearing
Angle
Time Units
Duration
54 of Observation
l.5. 56i How Observed
5.si Group Classification
16a. 57* Sound
16b. 58-ii-Object Color
16b.
17. 59"-Light Color Physical
______ ...... ________ __.6r!◊*,..--------c-01;.;..o-r_Gr ___ oup
Classification
19. 61* Number
lla. llb. 39. 62* Speed
17. lB. 24. 63-lf, Shape Description
--=it"':::1,..,1:~.~21=-.----:2~2~.--:s24r-.-----~6"4-*--------=s-=-i--ze __ _
10, lle. 65* Light Brightness
5. 11, 17. 20. 66-ii-Angular Velocity Motion
33. 67* Angular Acceleration
29. 31. 1. 68i Appearance Bearing
23.
JO, 31. 2. 69-ii'. Disappearance Bearing
7◊* Initial Elevation
31
•
32
• 71* Final Elevation Description
41.
72* Orientation
73* Maneuvers
74* Observer Occupation
7$i Observer Rating Observer
7&t-Report Rating
77* Reliability Group
Classification
78-ii-Final Identification
* Denotes that separate code key is needed.
312
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EXHIBIT B8
EXAMPLE OF AN IBM CARD
313 and 314
----------------------
w
.....
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FOR Off~(L'\t [St ONl Y
( Af [t ] ~{p-] 6 )